For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2023 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 22, 2023 · Soldier Field

Las Vegas Raiders

12

Chicago BearsWinner

30

LV -2.5 upsetO 38.5 ✓

Chicago Bears 30–12 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 10:12, LV +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CHI ↑LV ↓
Q1 · 10:12LV 0 — CHI 0LV ball · 4th & 4LV 66%

(10:12) 2-D.Carlson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 10:12LV +9% win prob(10:12) 2-D.Carlson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  2. Q1 · 7:04CHI +7% win prob(7:04) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short middle to 13-T.Scott to LV 38 for 13 yards (23-D.Long).
  3. Q2 · 2:35CHI +7% win prob(2:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hoyer pass incomplete deep left to 16-J.Meyers. PENALTY on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Defensive Pass Interference, 14 yards, enforced at CHI 39 - No Play.
  4. Q2 · 3:52CHI +6% win prob(3:52) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hoyer pass short middle to 81-A.Hooper to CHI 24 for 12 yards (53-T.Edwards).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:49CHI Touchdown

    (3:49) 21-D.Foreman left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 0 — CHI 7
  2. Q2 · 7:35CHI Touchdown

    (7:35) (Shotgun) 21-D.Foreman left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 0 — CHI 14
  3. Q2 · 1:52LV Field goal

    (1:52) 2-D.Carlson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 3 — CHI 14
  4. Q3 · 4:09CHI Touchdown

    (4:09) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short right to 21-D.Foreman for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 3 — CHI 21
  5. Q4 · 12:24LV Field goal

    (12:24) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 6 — CHI 21
  6. Q4 · 5:51CHI Field goal

    (5:51) 8-C.Santos 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.

    Score after this play: LV 6 — CHI 24
  7. Q4 · 5:46CHI Touchdown

    (5:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hoyer pass short left intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 33-J.Johnson at LV 39. 33-J.Johnson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LV 6 — CHI 30
  8. Q4 · 1:14LV Touchdown

    (1:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short right to 16-J.Meyers for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LV 12 — CHI 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRaidersBears
Offensive plays6167
Total yards235327 (edge)
Yards per play3.94.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.240.19 (edge)
Success rate38%52% (edge)
Dropback rate77%49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.220.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.290.16 (edge)
Third downs2/98/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)16 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1823 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers30 (edge)

Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.24.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Tyson BagentQB

21/29, 162 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

5.5 expected points added · -1.4% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Brian HoyerQB

17/32, 129 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-13.5 expected points added · -14.1% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

D'Onta ForemanRB

16 att, 89 yds, 2 TD

6.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Darrynton EvansRB

14 att, 48 yds, 0 TD

-2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Davante AdamsWR

7/12 for 57 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · -5.4 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

D.J. MooreWR

8/9 for 54 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 1.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CHICHI 25531:33Punt
2LVLV 437343:20Missed field goal
3CHICHI 3113696:22Touchdown +7
4LVLV 259233:04Punt
5CHICHI 89364:36Punt
6LVLV 23240:46Interception
7CHILV 347342:48Touchdown +7
8LVLV 2514555:44Field goal +3
9CHICHI 2110301:47Turnover on downs
10LVLV 247212:40Punt
11CHICHI 1216938:16Touchdown +7
12LVLV 2516236:44Field goal +3
13CHICHI 2713576:34Field goal +3
14LVLV 25200:10Defensive touchdown
15LVLV 216151:04Interception
16CHICHI 25451:00Punt
17LVLV 409602:22Touchdown +6
18CHICHI 43301:10End of game

7 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 93 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brian Hoyer17/32129021-13.5
Aidan O'Connell10/13751103.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs11353.20-2.1
Zamir White221.00-1.5
Tre Tucker122.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Davante Adams71257027%-5.4
Jakobi Meyers71350129%-1.2
Zamir White332607%1.6
Austin Hooper221804%-0.3
Tre Tucker231607%0.2
Hunter Renfrow231407%3.0
Michael Mayer241309%-0.8
Josh Jacobs14609%-6.1
Jesper Horsted11402%-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Robert Spillane430.000
Trevon Moehrig420.000
Marcus Peters150.001
Maxx Crosby231.000
Marcus Epps320.000
David Long320.000
Amik Robertson230.000
Malcolm Koonce220.000
Luke Masterson220.001
Bilal Nichols120.000

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyson Bagent21/291621015.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Onta Foreman16895.626.8
Darrynton Evans14483.40-2.8
Tyson Bagent3248.002.4
Tyler Scott2147.001.4
Darnell Mooney122.00-0.4
Nathan Peterman2-4-2.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
D.J. Moore8954031%1.7
Darnell Mooney4532017%1.2
D'Onta Foreman3531117%2.4
Tyler Scott2319010%1.9
Marcedes Lewis111603%1.4
Darrynton Evans136010%-0.4
Khari Blasingame11403%-0.1
Travis Homer01003%-1.1
Velus Jones11003%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jaquan Brisker810.001
Kyler Gordon430.001
Tremaine Edmunds520.012
Tyrique Stevenson600.003
Justin Jones211.001
Jaylon Johnson210.022
Elijah Hicks120.000
T.J. Edwards200.000
Travis Homer100.000
Dylan Cole100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LV -2.5
Closing total
38.5
LV moneyline
-142
CHI moneyline
+120

Raiders closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 42 — over by 3.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Soldier Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
52°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
Clay Martin
Rest
LV 7 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches
Josh McDaniels vs Matt Eberflus