2023 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 22, 2023 · Lumen Field
Arizona Cardinals
10
Seattle SeahawksWinner
20
Seattle Seahawks 20–10. Biggest swing: Q2 9:18, SEA +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(9:18) (Shotgun) 9-J.Dobbs left end for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 9:18SEA +11% win prob(9:18) (Shotgun) 9-J.Dobbs left end for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 11:08SEA +9% win prob(11:08) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 19-J.Bobo to SEA 42 for 31 yards (20-Ma.Wilson).
- Q4 · 14:08ARI +9% win prob(14:08) 7-G.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at SEA 37, RECOVERED by ARI-92-K.Strong at SEA 34.
- Q2 · 7:01SEA +7% win prob(7:01) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 16-T.Lockett to ARI 31 for 15 yards (20-Ma.Wilson).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 4:53SEA Touchdown
(4:53) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 0 — SEA 7 - Q1 · 2:01ARI Field goal
(2:01) 5-M.Prater 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
Score after this play: ARI 3 — SEA 7 - Q2 · 9:18ARI Touchdown
(9:18) (Shotgun) 9-J.Dobbs left end for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 10 — SEA 7 - Q2 · 4:47SEA Touchdown
(4:47) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass incomplete deep right to 19-J.Bobo (24-S.Thomas). Seattle challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 19-J.Bobo for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 10 — SEA 14 - Q3 · 7:40SEA Field goal
(7:40) 5-J.Myers 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: ARI 10 — SEA 17 - Q4 · 2:22SEA Field goal
(2:22) 5-J.Myers 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: ARI 10 — SEA 20
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Cardinals | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 63 | 56 |
| Total yards | 249 | 320 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.0 | 5.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.22 | 0.02 (edge) |
| Success rate | 33% | 46% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 62% | 50% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.34 | 0.37 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.32 |
| Third downs | 5/15 | 7/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.22.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · SEA
18/24, 219 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
7.3 expected points added · +12.2% completion over expected
Passing · ARI
19/33, 146 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
-12.4 expected points added · -10.9% completion over expected
Receiving · SEA
4/7 for 63 yds, 1 TD
29% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | ARI 40 | 8 | 15 | 2:43 | Punt | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 8 | 9 | 41 | 5:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | ARI | ARI 13 | 4 | 5 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 4 | SEA | SEA 39 | 4 | 61 | 1:01 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | ARI | ARI 19 | 5 | 1 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 6 | ARI | SEA 30 | 4 | 4 | 1:22 | Field goal +3 | |
| 7 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 27 | 3:19 | Punt | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 20 | 8 | 85 | 4:27 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 24 | 12 | 71 | 4:30 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 25 | 14 | 51 | 4:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 25 | 14 | 72 | 7:23 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 10 | 5 | 8 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 13 | SEA | ARI 34 | 5 | 18 | 2:53 | Interception | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 1 | 6 | 12 | 2:52 | Punt | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 30 | 2 | 7 | 0:35 | Fumble | |
| 16 | ARI | SEA 34 | 5 | 32 | 2:58 | Missed field goal | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 24 | 4 | -2 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 18 | ARI | ARI 33 | 9 | 17 | 4:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 45 | 9 | 25 | 2:41 | Field goal +3 | |
| 20 | ARI | ARI 25 | 7 | 19 | 1:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | SEA | ARI 44 | 2 | 0 | 1:06 | End of game |
6 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 85 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Arizona Cardinals
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dobbs | 19/33 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12.4 |
| Clayton Tune | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emari Demercado | 13 | 58 | 4.5 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Joshua Dobbs | 7 | 43 | 6.1 | 1 | 2.4 |
| Rondale Moore | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Damien Williams | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquise Brown | 3 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 21% | 1.2 |
| Trey McBride | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 18% | -0.7 |
| Michael Wilson | 3 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 15% | -2.2 |
| Zach Ertz | 3 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 12% | -0.3 |
| Emari Demercado | 4 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 15% | -1.9 |
| Geoff Swaim | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.8 |
| Rondale Moore | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12% | -4.1 |
| Elijah Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budda Baker | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Woods | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Strong | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Wilson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyzir White | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Andre Chachere | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Starling Thomas | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dennis Gardeck | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Ledbetter | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Leki Fotu | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Seattle Seahawks
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 18/24 | 219 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker | 26 | 105 | 4.0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Geno Smith | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 0 | -4.3 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 4 | 7 | 63 | 1 | 29% | 4.1 |
| Jake Bobo | 4 | 5 | 61 | 1 | 21% | 3.7 |
| Tyler Lockett | 4 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 21% | 3.7 |
| Colby Parkinson | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 8% | 0.1 |
| Noah Fant | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 4% | 1.4 |
| Kenneth Walker | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13% | -0.5 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -1.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Wagner | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordyn Brooks | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamal Adams | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Julian Love | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devon Witherspoon | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dre'Mont Jones | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrell Taylor | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Tariq Woolen | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Boye Mafe | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quandre Diggs | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -9.5
- Closing total
- 43.5
- ARI moneyline
- +350
- SEA moneyline
- -455
Seahawks closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 10.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 30 — under by 13.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lumen Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 56°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Scott Novak
- Rest
- ARI 7 days · SEA 7 days
- Coaches
- Jonathan Gannon vs Pete Carroll
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.