2023 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 24, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
Pittsburgh SteelersWinner
23
Las Vegas Raiders
18
Pittsburgh Steelers 23–18. Biggest swing: Q1 6:21, LV +16% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(6:21) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep middle to 19-C.Austin for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-25-T.Moehrig, Defensive Holding, declined.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 6:21LV +16% win prob(6:21) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep middle to 19-C.Austin for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-25-T.Moehrig, Defensive Holding, declined.
- Q1 · 7:10LV +14% win prob(7:10) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 3:15LV +11% win prob(3:15) 2-D.Carlson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole. PENALTY on PIT-98-D.Leal, Leverage, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 29 - No Play.
- Q3 · 11:48LV +7% win prob(11:48) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass short right to 14-G.Pickens pushed ob at LV 42 for 32 yards (24-M.Peters).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 7:10LV Touchdown
(7:10) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 0 — LV 7 - Q1 · 6:21PIT Touchdown
(6:21) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep middle to 19-C.Austin for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LV-25-T.Moehrig, Defensive Holding, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 7 — LV 7 - Q2 · 8:37PIT Field goal
(8:37) 9-C.Boswell 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: PIT 10 — LV 7 - Q2 · 2:00PIT Field goal
(2:00) 9-C.Boswell 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: PIT 13 — LV 7 - Q3 · 9:33PIT Field goal
(9:33) 9-C.Boswell 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: PIT 16 — LV 7 - Q3 · 4:00PIT Touchdown
(4:00) 8-K.Pickett pass short left to 88-P.Freiermuth for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PIT 23 — LV 7 - Q4 · 5:44LV Touchdown
(5:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: PIT 23 — LV 15 - Q4 · 2:25LV Field goal
(2:25) 2-D.Carlson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: PIT 23 — LV 18
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Steelers | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 68 |
| Total yards | 334 | 364 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.7 (edge) | 5.4 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.02 (edge) | -0.14 |
| Success rate | 37% | 50% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 51% | 74% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.26 (edge) | -0.13 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.23 | -0.19 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/15 (edge) | 4/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 4 |
Raiders outgained Steelers 364–334 but lost the turnover battle 4–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LV
28/44, 324 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT
-7.3 expected points added · -4.4% completion over expected
Passing · PIT
16/28, 235 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
5.9 expected points added · -10.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | 9 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 2 | LV | LV 12 | 4 | 7 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | PIT | PIT 23 | 4 | 4 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 4 | LV | LV 26 | 8 | 79 | 3:23 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | 75 | 0:52 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 7 | PIT | PIT 25 | 7 | 14 | 3:40 | Punt | |
| 8 | LV | LV 14 | 8 | 43 | 3:25 | Interception | |
| 9 | PIT | PIT 31 | 8 | 29 | 3:51 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 12 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 11 | PIT | PIT 23 | 11 | 43 | 5:08 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | LV | LV 25 | 7 | 15 | 1:18 | Punt | |
| 13 | PIT | PIT 20 | 1 | 6 | 0:38 | End of half | |
| 14 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 7 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 15 | PIT | PIT 9 | 9 | 52 | 4:29 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | LV | LV 25 | 6 | 27 | 2:13 | Interception | |
| 17 | PIT | PIT 19 | 7 | 81 | 3:19 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | LV | LV 25 | 11 | 68 | 5:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | PIT | PIT 22 | 4 | 8 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 20 | LV | LV 20 | 12 | 68 | 5:51 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 21 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | 2 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 22 | LV | LV 48 | 9 | 33 | 2:13 | Field goal +3 | |
| 23 | PIT | PIT 25 | 8 | 11 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 24 | LV | LV 15 | 1 | 0 | 0:07 | Interception | |
| 25 | PIT | LV 31 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | End of game |
8 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 81 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Pickett | 16/28 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 19 | 65 | 3.4 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Jaylen Warren | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Kenny Pickett | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Connor Heyward | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 4 | 6 | 75 | 0 | 22% | 6.0 |
| Calvin Austin | 2 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 22% | 2.4 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 3 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 15% | 2.7 |
| Allen Robinson | 4 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 15% | 1.0 |
| Jaylen Warren | 3 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 15% | -0.5 |
| Najee Harris | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Connor Heyward | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -1.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minkah Fitzpatrick | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwon Alexander | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Levi Wallace | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 |
| Patrick Peterson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Robinson | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keanu Neal | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Holcomb | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Damontae Kazee | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Watt | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montravius Adams | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 28/44 | 324 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 17 | 62 | 3.6 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | -0.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 13 | 20 | 172 | 2 | 45% | 8.5 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 7 | 12 | 85 | 0 | 27% | -3.9 |
| Josh Jacobs | 3 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 11% | -0.3 |
| Hunter Renfrow | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 5% | -0.1 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 7% | -1.9 |
| DeAndre Carter | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 2% | -0.1 |
| Michael Mayer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -3.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divine Deablo | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Hobbs | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| John Jenkins | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Spillane | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Peters | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Nichols | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Epps | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maxx Crosby | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerry Tillery | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LV -3
- Closing total
- 43.5
- PIT moneyline
- +124
- LV moneyline
- -148
Raiders closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 41 — under by 2.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Tra Blake
- Rest
- PIT 6 days · LV 7 days
- Coaches
- Mike Tomlin vs Josh McDaniels