2023 Week 3 · Mon, Sep 25, 2023 · Raymond James Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

PHI -6 ✓U 44 ✓90°FEagles closed -6 and covered, winning by 14.

Philadelphia Eagles 25–11. Biggest swing: Q1 9:14, PHI +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 9:14PHI 0 — TB 0PHI ball · 4th & 1PHI 82%

(9:14) (Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell up the middle to TB 15 for -1 yards (23-R.Neal, 31-A.Winfield).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 9:14PHI +11% win prob(9:14) (Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell up the middle to TB 15 for -1 yards (23-R.Neal, 31-A.Winfield).
Q2 · 0:48PHI +9% win prob(:48) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 0-D.Swift INTERCEPTED by 45-D.White at TB 17. 45-D.White ran ob at TB 43 for 26 yards (1-J.Hurts).
Q2 · 3:41TB +8% win prob(3:41) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 13-O.Zaccheaus for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-G.Gaines].
Q1 · 6:40PHI +6% win prob(6:40) 5-J.Camarda punts 60 yards to PHI 4, Center-97-Z.Triner. 18-B.Covey pushed ob at TB 44 for 52 yards (44-S.Tucker).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 3:10PHI Field goal
(3:10) 4-J.Elliott 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 3 — TB 0
Q2 · 8:37TB Field goal
(8:37) 4-C.McLaughlin 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
Score after this play: PHI 3 — TB 3
Q2 · 3:41PHI Touchdown
(3:41) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 13-O.Zaccheaus for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-G.Gaines]. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 10 — TB 3
Q2 · 0:03PHI Field goal
(:03) 4-J.Elliott 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 13 — TB 3
Q3 · 9:21PHI Touchdown
(9:21) (No Huddle) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 20 — TB 3
Q3 · 3:46PHI Safety
(3:46) 64-A.Stinnie reported in as eligible. 1-R.White up the middle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (41-N.Morrow).
Score after this play: PHI 22 — TB 3
Q4 · 13:32PHI Field goal
(13:32) 4-J.Elliott 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 25 — TB 3
Q4 · 9:27TB Touchdown
(9:27) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: PHI 25 — TB 11

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Buccaneers
Offensive plays	78	45
Total yards	472 (edge)	176
Yards per play	6.1 (edge)	3.9
Expected points added / play	0.09 (edge)	-0.20
Success rate	54% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	51%	64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.08 (edge)	-0.08
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.11 (edge)	-0.42
Third downs	10/16 (edge)	5/10
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	12
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	2	2

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.20.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

23/37, 277 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

1.8 expected points added · +1.7% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Baker MayfieldQB

15/25, 146 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.6 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

16 att, 130 yds, 0 TD

8.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Kenneth GainwellRB

14 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

-6.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

9/14 for 131 yds, 0 TD

40% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Receiving · TB

Mike EvansWR

5/10 for 60 yds, 1 TD

40% of team targets · 0.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TB	TB 25	8	16	2:48	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 25	7	60	3:03	Turnover on downs
3	TB	TB 15	5	21	2:44	Punt
4	PHI	TB 44	8	31	3:20	Field goal +3
5	TB	TB 25	5	-3	1:38	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 19	6	22	1:45	Punt
7	TB	TB 16	13	59	6:09	Field goal +3
8	PHI	PHI 16	10	89	5:01	Touchdown +7
9	TB	TB 25	3	2	1:06	Interception
10	PHI	TB 37	4	10	1:47	Interception
11	TB	TB 43	2	-9	0:15	Fumble
12	PHI	TB 36	5	16	0:24	Field goal +3
13	PHI	PHI 25	15	75	5:48	Touchdown +7
14	TB	TB 25	7	14	2:13	Punt
15	PHI	PHI 13	6	46	3:13	Interception
16	TB	TB 1	1	-1	0:06	Safety
17	PHI	PHI 37	11	55	5:12	Field goal +3
18	TB	TB 25	11	77	4:06	Touchdown +8
19	PHI	PHI 25	16	68	9:22	End of game

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 89 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	23/37	277	1	2	1	1.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
D'Andre Swift	16	130	8.1	0	8.4
Kenneth Gainwell	14	43	3.1	0	-6.3
Jalen Hurts	10	28	2.8	1	3.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	9	14	131	0	40%	5.6
Olamide Zaccheaus	2	3	58	1	9%	5.0
Dallas Goedert	5	7	41	0	20%	1.8
DeVonta Smith	4	5	28	0	14%	-1.3
D'Andre Swift	1	2	8	0	6%	-4.5
Jack Stoll	1	2	6	0	6%	-0.0
Kenneth Gainwell	1	2	5	0	6%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Reed Blankenship	6	1	0.0	1	1
Josh Jobe	4	0	0.0	0	0
Jordan Davis	2	1	0.0	0	0
Josh Sweat	1	1	0.0	0	0
Terrell Edmunds	2	0	0.0	0	0
Sydney Brown	1	1	0.0	0	1
Fletcher Cox	0	2	0.5	0	0
Nicholas Morrow	2	0	0.0	0	0
Milton Williams	1	1	0.0	0	0
Marlon Tuipulotu	1	1	1.0	0	0

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Baker Mayfield	15/25	146	1	1	2	1.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Rachaad White	14	38	2.7	-5.1
Baker Mayfield	1	2	2.0	-1.2
Sean Tucker	2	1	0.5	-1.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mike Evans	5	10	60	1	40%	0.8
Chris Godwin	3	5	32	0	20%	1.8
Rachaad White	3	3	24	0	12%	-1.4
Cade Otton	1	2	16	0	8%	0.7
Trey Palmer	1	1	8	0	4%	1.2
Deven Thompkins	2	4	6	0	16%	-2.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Lavonte David	7	4	1.0	0	0
Antoine Winfield	4	6	0.0	0	0
Ryan Neal	4	5	0.0	0	0
Christian Izien	6	2	0.0	0	0
Devin White	4	2	0.0	1	1
Zyon McCollum	3	2	0.0	0	1
Anthony Nelson	1	3	0.0	0	0
William Gholston	2	1	0.0	0	0
Dee Delaney	2	1	0.0	1	1
Jamel Dean	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -6
Closing total: 44
PHI moneyline: -258
TB moneyline: +210

Eagles closed -6 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 44; the game landed 36 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 90°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: PHI 11 days · TB 8 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Todd Bowles