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2023 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 1, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field
31
34
Philadelphia Eagles 34–31 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 4:04, PHI +38% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(4:04) 4-J.Elliott 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
How the points landed
(7:55) (Shotgun) 4-C.Samuel left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 7 — PHI 0(1:20) (Shotgun) 0-D.Swift left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 7 — PHI 7(13:08) (Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson left end to PHI 1 for no gain (41-N.Morrow; 24-J.Bradberry). FUMBLES (41-N.Morrow), recovered by WAS-17-T.McLaurin at PHI -4. TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 14 — PHI 7(1:42) 6-J.Slye 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
Score after this play: WAS 17 — PHI 7(:04) 4-J.Elliott 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: WAS 17 — PHI 10(11:43) 4-J.Elliott 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: WAS 17 — PHI 13(7:24) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on WAS-90-M.Sweat, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: WAS 17 — PHI 21(14:17) 4-J.Elliott 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: WAS 17 — PHI 24(8:07) 8-B.Robinson left guard for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 24 — PHI 24(1:49) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 11-A.Brown for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-11-A.Brown, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 24 — PHI 31(:02) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short right to 1-J.Dotson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 31 — PHI 31(4:04) 4-J.Elliott 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: WAS 31 — PHI 34Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 74 | 68 |
| Total yards | 365 | 417 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.9 | 6.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.20 (edge) | 0.18 |
| Success rate | 41% | 49% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.21 | 0.24 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.19 (edge) | 0.05 |
| Third downs | 8/17 (edge) | 4/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 3 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Who moved the needle
Passing · PHI
25/37, 319 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
10.6 expected points added · +10.5% completion over expected
Passing · WAS
29/41, 290 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
7.7 expected points added · +10.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 25 | 16 | 75 | 7:08 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 25 | 14 | 65 | 6:35 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | WAS | WAS 25 | 9 | 67 | 3:21 | Turnover on downs +7 | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 25 | 7 | 24 | 2:42 | Punt | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 21 | 4 | -6 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 43 | 4 | -3 | 1:47 | Punt | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 26 | 11 | 56 | 4:27 | Field goal +3 | |
| 8 | PHI | PHI 25 | 9 | 52 | 1:39 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | PHI | PHI 25 | 10 | 45 | 3:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 10 | WAS | WAS 25 | 6 | 6 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 11 | PHI | PHI 26 | 5 | 71 | 2:13 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 12 | WAS | WAS 25 | 8 | 12 | 2:57 | Punt | |
| 13 | PHI | PHI 31 | 10 | 46 | 4:59 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | WAS | WAS 25 | 13 | 65 | 6:14 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | PHI | PHI 25 | 6 | 26 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 16 | WAS | WAS 7 | 7 | 21 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 17 | PHI | PHI 43 | 7 | 57 | 1:37 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | WAS | WAS 36 | 12 | 64 | 1:43 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 20 | PHI | PHI 41 | 10 | 34 | 4:28 | Field goal +3 |
12 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 75 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Howell | 29/41 | 290 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 14 | 45 | 3.2 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Sam Howell | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Antonio Gibson | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Logan Thomas | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Curtis Samuel | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 8 | 10 | 86 | 0 | 26% | 2.7 |
| Curtis Samuel | 7 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 21% | 3.1 |
| Dyami Brown | 2 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 8% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamren Curl | 8 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Barton | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Forbes | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Darrick Forrest |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 25/37 | 319 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 14 | 56 | 4.0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Eagles closed -9.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 43; the game landed 65 — over by 22.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 4.7 |
| Logan Thomas | 3 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 8% | 3.2 |
| Jahan Dotson | 4 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 23% | 1.2 |
| Byron Pringle | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 5% | -0.4 |
| Antonio Gibson | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | 1.1 |
| Brian Robinson | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5% | -0.4 |
| John Bates | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Jamin Davis | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin St-Juste | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Allen | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Young | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Fuller | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montez Sweat | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -0.5 |
| Jalen Hurts | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Brown | 9 | 13 | 175 | 2 | 38% | 12.1 |
| DeVonta Smith | 7 | 9 | 78 | 0 | 26% | -1.8 |
| Dallas Goedert | 2 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 12% | 1.5 |
| D'Andre Swift | 4 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 12% | 3.0 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 6% | 1.0 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6% | 0.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cunningham | 9 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Slay | 9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicholas Morrow | 9 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reed Blankenship | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Josh Sweat | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Bradberry | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Edmunds | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fletcher Cox | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Haason Reddick | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Milton Williams | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
