2023 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 8, 2023 · SoFi Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Los Angeles Rams

PHI -3.5 ✓U 50.5 ✓DomeEagles closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 9.

Philadelphia Eagles 23–14. Biggest swing: Q2 0:38, LA +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:38PHI 10 — LA 13LA ball · 3rd & 10PHI 62%

(:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:38LA +18% win prob(:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 0:07LA +16% win prob(:07) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short left to 11-A.Brown. PENALTY on LA-1-D.Kendrick, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, enforced at LA 14 - No Play.
Q2 · 0:17LA +12% win prob(:17) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 11-A.Brown to LA 28 for 38 yards (1-D.Kendrick). PENALTY on LA-1-D.Kendrick, Horse Collar Tackle, 14 yards, enforced at LA 28.
Q3 · 7:41PHI +10% win prob(7:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right intended for 11-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 44-A.Witherspoon at LA -1. Touchback.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:41PHI Touchdown
(8:41) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — LA 0
Q1 · 2:04LA Touchdown
(2:04) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 5-T.Atwell for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — LA 7
Q2 · 2:19PHI Field goal
(2:19) 4-J.Elliott 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 10 — LA 7
Q2 · 0:38LA Touchdown
(:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-P.Nacua for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 10 — LA 14
Q2 · 0:02PHI Touchdown
(:02) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — LA 14
Q4 · 12:33PHI Field goal
(12:33) 4-J.Elliott 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 20 — LA 14
Q4 · 4:09PHI Field goal
(4:09) 4-J.Elliott 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 23 — LA 14

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Rams
Offensive plays	78	55
Total yards	454 (edge)	249
Yards per play	5.8 (edge)	4.5
Expected points added / play	0.15 (edge)	-0.00
Success rate	49% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	55%	75%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.28 (edge)	-0.06
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.01	0.17 (edge)
Third downs	13/18 (edge)	6/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	15
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	4
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.15 expected points added per play vs -0.00.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

25/38, 303 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

7.8 expected points added · +3.9% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

21/37, 222 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-2.5 expected points added · -7.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

15 att, 72 yds, 1 TD

6.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

17 att, 70 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

6/8 for 127 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

8/12 for 118 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 6.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	14	75	6:23	Touchdown +7
2	LA	LA 25	16	75	6:36	Touchdown +7
3	PHI	PHI 25	11	25	3:20	Punt
4	LA	LA 9	7	18	3:02	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 28	15	56	8:24	Field goal +3
6	LA	LA 25	8	75	1:43	Touchdown +7
7	PHI	PHI 25	6	48	0:32	Touchdown +7
8	LA	LA 25	9	17	3:51	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 5	7	75	3:33	Interception
10	LA	LA 20	6	13	1:58	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 9	17	83	8:09	Field goal +3
12	LA	LA 25	8	17	2:34	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 20	10	72	5:49	Field goal +3
14	LA	LA 25	7	3	1:20	Turnover on downs
15	PHI	LA 28	7	20	1:45	Turnover on downs
16	LA	LA 8	5	31	1:01	End of game

7 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 83 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	25/38	303	1	1	1	7.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	15	72	4.8	1	6.3
D'Andre Swift	17	70	4.1	0	-0.7
Kenneth Gainwell	7	17	2.4	0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	6	8	127	0	24%	4.7
Dallas Goedert	8	9	117	1	26%	10.1
D'Andre Swift	6	6	38	0	18%	1.9
Kenneth Gainwell	1	2	7	0	6%	0.6
DeVonta Smith	1	5	6	0	15%	-2.2
Quez Watkins	2	3	4	0	9%	-3.1
Jack Stoll	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Reed Blankenship	5	2	0.0	0
Jalen Carter	3	1	2.0	0
Darius Slay	4	0	0.0	0
Nicholas Morrow	4	0	0.0	0
Zach Cunningham	1	3	0.0	0
Justin Evans	2	2	0.0	1
Josh Sweat	3	0	0.0	0
James Bradberry	2	1	0.0	1
Haason Reddick	2	0	2.0	0
Kentavius Street	1	0	0.0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matthew Stafford	21/37	222	2	0	4	-2.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kyren Williams	13	53	4.1	0	2.9
Ronnie Rivers	1	1	1.0	0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cooper Kupp	8	12	118	0	35%	6.7
Puka Nacua	7	11	71	1	32%	0.7
Tyler Higbee	2	3	20	0	9%	-0.0
Tutu Atwell	2	5	9	1	15%	1.0
Kyren Williams	2	2	4	0	6%	-0.6
Ben Skowronek	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Ernest Jones	7	5	0	0
Jordan Fuller	4	5	0	1
Derion Kendrick	7	1	0	0
Cobie Durant	1	4	0	0
Russ Yeast	3	2	0	0
Michael Hoecht	2	3	0	0
Jonah Williams	2	2	0	0
Bobby Brown	3	1	0	0
Ahkello Witherspoon	4	0	1	1
Christian Rozeboom	3	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -3.5
Closing total: 50.5
PHI moneyline: -192
LA moneyline: +160

Eagles closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 9.

Total closed 50.5; the game landed 37 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: PHI 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Sean McVay