For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2023 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 1, 2023 · Nissan Stadium
3
27
Tennessee Titans 27–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 7:56, TEN +12% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(7:56) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 10-D.Hopkins pushed ob at CIN 37 for 38 yards (29-C.Taylor-Britt).
How the points landed
(9:15) 2-E.McPherson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Robbins.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — TEN 0(1:27) 6-N.Folk 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — TEN 3(6:36) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — TEN 10(4:06) (Shotgun) 22-D.Henry left guard for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — TEN 17(:14) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry pass short middle to 81-J.Whyle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CIN 3 — TEN 24(4:41) 6-N.Folk 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: CIN 3 — TEN 27Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Bengals | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 50 | 61 |
| Total yards | 212 | 401 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.2 | 6.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.23 | 0.20 (edge) |
| Success rate | 52% (edge) | 48% |
| Dropback rate | 70% | 51% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.32 | 0.36 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.03 | 0.04 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/9 | 8/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 20 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.23.
Who moved the needle
Passing · TEN
18/25, 240 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
7.2 expected points added · +10.9% completion over expected
Passing · CIN
20/30, 165 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-8.8 expected points added · +6.5% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | CIN 25 | 12 | 72 | 5:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | TEN | TEN 25 | 16 | 40 | 7:48 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | CIN | CIN 25 | 9 | 9 | 3:00 | Fumble | |
| 4 | TEN | TEN 41 | 4 | 7 | 1:46 | Punt | |
| 5 | CIN | CIN 9 | 5 | 19 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 6 | TEN | TEN 22 | 6 | 78 | 2:54 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 25 | 5 | -1 | 0:52 | Punt | |
| 8 | TEN | TEN 27 | 5 | 73 | 1:41 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | CIN | CIN 25 | 7 | 22 | 2:38 | Punt | |
| 10 | TEN | TEN 20 | 8 | 75 | 1:10 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 36 | 2 | 0 | 0:10 | End of half | |
| 12 | TEN | TEN 18 | 16 | 62 | 10:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 25 | 7 | 30 | 3:21 | Fumble | |
| 14 | TEN | TEN 45 | 4 | 7 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 15 | CIN | CIN 13 | 4 | 6 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 16 | TEN | TEN 41 | 5 | 13 | 2:43 | Interception | |
| 17 | CIN | CIN 9 | 12 | 55 | 5:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | TEN | TEN 36 | 7 | 46 | 4:50 | End of game |
6 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 78 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 20/30 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 14 | 67 | 4.8 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Trayveon Williams | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Joe Burrow | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 7 | 9 | 73 | 0 | 33% | 4.8 |
| Tyler Boyd | 4 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 26% | -3.4 |
| Tee Higgins | 2 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 15% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Scott | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dax Hill | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Germaine Pratt | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam Taylor-Britt |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tannehill | 18/25 | 240 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7.2 |
| Derrick Henry | 1/1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Bengals closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 41.5; the game landed 30 — under by 11.5.
Conditions and crew
| -0.4 |
| Tanner Hudson | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 7% | 1.2 |
| Trenton Irwin | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 4% | 2.1 |
| Joe Mixon | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.6 |
| Mitchell Wilcox | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0.4 |
| Drew Sample | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 4% | -1.2 |
| Chase Brown | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 4% | -1.1 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Trey Hendrickson | 2 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Wilson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chidobe Awuzie | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Hubbard | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Murphy | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Hilton | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Derrick Henry | 22 | 122 | 5.5 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Tyjae Spears | 5 | 40 | 8.0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Ryan Tannehill | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | 4 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 23% | 5.5 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 5 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 23% | 1.7 |
| Chris Moore | 1 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 12% | 0.7 |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 12% | 0.5 |
| Josh Whyle | 2 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 8% | 4.5 |
| Tyjae Spears | 3 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 15% | 4.1 |
| Derrick Henry | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4% | 0.7 |
| Colton Dowell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -2.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gibbens | 3 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Azeez Al-Shaair | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Roger McCreary | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Murphy-Bunting | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Hooker | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Denico Autry | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Byard | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffery Simmons | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristian Fulton | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Harold Landry | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
