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2023 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 29, 2023 · Nissan Stadium
23
28
Tennessee Titans 28–23. Biggest swing: Q1 13:06, ATL +16% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(13:06) (Shotgun) 7-M.Willis FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 29, touched at TEN 29, RECOVERED by ATL-93-C.Campbell at TEN 28.
How the points landed
(9:51) 6-Y.Koo 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Score after this play: ATL 3 — TEN 0(2:37) 8-W.Levis pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ATL 3 — TEN 7(5:32) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ATL 3 — TEN 14(12:11) 6-Y.Koo 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Score after this play: ATL 6 — TEN 14(3:06) 6-Y.Koo 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Score after this play: ATL 9 — TEN 14(1:46) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep right to 10-D.Hopkins for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ATL 9 — TEN 21(14:22) 7-B.Robinson left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ATL 16 — TEN 21(7:06) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep left to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-T.Graham]. (kick good)
Score after this play: ATL 16 — TEN 28(3:50) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right to 16-S.Miller for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [49-A.Key]. (kick good)
Score after this play: ATL 23 — TEN 28Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Falcons | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 64 |
| Total yards | 343 | 378 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 5.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.05 | 0.07 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% | 42% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 66% | 50% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.13 | 0.18 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.11 (edge) | -0.05 |
| Third downs | 4/15 | 5/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.05.
Who moved the needle
Passing · TEN
19/29, 238 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
5.9 expected points added · +11.5% completion over expected
Passing · ATL
12/21, 175 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
6.0 expected points added · -1.0% completion over expected
Receiving · TEN
4/6 for 128 yds, 3 TD
23% of team targets · 10.1 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 12 | 1:58 | Fumble | |
| 2 | ATL | TEN 28 | 7 | 23 | 3:15 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | TEN | TEN 25 | 9 | 19 | 4:01 | Punt | |
| 4 | ATL | ATL 15 | 4 | -4 | 1:26 | Punt | |
| 5 | TEN | TEN 39 | 5 | 61 | 1:52 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | ATL | ATL 24 | 6 | 21 | 2:35 | Punt | |
| 7 | TEN | TEN 13 | 6 | 22 | 2:49 | Punt | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 7 | 4 | 2 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 32 | 4 | 7 | 0:57 | Punt | |
| 10 | ATL | ATL 7 | 6 | 29 | 1:59 | Fumble | |
| 11 | TEN | ATL 33 | 6 | 33 | 2:50 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 12 | ATL | ATL 13 | 6 | 27 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 13 | TEN | TEN 22 | 6 | 11 | 1:44 | Punt | |
| 14 | ATL | ATL 12 | 4 | -8 | 0:31 | Punt | |
| 15 | TEN | ATL 43 | 4 | 8 | 0:34 | Punt | |
| 16 | ATL | ATL 8 | 1 | 0 | 0:28 | End of half | |
| 17 | ATL | ATL 25 | 8 | 44 | 2:54 | Field goal +3 | |
| 18 | TEN | TEN 25 | 10 | 33 | 4:58 | Punt | |
| 19 | ATL | ATL 20 | 11 | 59 | 4:06 | Field goal +3 | |
| 20 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 75 | 1:25 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | ATL | ATL 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 22 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 8 | 2:02 | Punt | |
| 23 | ATL | ATL 20 | 4 | 0 | 0:24 | Punt | |
| 24 | TEN | TEN 15 | 10 | 80 | 4:52 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 25 | ATL | ATL 25 | 10 | 66 | 3:13 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 26 | TEN | TEN 27 | 7 | 9 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 27 | ATL | ATL 13 | 4 | 9 | 0:49 | Turnover on downs | |
| 28 | TEN | ATL 22 | 3 | 0 | 1:30 | End of game |
9 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 80 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Heinicke | 12/21 | 175 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Desmond Ridder | 8/12 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10.7 |
| Jonnu Smith | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 11 | 62 | 5.6 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 8 | 31 | 3.9 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Desmond Ridder | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Taylor Heinicke |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KhaDarel Hodge | 3 | 3 | 75 | 0 | 9% | 7.7 |
| Drake London | 5 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 21% | 1.3 |
| Kyle Pitts | 3 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 15% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Grant | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nate Landman | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jessie Bates | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dee Alford |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Levis | 19/29 | 238 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 22 | 101 | 4.6 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Falcons closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 35; the game landed 51 — over by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
| 2 |
| 14 |
| 7.0 |
| 0 |
| 0.1 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 2.1 |
| Mack Hollins | 2 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 9% | 1.3 |
| Van Jefferson | 3 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 15% | -0.6 |
| Scott Miller | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 6% | 1.6 |
| Jonnu Smith | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 0.0 |
| MyCole Pruitt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6% | -1.3 |
| Bijan Robinson | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15% | -4.4 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kaden Elliss | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Okudah | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorenzo Carter | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Terrell | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bud Dupree | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John FitzPatrick | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 |
| Tyjae Spears | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Will Levis | 7 | 11 | 1.6 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Malik Willis | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Amani Hooker | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | 4 | 6 | 128 | 3 | 23% | 10.1 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 8% | 3.2 |
| Kyle Philips | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 12% | -0.7 |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 4 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 19% | 0.8 |
| Derrick Henry | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 15% | 1.3 |
| Tyjae Spears | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 15% | -1.7 |
| Treylon Burks | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -2.1 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azeez Al-Shaair | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amani Hooker | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Elijah Molden | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristian Fulton | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jack Gibbens | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffery Simmons | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Garror | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Denico Autry | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Harold Landry | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Von Wallace | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
