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2023 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 8, 2023 · Hard Rock Stadium

New York Giants

16

Miami DolphinsWinner

31

MIA -12.5 ✓U 47.5 ✓

Miami Dolphins 31–16. Biggest swing: Q2 1:55, NYG +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MIA ↑NYG ↓
Q2 · 1:55NYG 9 — MIA 14MIA ball · 3rd & 4MIA 98%

(1:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left intended for 17-J.Waddle INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Pinnock (58-B.Okereke) at NYG -2. 27-J.Pinnock for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 1:55NYG +10% win prob(1:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left intended for 17-J.Waddle INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Pinnock (58-B.Okereke) at NYG -2. 27-J.Pinnock for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 13:00NYG +6% win prob(13:00) 28-D.Achane left tackle to NYG 35 for 8 yards (29-X.McKinney). FUMBLES (29-X.McKinney), RECOVERED by NYG-5-K.Thibodeaux at NYG 38.
  3. Q3 · 14:15MIA +5% win prob(14:15) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep right to 10-T.Hill for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIA-10-T.Hill, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  4. Q1 · 11:35MIA +4% win prob(11:35) 6-J.Gillan punts 38 yards to MIA 11, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 0-B.Berrios.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:16MIA Touchdown

    (7:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 17-J.Waddle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — MIA 7
  2. Q2 · 10:12MIA Touchdown

    (10:12) (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane left tackle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — MIA 14
  3. Q2 · 3:46NYG Field goal

    (3:46) 9-G.Gano 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — MIA 14
  4. Q2 · 1:55NYG Touchdown

    (1:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left intended for 17-J.Waddle INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Pinnock (58-B.Okereke) at NYG -2. 27-J.Pinnock for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — MIA 14
  5. Q2 · 0:04MIA Field goal

    (:04) 7-J.Sanders 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — MIA 17
  6. Q3 · 14:15MIA Touchdown

    (14:15) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep right to 10-T.Hill for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIA-10-T.Hill, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — MIA 24
  7. Q3 · 4:31NYG Field goal

    (4:31) 9-G.Gano 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — MIA 24
  8. Q3 · 0:01MIA Touchdown

    (:01) (No Huddle) 31-R.Mostert up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 13 — MIA 31
  9. Q4 · 8:56NYG Field goal

    (8:56) 9-G.Gano 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 16 — MIA 31

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsDolphins
Offensive plays6852
Total yards268525 (edge)
Yards per play3.910.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.160.10 (edge)
Success rate38%60% (edge)
Dropback rate63%60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.01 (edge)-0.07
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.460.34 (edge)
Third downs5/173/7 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)310 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1322 (edge)
Sacks taken71 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Tua TagovailoaQB

22/30, 308 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-1.8 expected points added · +9.3% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

14/20, 119 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-4.6 expected points added · +6.6% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Devon AchaneRB

11 att, 151 yds, 1 TD

4.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Raheem MostertRB

10 att, 65 yds, 1 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Tyreek HillWR

8/9 for 181 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 14.3 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darren WallerTE

8/11 for 86 yds, 0 TD

37% of team targets · 6.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 257263:33Punt
2MIAMIA 119894:18Touchdown +7
3NYGNYG 2514487:14Missed field goal
4MIAMIA 454172:02Fumble
5NYGNYG 38471:53Punt
6MIAMIA 64940:58Touchdown +7
7NYGNYG 2514446:21Field goal +3
8MIAMIA 256762:01Defensive touchdown
9MIAMIA 2810501:40Field goal +3
10MIAMIA 255750:54Touchdown +7
11NYGNYG 2510304:49Punt
12MIAMIA 105252:33Interception
13NYGMIA 234142:18Field goal +3
14MIAMIA 2510754:26Touchdown +7
15NYGNYG 25570:53Punt
16MIAMIA 28431:22Punt
17NYGNYG 4910183:54Field goal +3
18MIAMIA 25592:26Punt
19NYGNYG 1713745:04Turnover on downs
20MIAMIA 174121:21End of game

8 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 94 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones14/20119006-4.6
Tyrod Taylor9/12860012.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Eric Gray12252.10-7.3
Daniel Jones4246.002.8
Matt Breida9212.30-4.6
Tyrod Taylor3144.700.6
Wan'Dale Robinson111.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darren Waller81186037%6.1
Darius Slayton2435013%2.8
Parris Campbell222307%1.8
Isaiah Hodgins221907%1.3
Wan'Dale Robinson5618020%-3.3
Sterling Shepard121307%1.2
Daniel Bellinger11703%0.4
Matt Breida11303%-0.3
Eric Gray11103%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bobby Okereke460.012
Isaiah Simmons620.000
Xavier McKinney710.001
Jason Pinnock400.011
Dane Belton220.000
Kayvon Thibodeaux111.000
Cordale Flott200.001
Tre Hawkins200.000
Deonte Banks200.001
Carter Coughlin100.000

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tua Tagovailoa22/30308221-1.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Devon Achane1115113.714.7
Raheem Mostert10656.512.4
Tua Tagovailoa263.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tyreek Hill89181132%14.3
Cedrick Wilson4452014%2.8
Jaylen Waddle51035136%-17.7
Devon Achane111404%0.9
Raheem Mostert221307%-0.1
Braxton Berrios221307%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerome Baker441.500
David Long Jr.350.000
Eli Apple710.501
Bradley Chubb520.000
Kader Kohou510.000
Zach Sieler512.000
DeShon Elliott410.000
Christian Wilkins040.500
Jevon Holland400.001
Xavien Howard310.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -12.5
Closing total
47.5
NYG moneyline
+525
MIA moneyline
-750

Dolphins closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 15.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 47 — under by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
88°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
NYG 6 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Mike McDaniel