For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2023 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 29, 2023 · SoFi Stadium

Chicago Bears

13

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

30

LAC -9.5 ✓U 46 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 30–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:52, LAC +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑CHI ↓
Q1 · 12:52CHI 0 — LAC 0CHI ball · 4th & 21LAC 86%

(12:52) 16-T.Gill punts 41 yards to LAC 8, Center-48-P.Scales, fair catch by 12-D.Davis. Penalty on LAC-0-D.Henley, Running Into the Kicker, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 12:52LAC +8% win prob(12:52) 16-T.Gill punts 41 yards to LAC 8, Center-48-P.Scales, fair catch by 12-D.Davis. Penalty on LAC-0-D.Henley, Running Into the Kicker, declined.
  2. Q1 · 13:28CHI +8% win prob(13:28) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent sacked at LAC 49 for -10 yards (97-J.Bosa).
  3. Q1 · 14:54LAC +4% win prob(14:54) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass deep right to 11-D.Mooney to LAC 38 for 41 yards (26-A.Samuel). Penalty on LAC-26-A.Samuel, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  4. Q1 · 7:19LAC +4% win prob(7:19) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 30-A.Ekeler for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:19LAC Touchdown

    (7:19) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 30-A.Ekeler for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — LAC 7
  2. Q1 · 0:49LAC Touchdown

    (:49) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 87-S.Fehoko for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — LAC 14
  3. Q2 · 8:55LAC Field goal

    (8:55) 11-C.Dicker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — LAC 17
  4. Q2 · 1:52CHI Touchdown

    (1:52) (Shotgun) 25-D.Evans right end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — LAC 17
  5. Q2 · 0:11LAC Touchdown

    (:11) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 89-D.Parham for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — LAC 24
  6. Q3 · 8:56LAC Field goal

    (8:56) 11-C.Dicker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — LAC 27
  7. Q3 · 3:05LAC Field goal

    (3:05) 11-C.Dicker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: CHI 7 — LAC 30
  8. Q4 · 2:22CHI Touchdown

    (2:22) (No Huddle) 17-T.Bagent up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CHI 13 — LAC 30

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsChargers
Offensive plays6265
Total yards297352 (edge)
Yards per play4.85.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.15-0.02 (edge)
Success rate44% (edge)38%
Dropback rate65%63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.250.30 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.02 (edge)-0.57
Third downs6/147/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)4 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps1819 (edge)
Sacks taken10 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.15.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

31/40, 298 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

17.1 expected points added · +6.9% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Tyson BagentQB

25/37, 232 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-9.6 expected points added · -4.4% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

D'Onta ForemanRB

9 att, 34 yds, 0 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

15 att, 29 yds, 0 TD

-10.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

7/8 for 94 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 1.7 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Cole KmetTE

10/10 for 79 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CHICHI 216302:16Punt
2LACLAC 811925:36Touchdown +7
3CHICHI 255172:07Punt
4LACLAC 4510554:18Touchdown +7
5CHICHI 258302:58Interception
6LACLAC 438243:55Field goal +3
7CHICHI 2516807:03Touchdown +7
8LACLAC 2511701:43Touchdown +7
9CHICHI 21200:04End of half
10LACLAC 2511506:09Field goal +3
11CHICHI 25521:37Punt
12LACLAC 324-11:06Punt
13CHICHI 204142:16Turnover on downs
14LACCHI 29410:52Field goal +3
15CHICHI 258493:03Turnover on downs
16LACLAC 277383:19Turnover on downs
17CHICHI 359342:44Interception
18LACLAC 255202:40Fumble
19CHILAC 4111414:02Touchdown +6
20LACCHI 44531:50Punt
21CHICHI 16100:22End of game

8 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 92 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyson Bagent25/37232021-9.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Onta Foreman9343.80-1.7
Roschon Johnson6213.50-3.6
Darrynton Evans4184.516.4
Darnell Mooney133.00-0.3
Tyson Bagent4-1-0.310.6
Trent Taylor1-2-2.00-1.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cole Kmet101079027%4.0
D.J. Moore4655016%0.1
Darnell Mooney1441011%-2.0
Darrynton Evans3422011%-3.6
Tyler Scott131108%-1.5
Roschon Johnson3410011%-1.1
Robert Tonyan11803%0.4
Velus Jones12405%-0.8
D'Onta Foreman12205%-1.2
Khari Blasingame01003%-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
T.J. Edwards840.000
Tyrique Stevenson920.000
Jack Sanborn610.000
Duron Harmon410.000
Elijah Hicks400.000
Kyler Gordon220.000
Andrew Billings120.000
Jaylon Johnson200.001
Zacch Pickens110.000
Darnell Mooney100.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert31/4029830017.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Austin Ekeler15291.90-10.4
Joshua Kelley6213.50-1.2
Isaiah Spiller331.00-2.1
Justin Herbert111.00-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Austin Ekeler7894121%1.7
Keenan Allen81069026%2.7
Quentin Johnston5650016%2.8
Donald Parham4543113%5.6
Josh Palmer3424011%1.0
Simi Fehoko12915%1.0
Isaiah Spiller11503%0.0
Derius Davis22405%-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kenneth Murray530.001
Eric Kendricks610.001
Asante Samuel500.002
Dean Marlowe320.000
Michael Davis220.000
Derwin James210.011
Daiyan Henley210.000
Joey Bosa121.000
Sebastian Joseph110.000
Nick Niemann110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -9.5
Closing total
46
CHI moneyline
+340
LAC moneyline
-440

Chargers closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 46; the game landed 43 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Brad Rogers
Rest
CHI 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Matt Eberflus vs Brandon Staley