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2023 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 24, 2023 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Tennessee Titans

3

Cleveland BrownsWinner

27

CLE -3.5 ✓U 38 ✓

Cleveland Browns 27–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 1:29, TEN +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CLETEN
Q1 · 1:29TEN 0CLE 3CLE ball · 2nd & 8CLE 66%

(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 8-E.Moore to CLE 32 for 4 yards (0-S.Murphy-Bunting). FUMBLES (0-S.Murphy-Bunting), touched at CLE 28, RECOVERED by TEN-0-S.Murphy-Bunting at CLE 22. 0-S.Murphy-

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 1:29TEN +14% win prob(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 8-E.Moore to CLE 32 for 4 yards (0-S.Murphy-Bunting). FUMBLES (0-S.Murphy-Bunting), touched at CLE 28, RECOVERED by TEN-0-S.Murphy-Bunting at CLE 22. 0-S.Murphy-Bunting to CLE 17 for 5 yards (77-W.Teller).
  2. Q2 · 11:15CLE +10% win prob(11:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 2-A.Cooper. PENALTY on TEN-26-K.Fulton, Defensive Pass Interference, 37 yards, enforced at CLE 33 - No Play. Penalty on TEN-49-A.Key, Roughing the Passer, declined.
  3. Q2 · 0:29CLE +7% win prob(:29) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 11-C.Moore to CLE 11 for 33 yards (29-C.Mitchell).
  4. Q2 · 9:44CLE +7% win prob(9:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 34-J.Ford for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:54CLE Field goal

    (7:54) 7-D.Hopkins 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: TEN 0CLE 3
  2. Q2 · 14:18TEN Field goal

    (14:18) 6-N.Folk 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.

    Score after this play: TEN 3CLE 3
  3. Q2 · 9:44CLE Touchdown

    (9:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 34-J.Ford for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 3CLE 10
  4. Q2 · 1:05CLE Field goal

    (1:05) 7-D.Hopkins 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: TEN 3CLE 13
  5. Q3 · 5:54CLE Touchdown

    (5:54) 68-M.Dunn reported in as eligible. 34-J.Ford left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 3CLE 20
  6. Q4 · 6:58CLE Touchdown

    (6:58) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 2-A.Cooper for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: TEN 3CLE 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricTitansBrowns
Offensive plays4567
Total yards94341 (edge)
Yards per play2.15.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.440.02 (edge)
Success rate27%46% (edge)
Dropback rate67%55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.470.20 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.38-0.20 (edge)
Third downs2/126/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)24 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps519 (edge)
Sacks taken53 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)1

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.44.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Deshaun WatsonQB

27/33, 289 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

12.5 expected points added · +19.5% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

13/25, 104 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-14.0 expected points added · -5.9% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Pierre StrongRB

6 att, 27 yds, 0 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

11 att, 20 yds, 0 TD

-4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

7/8 for 116 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 10.4 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Donovan Peoples-JonesWR

3/4 for 49 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CLECLE 2213487:11Field goal +3
2TENTEN 25571:31Punt
3CLECLE 19471:23Punt
4TENTEN 39441:25Punt
5CLECLE 124162:10Fumble
6TENCLE 174-92:06Field goal +3
7CLECLE 2511304:35Touchdown +7
8TENTEN 209115:50Punt
9CLECLE 207462:49Field goal +3
10TENTEN 2511551:00End of half
11TENTEN 258153:37Punt
12CLECLE 1512805:34Touchdown +7
13TENTEN 25521:02Punt
14CLECLE 199334:36Punt
15TENTEN 104-71:52Punt
16CLECLE 3611596:28Touchdown +7
17TENTEN 257142:02Punt
18CLECLE 206223:43Punt
19TENTEN 5221:06End of game

6 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 80 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Tannehill13/25104005-14.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Derrick Henry11201.80-4.8
Tyjae Spears461.50-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DeAndre Hopkins3748029%1.7
Chris Moore2341013%3.7
Chigoziem Okonkwo347017%-2.8
Treylon Burks165025%-3.8
Tyjae Spears443017%-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Roger McCreary551.000
Amani Hooker720.000
Kristian Fulton620.000
Azeez Al-Shaair161.000
Jack Gibbens430.000
Sean Murphy-Bunting600.000
Chance Campbell120.000
Arden Key120.000
Teair Tart300.000
Elijah Molden120.000

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Deshaun Watson27/3328920312.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Pierre Strong6274.50-0.4
Jerome Ford10181.81-4.4
Deshaun Watson4164.001.3
Kareem Hunt5132.60-0.8
Harrison Bryant242.000.9
Marquise Goodwin111.00-0.6
Elijah Moore3-1-0.30-2.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amari Cooper78116126%10.4
Donovan Peoples-Jones3449013%2.6
Elijah Moore9949029%-2.1
Jerome Ford2333110%1.6
Kareem Hunt2322010%2.0
David Njoku4420013%-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CLE -3.5
Closing total
38
TEN moneyline
+154
CLE moneyline
-185

Browns closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 38; the game landed 30 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
68°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
TEN 7 days · CLE 6 days
Coaches
Mike Vrabel vs Kevin Stefanski