2023 Week 4 · Mon, Oct 2, 2023 · MetLife Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

New York Giants

SEA -2.5 ✓U 46.5 ✓Seahawks closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Seattle Seahawks 24–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 1:19, SEA +19% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 1:19SEA 20 — NYG 3NYG ball · 2nd & 5SEA 80%

(1:19) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left intended for 0-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Witherspoon at SEA 3. 21-D.Witherspoon for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 1:19SEA +19% win prob(1:19) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left intended for 0-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Witherspoon at SEA 3. 21-D.Witherspoon for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 0:57SEA +15% win prob(:57) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 15 for -10 yards (97-M.Edwards). FUMBLES (97-M.Edwards) [97-M.Edwards], RECOVERED by SEA-56-J.Brooks at NYG 15. 56-J.Brooks pushed ob at NYG 7 for 8 yards (74-M.Peart).
Q2 · 1:52NYG +13% win prob(1:52) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short right to 87-N.Fant for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass short right to 87-N.Fant to NYG 1 for 51 yards (19-I.Simmons).
Q3 · 2:46NYG +7% win prob(2:46) 8-D.Jones scrambles right end to SEA 6 for 10 yards (20-J.Love).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 0:06SEA Touchdown
(:06) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 14-D.Metcalf for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 7 — NYG 0
Q2 · 3:10NYG Field goal
(3:10) 9-G.Gano 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: SEA 7 — NYG 3
Q2 · 1:42SEA Touchdown
(1:42) (Shotgun) 9-K.Walker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-99-L.Williams, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty on SEA-75-A.Bradford, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 14 — NYG 3
Q3 · 1:19SEA Touchdown
(1:19) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left intended for 0-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Witherspoon at SEA 3. 21-D.Witherspoon for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 21 — NYG 3
Q4 · 5:29SEA Field goal
(5:29) 5-J.Myers 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 24 — NYG 3

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Giants
Offensive plays	51	74
Total yards	281 (edge)	248
Yards per play	5.5 (edge)	3.4
Expected points added / play	-0.11 (edge)	-0.45
Success rate	39% (edge)	35%
Dropback rate	57%	69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.21 (edge)	-0.51
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.02 (edge)	-0.33
Third downs	3/12	6/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	12	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	11
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.45.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

27/34, 203 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-29.0 expected points added · +8.2% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

13/20, 110 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-9.1 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth WalkerRB

17 att, 79 yds, 1 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

10 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

4/6 for 54 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 0.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Matt BreidaRB

5/5 for 48 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	12	48	6:15	Turnover on downs
2	SEA	SEA 27	4	-7	1:31	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 33	5	15	1:57	Punt
4	SEA	SEA 20	6	38	3:40	Punt
5	NYG	NYG 14	2	1	0:52	Fumble
6	SEA	NYG 7	3	7	0:45	Touchdown +7
7	NYG	NYG 10	8	27	3:06	Punt
8	SEA	SEA 22	5	23	2:38	Punt
9	NYG	NYG 2	12	61	6:11	Field goal +3
10	SEA	SEA 25	9	75	1:26	Touchdown +7
11	NYG	NYG 25	5	3	0:46	Punt
12	SEA	SEA 11	6	19	0:53	End of half
13	SEA	SEA 28	10	77	5:57	Turnover on downs
14	NYG	NYG 16	4	-4	1:38	Punt
15	SEA	NYG 40	4	5	0:54	Missed field goal
16	NYG	NYG 43	11	37	5:28	Defensive touchdown
17	NYG	NYG 25	11	12	4:43	Punt
18	SEA	SEA 30	4	3	0:57	Punt
19	NYG	NYG 13	6	31	1:57	Interception
20	SEA	NYG 45	6	34	3:00	Field goal +3
21	NYG	NYG 25	7	11	1:56	Turnover on downs
22	SEA	NYG 35	4	7	2:19	Turnover on downs
23	NYG	NYG 29	2	6	1:11	End of game

4 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 77 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	13/20	110	1	0	2	-9.1
Drew Lock	2/6	63	0	0	0	1.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenneth Walker	17	79	4.6	1	-0.3
Zach Charbonnet	5	31	6.2	0	0.6
Drew Lock	1	11	11.0	0	1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Noah Fant	2	2	63	0	8%	6.1
Tyler Lockett	4	6	54	0	23%	0.5
DK Metcalf	3	4	34	1	15%	2.5
Cody Thompson	1	1	10	0	4%	0.4
Zach Charbonnet	1	3	9	0	12%	-4.8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	6	5	0	23%	-3.3
Colby Parkinson	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.6
DeeJay Dallas	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.3
Jake Bobo	0	1	0	0	4%	-2.6
Geno Smith	1	1	-2	0	4%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Bobby Wagner	8	8	2.0	0	0
Jordyn Brooks	4	6	2.0	0	0
Julian Love	5	4	0.0	0	0
Tariq Woolen	4	3	0.0	0	1
Devon Witherspoon	5	1	2.0	1	1
Uchenna Nwosu	4	2	2.0	0	0
Myles Adams	1	3	1.0	0	0
Quandre Diggs	3	0	0.0	1	1
Mario Edwards	2	1	1.0	0	1
Jarran Reed	3	0	0.0	0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	27/34	203	0	2	10	-29.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Daniel Jones	10	66	6.6	1.3
Matt Breida	14	30	2.1	-3.0
Gary Brightwell	4	9	2.3	-2.0
Wan'Dale Robinson	1	7	7.0	0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Matt Breida	5	5	48	16%	3.1
Wan'Dale Robinson	5	6	40	19%	6.3
Isaiah Hodgins	3	3	24	9%	1.3
Darius Slayton	2	3	23	9%	0.6
Darren Waller	3	3	21	9%	0.4
Parris Campbell	3	5	15	16%	-17.9
Gary Brightwell	1	2	10	6%	-0.0
Jalin Hyatt	2	2	10	6%	-0.1
Daniel Bellinger	1	1	6	3%	0.3
Sterling Shepard	1	1	6	3%	-0.4
Ben Bredeson	1	1	0	3%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Bobby Okereke	6	4	0.0	1
Deonte Banks	4	1	0.0	0
Micah McFadden	3	1	0.0	1
Adoree' Jackson	3	1	0.0	0
Isaiah Simmons	4	0	0.0	0
Jason Pinnock	2	1	0.0	0
Xavier McKinney	1	1	0.0	0
Kayvon Thibodeaux	2	0	2.0	1
Gary Brightwell	1	0	0.0	0
Matt Peart	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -2.5
Closing total: 46.5
SEA moneyline: -142
NYG moneyline: +120

Seahawks closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 27 — under by 19.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 67°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: SEA 8 days · NYG 11 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Brian Daboll