2023 Week 5 · Mon, Oct 9, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
Green Bay Packers
13
Las Vegas RaidersWinner
17
Las Vegas Raiders 17–13. Biggest swing: Q4 0:51, GB +29% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left intended for 9-C.Watson INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Robertson at LV -6. Touchback.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:51GB +29% win prob(:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left intended for 9-C.Watson INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Robertson at LV -6. Touchback.
- Q3 · 7:15LV +19% win prob(7:15) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 9-C.Watson to LV 6 for 77 yards (24-M.Peters). PENALTY on LV-24-M.Peters, Horse Collar Tackle, 3 yards, enforced at LV 6.
- Q4 · 2:00GB +19% win prob(2:00) 2-D.Carlson 52 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
- Q2 · 4:09GB +16% win prob(4:09) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left intended for 87-R.Doubs INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Spillane at GB 31. 41-R.Spillane pushed ob at GB 7 for 24 yards (11-J.Reed).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 2:41GB Field goal
(2:41) 17-A.Carlson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: GB 3 — LV 0 - Q2 · 4:13LV Touchdown
(4:13) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 16-J.Meyers for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 3 — LV 7 - Q2 · 2:35LV Field goal
(2:35) 2-D.Carlson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: GB 3 — LV 10 - Q3 · 8:32GB Touchdown
(8:32) (Shotgun) 28-A.Dillon up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 10 — LV 10 - Q3 · 5:19GB Field goal
(5:19) 17-A.Carlson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
Score after this play: GB 13 — LV 10 - Q4 · 15:00LV Touchdown
(15:00) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: GB 13 — LV 17
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Packers | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 57 | 61 |
| Total yards | 285 (edge) | 281 |
| Yards per play | 5.0 (edge) | 4.6 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.19 | -0.08 (edge) |
| Success rate | 46% | 48% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 60% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.39 | -0.07 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.11 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Third downs | 4/12 | 5/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 | 19 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Packers outgained Raiders 285–281 but lost the turnover battle 3–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LV
22/31, 208 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-0.7 expected points added · +0.2% completion over expected
Passing · GB
16/30, 182 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
-14.8 expected points added · -16.0% completion over expected
Receiving · GB
3/7 for 91 yds, 0 TD
24% of team targets · -2.8 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 25 | 10 | 28 | 4:39 | Punt | |
| 2 | LV | LV 13 | 7 | 25 | 3:51 | Punt | |
| 3 | GB | GB 7 | 8 | 60 | 3:52 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | LV | LV 25 | 7 | 33 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 5 | GB | GB 10 | 5 | 11 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 6 | LV | LV 38 | 15 | 57 | 8:28 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | GB | GB 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:09 | Interception | |
| 8 | LV | GB 7 | 4 | -1 | 1:28 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | 3 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 10 | LV | LV 24 | 8 | 41 | 0:48 | Missed field goal | |
| 11 | GB | GB 43 | 1 | 11 | 0:07 | End of half | |
| 12 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 12 | 2:11 | Interception | |
| 13 | GB | LV 37 | 9 | 37 | 4:22 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | LV | LV 28 | 5 | 4 | 1:12 | Punt | |
| 15 | GB | GB 17 | 5 | 76 | 1:59 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | LV | LV 25 | 12 | 75 | 5:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | GB | GB 25 | 11 | 28 | 5:45 | Interception | |
| 18 | LV | LV 42 | 4 | 2 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 19 | GB | GB 17 | 4 | 8 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 20 | LV | LV 33 | 8 | 33 | 3:39 | Missed field goal | |
| 21 | GB | GB 42 | 8 | 23 | 1:12 | Interception | |
| 22 | LV | LV 20 | 2 | 0 | 0:44 | End of game |
6 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 76 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
Box score
Green Bay Packers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | 16/30 | 182 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -14.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Dillon | 20 | 76 | 3.8 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Jordan Love | 2 | 37 | 18.5 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Taylor | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Christian Watson | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson | 3 | 7 | 91 | 0 | 24% | -2.8 |
| Luke Musgrave | 6 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 24% | 0.4 |
| Josiah Deguara | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3% | 1.2 |
| Ben Sims | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3% | 0.7 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 1.9 |
| Jayden Reed | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7% | -1.8 |
| Patrick Taylor | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17% | -2.4 |
| Romeo Doubs | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14% | -8.1 |
| A.J. Dillon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McDuffie | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Wilson | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rudy Ford | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Keisean Nixon | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Clark | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quay Walker | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashan Gary | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston Smith | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kingsley Enagbare | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rasul Douglas | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 22/31 | 208 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -0.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 20 | 69 | 3.5 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| DeAndre Carter | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 7 | 10 | 75 | 1 | 34% | 0.9 |
| Davante Adams | 4 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 14% | 5.1 |
| Michael Mayer | 2 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 10% | 1.7 |
| Josh Jacobs | 5 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 17% | -0.9 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 2.5 |
| Austin Hooper | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 7% | -0.2 |
| Hunter Renfrow | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7% | 0.1 |
| Tre Tucker | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.6 |
| DeAndre Carter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.0 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divine Deablo | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Spillane | 2 | 7 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Peters | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Maxx Crosby | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Hall | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Nichols | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amik Robertson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Adam Butler | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roderic Teamer | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LV -1
- Closing total
- 45
- GB moneyline
- -102
- LV moneyline
- -118
Raiders closed -1 and covered, winning by 4.
Total closed 45; the game landed 30 — under by 15.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Alan Eck
- Rest
- GB 11 days · LV 8 days
- Coaches
- Matt LaFleur vs Josh McDaniels