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2023 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 15, 2023 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

14

New York JetsWinner

20

PHI -6.5 upsetU 43 ✓

New York Jets 20–14. Biggest swing: Q4 2:00, PHI +44% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYJPHI
Q4 · 2:00PHI 14NYJ 12PHI ball · 3rd & 9PHI 90%

(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Adams at NYJ 47. 22-T.Adams to PHI 8 for 45 yards (69-L.Dickerson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 2:00PHI +44% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Adams at NYJ 47. 22-T.Adams to PHI 8 for 45 yards (69-L.Dickerson).
  2. Q4 · 1:24PHI +15% win prob(1:24) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep middle to 6-D.Smith (3-J.Whitehead).
  3. Q4 · 1:50NYJ +12% win prob(1:50) 20-Bre.Hall up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 13:53PHI +11% win prob(13:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right intended for 6-D.Smith INTERCEPTED by 37-Bry.Hall (11-J.Johnson) at NYJ 33. 37-Bry.Hall to NYJ 38 for 5 yards (13-O.Zaccheaus).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:08PHI Touchdown

    (3:08) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to NYJ 1 for 2 yards (47-B.Huff, 57-C.Mosley). FUMBLES (57-C.Mosley), recovered by PHI-13-O.Zaccheaus at NYJ 1. The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 7NYJ 0
  2. Q2 · 13:15NYJ Field goal

    (13:15) 9-G.Zuerlein 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: PHI 7NYJ 3
  3. Q2 · 5:38PHI Touchdown

    (5:38) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 0-D.Swift for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-J.Franklin-Myers]. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 14NYJ 3
  4. Q2 · 2:34NYJ Field goal

    (2:34) 9-G.Zuerlein 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: PHI 14NYJ 6
  5. Q2 · 0:02NYJ Field goal

    (:02) 9-G.Zuerlein 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: PHI 14NYJ 9
  6. Q3 · 0:48NYJ Field goal

    (:48) 9-G.Zuerlein 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: PHI 14NYJ 12
  7. Q4 · 1:50NYJ Touchdown

    (1:50) 20-Bre.Hall up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: PHI 14NYJ 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesJets
Offensive plays6958
Total yards348 (edge)248
Yards per play5.0 (edge)4.3
Expected points added / play-0.12 (edge)-0.14
Success rate42% (edge)38%
Dropback rate72%71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.18 (edge)-0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.030.04 (edge)
Third downs7/14 (edge)2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)5 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)15
Sacks taken2 (edge)5
Turnovers40 (edge)

Eagles outgained Jets 348–248 but lost the turnover battle 4–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

28/45, 280 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT

-6.5 expected points added · -3.0% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Zach WilsonQB

19/33, 186 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-8.8 expected points added · -9.0% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

8 att, 47 yds, 1 TD

6.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

12 att, 39 yds, 1 TD

-0.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

7/9 for 131 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 13.3 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Garrett WilsonWR

8/12 for 90 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYJNYJ 25772:09Punt
2PHIPHI 920839:47Touchdown +7
3NYJNYJ 2512494:52Field goal +3
4PHIPHI 258292:39Interception
5NYJPHI 45492:08Turnover on downs
6PHIPHI 367642:53Touchdown +7
7NYJNYJ 259513:02Field goal +3
8PHIPHI 254170:50Fumble
9NYJNYJ 498291:40Field goal +3
10PHIPHI 258273:43Punt
11NYJNYJ 77694:09Punt
12PHIPHI 7441:38Punt
13NYJPHI 3610164:45Field goal +3
14PHIPHI 256332:03Interception
15NYJNYJ 38401:41Punt
16PHIPHI 189633:48Missed field goal
17NYJNYJ 27683:30Punt
18PHIPHI 208262:53Interception
19NYJPHI 82100:04Touchdown +8
20PHIPHI 25520:30Turnover on downs
21NYJPHI 27201:16End of game

7 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 83 scrimmage yards over 20 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts28/45280132-6.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jalen Hurts8475.916.3
D'Andre Swift10181.80-2.5
Kenneth Gainwell2136.50-0.2
Boston Scott221.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown79131021%13.3
DeVonta Smith51144026%-8.4
Dallas Goedert5842019%-6.7
D'Andre Swift81040123%-3.8
Boston Scott111402%1.8
Olamide Zaccheaus12505%-0.6
Kenneth Gainwell12405%-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nicholas Morrow330.000
Reed Blankenship410.001
James Bradberry410.002
Haason Reddick412.500
Terrell Edmunds220.000
Milton Williams130.500
Nakobe Dean310.000
Zach Cunningham220.000
Jordan Davis030.500
Josh Jobe210.002

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Zach Wilson19/33186005-8.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall12393.31-0.3
Xavier Gipson11818.001.1
Zach Wilson4153.80-2.8
Dalvin Cook3124.00-0.1
Michael Carter155.00-0.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Garrett Wilson81290036%2.2
Breece Hall5554015%1.2
Tyler Conklin3424012%-1.6
Jeremy Ruckert11803%0.8
Allen Lazard13809%-0.1
Dalvin Cook11203%-0.4
Michael Carter01003%-1.1
Mecole Hardman02006%-1.2
Randall Cobb03009%-0.4
C.J. Uzomah01003%-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quincy Williams930.001
C.J. Mosley710.001
Tony Adams420.011
Jordan Whitehead300.002
Bryce Hall120.012
Michael Carter300.000
John Franklin-Myers110.000
Quinnen Williams110.011
Bryce Huff111.500
Ashtyn Davis110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -6.5
Closing total
43
PHI moneyline
-305
NYJ moneyline
+245

Eagles closed -6.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43; the game landed 34 — under by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
59°F, wind 11 mph
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
PHI 7 days · NYJ 7 days
Coaches
Nick Sirianni vs Robert Saleh