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2023 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 15, 2023 · SoFi Stadium

Arizona Cardinals

9

Los Angeles RamsWinner

26

LA -7 ✓U 48 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Rams 26–9 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 13:38, LA +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LA ↑ARI ↓
Q2 · 13:38ARI 3 — LA 3ARI ball · 4th & 11LA 75%

(13:38) 12-B.Gillikin punts 45 yards to LA 15, Center-46-A.Brewer. 81-A.Trammell to LA 16 for 1 yard (26-B.Price, 32-J.Blount). FUMBLES (32-J.Blount), touched at LA 16, RECOVERED by ARI-26-B.Price at LA 17.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 13:38LA +14% win prob(13:38) 12-B.Gillikin punts 45 yards to LA 15, Center-46-A.Brewer. 81-A.Trammell to LA 16 for 1 yard (26-B.Price, 32-J.Blount). FUMBLES (32-J.Blount), touched at LA 16, RECOVERED by ARI-26-B.Price at LA 17.
  2. Q2 · 0:43LA +13% win prob(:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 10-C.Kupp to ARI 26 for 49 yards (13-K.Clark).
  3. Q3 · 9:01LA +11% win prob(9:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q2 · 7:16ARI +10% win prob(7:16) (Shotgun) 9-J.Dobbs pass incomplete deep right to 2-M.Brown.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:30ARI Field goal

    (11:30) 5-M.Prater 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 3 — LA 0
  2. Q1 · 0:15LA Field goal

    (:15) 8-B.Maher 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: ARI 3 — LA 3
  3. Q2 · 12:38ARI Field goal

    (12:38) 5-M.Prater 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 6 — LA 3
  4. Q2 · 0:46ARI Field goal

    (:46) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: ARI 9 — LA 3
  5. Q2 · 0:08LA Field goal

    (:08) 8-B.Maher 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: ARI 9 — LA 6
  6. Q3 · 9:01LA Touchdown

    (9:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 9 — LA 13
  7. Q3 · 2:47LA Field goal

    (2:47) 8-B.Maher 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: ARI 9 — LA 16
  8. Q4 · 8:24LA Touchdown

    (8:24) (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams right end to ARI 1 for 4 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 23-K.Williams right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: ARI 9 — LA 23
  9. Q4 · 4:42LA Field goal

    (4:42) 8-B.Maher 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: ARI 9 — LA 26

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCardinalsRams
Offensive plays7253
Total yards346382 (edge)
Yards per play4.87.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.260.14 (edge)
Success rate36%49% (edge)
Dropback rate64%49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.270.12 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.250.16 (edge)
Third downs6/16 (edge)4/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)79 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps18 (edge)16
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers20 (edge)

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.26.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Joshua DobbsQB

21/41, 235 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-17.5 expected points added · -10.1% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

15/24, 226 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.3 expected points added · +3.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

20 att, 158 yds, 1 TD

7.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Joshua DobbsQB

7 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

7/9 for 148 yds, 1 TD

43% of team targets · 10.2 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Trey McBrideTE

4/5 for 62 yds, 0 TD

13% of team targets · -0.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 259383:35Field goal +3
2LALA 257252:16Punt
3ARIARI 712407:02Punt
4LALA 416431:56Field goal +3
5ARIARI 256151:44Punt
6ARILA 17430:52Field goal +3
7LALA 255-22:07Punt
8ARIARI 416233:19Turnover on downs
9LALA 414-12:04Punt
10ARIARI 2811484:22Field goal +3
11LALA 256580:39Field goal +3
12ARIARI 25200:04End of half
13LALA 2512756:03Touchdown +7
14ARIARI 25581:42Punt
15LALA 148844:31Field goal +3
16ARIARI 257482:50Interception
17LALA 1213886:35Touchdown +7
18ARIARI 256182:04Fumble
19LAARI 33481:38Field goal +3
20ARIARI 259351:05Turnover on downs
21LALA 47441:41Punt
22ARIARI 209701:51End of game

9 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 88 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joshua Dobbs21/41235012-17.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Joshua Dobbs7476.702.8
Keaontay Ingram10404.00-1.7
Damien Williams8364.50-0.4
Emari Demercado2115.500.6
Rondale Moore3-4-1.30-2.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Trey McBride4562013%-0.4
Michael Wilson3462011%6.0
Marquise Brown41134029%-5.0
Rondale Moore4730018%0.7
Zach Ertz2522013%-6.7
Keaontay Ingram221105%0.3
Damien Williams11803%0.5
Emari Demercado11603%-0.1
Greg Dortch01003%-0.5
Zach Pascal01003%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kyzir White531.000
Josh Woods330.000
Marco Wilson500.000
Antonio Hamilton320.000
Andre Chachere220.000
Jonathan Ledbetter220.000
Kei'Trel Clark300.000
K'Von Wallace200.000
Victor Dimukeje111.000
Zach Ertz100.000

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford15/242261033.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams201587.917.6
Zach Evans4102.50-2.1
Ronnie Rivers393.00-1.1
Matthew Stafford122.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cooper Kupp79148143%10.2
Tutu Atwell113005%1.8
Puka Nacua4726033%-1.5
Tyler Higbee2318014%-1.1
Ronnie Rivers11405%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ernest Jones630.000
Byron Young331.000
Jordan Fuller410.000
Aaron Donald320.000
Cobie Durant220.002
Kobie Turner130.001
Michael Hoecht220.000
Jonah Williams211.000
Russ Yeast210.000
Ahkello Witherspoon300.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -7
Closing total
48
ARI moneyline
+270
LA moneyline
-340

Rams closed -7 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 48; the game landed 35 — under by 13.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
ARI 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches
Jonathan Gannon vs Sean McVay

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.