2023 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 29, 2023 · Lumen Field

Cleveland Browns

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -4 pushO 39.5 ✓Seahawks closed -4 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Seattle Seahawks 24–20. Biggest swing: Q4 2:04, CLE +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 2:04CLE 20 — SEA 17CLE ball · 3rd & 3CLE 81%

(2:04) (Shotgun) 10-P.Walker pass deep right intended for 2-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love (33-J.Adams) at SEA 43. 20-J.Love to SEA 43 for no gain (11-D.Peoples-Jones).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 2:04CLE +24% win prob(2:04) (Shotgun) 10-P.Walker pass deep right intended for 2-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love (33-J.Adams) at SEA 43. 20-J.Love to SEA 43 for no gain (11-D.Peoples-Jones).
Q4 · 0:44SEA +18% win prob(:44) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 1:19SEA +15% win prob(1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-N.Fant to CLE 14 for 27 yards (5-A.Walker).
Q4 · 6:40CLE +12% win prob(6:40) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at CLE 47 for -6 yards (95-M.Garrett). FUMBLES (95-M.Garrett) [95-M.Garrett], and recovers at CLE 47.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 8:56SEA Touchdown
(8:56) 19-J.Bobo right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — SEA 7
Q1 · 5:37SEA Touchdown
(5:37) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 16-T.Lockett for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — SEA 14
Q1 · 3:30CLE Touchdown
(3:30) (Shotgun) 10-P.Walker pass short middle to 85-D.Njoku for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-J.Brooks]. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 7 — SEA 14
Q1 · 1:02SEA Field goal
(1:02) 5-J.Myers 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: CLE 7 — SEA 17
Q2 · 4:42CLE Touchdown
(4:42) 66-J.Hudson and 53-N.Harris reported in as eligible. 27-K.Hunt right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 14 — SEA 17
Q3 · 7:33CLE Field goal
(7:33) 7-D.Hopkins 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 17 — SEA 17
Q3 · 2:53CLE Field goal
(2:53) 7-D.Hopkins 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 20 — SEA 17
Q4 · 0:44SEA Touchdown
(:44) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 20 — SEA 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Seahawks
Offensive plays	74	54
Total yards	386 (edge)	363
Yards per play	5.2	6.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.09	0.07 (edge)
Success rate	42%	46% (edge)
Dropback rate	50%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.11	0.07 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.06	0.07 (edge)
Third downs	6/15 (edge)	4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	6
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	3	1 (edge)
Turnovers	3	2 (edge)

Browns outgained Seahawks 386–363 but lost the turnover battle 3–2. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

23/37, 254 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

2.6 expected points added · -0.4% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

P.J. WalkerQB

15/31, 248 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-5.7 expected points added · -5.1% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth WalkerRB

8 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Kareem HuntRB

14 att, 55 yds, 1 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

6/11 for 89 yds, 0 TD

37% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

8/9 for 81 yds, 1 TD

25% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 20	5	7	2:12	Punt
2	SEA	SEA 20	9	80	3:55	Touchdown +7
3	CLE	CLE 25	6	19	0:57	Fumble
4	SEA	CLE 41	7	41	2:26	Touchdown +7
5	CLE	CLE 25	6	75	2:08	Touchdown +7
6	SEA	SEA 25	7	57	2:23	Field goal +3
7	CLE	CLE 25	11	55	4:24	Interception
8	SEA	SEA 16	4	4	1:40	Punt
9	CLE	CLE 33	12	60	5:15	Touchdown +7
10	SEA	SEA 25	5	12	1:24	Punt
11	CLE	CLE 22	4	-2	1:35	Punt
12	SEA	SEA 25	7	48	1:19	Interception
13	CLE	CLE 17	1	0	0:22	End of half
14	SEA	SEA 31	5	9	1:42	Punt
15	CLE	CLE 17	10	81	5:49	Field goal +3
16	SEA	SEA 25	4	4	0:34	Interception
17	CLE	SEA 39	9	30	4:05	Field goal +3
18	SEA	SEA 25	5	8	1:28	Punt
19	CLE	CLE 20	11	45	5:40	Punt
20	SEA	SEA 11	9	48	4:56	Punt
21	CLE	CLE 11	7	25	3:49	Interception
22	SEA	SEA 43	6	52	1:19	Touchdown +7
23	CLE	CLE 25	5	-9	0:24	Turnover on downs
24	SEA	CLE 15	1	0	0:14	End of game

8 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 81 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
P.J. Walker	15/31	248	1	2	3	-5.7
Dorian Thompson-Robinson	1/1	9	0	0	0	0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kareem Hunt	14	55	3.9	1	1.4
Pierre Strong	10	41	4.1	0	-0.7
Jerome Ford	9	37	4.1	0	-2.3
P.J. Walker	6	27	4.5	0	1.5
Marquise Goodwin	1	-5	-5.0	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	6	11	89	0	37%	2.2
David Njoku	4	8	77	1	27%	-1.7
Pierre Strong	1	1	41	0	3%	2.6
Elijah Moore	2	5	30	0	17%	2.5
Kareem Hunt	1	1	12	0	3%	1.1
Jordan Akins	1	1	6	0	3%	0.3
Jerome Ford	1	2	2	0	7%	-2.7
Harrison Bryant	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Juan Thornhill	6	1	0	0
Grant Delpit	5	1	0	0
Martin Emerson	4	1	1	1
Denzel Ward	4	0	0	1
Anthony Walker	2	2	0	0
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah	2	1	0	0
Maurice Hurst	1	1	1	1
Jordan Elliott	2	0	0	0
Cameron Mitchell	2	0	0	0
David Njoku	1	0	0	0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Geno Smith	23/37	254	2	2	1	2.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenneth Walker	8	66	8.3	0	1.2
Zach Charbonnet	5	53	10.6	0	1.3
Jake Bobo	1	3	3.0	1	0.8
Geno Smith	2	-3	-1.5	0	-3.9
D'Wayne Eskridge	1	-5	-5.0	0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Lockett	8	9	81	1	25%	8.6
DK Metcalf	5	14	67	0	39%	-3.9
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	4	36	1	11%	3.2
Noah Fant	2	3	32	0	8%	-1.8
Jake Bobo	2	2	23	0	6%	0.7
Zach Charbonnet	2	2	11	0	6%	0.0
Kenneth Walker	1	2	4	0	6%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Bobby Wagner	3	10	0.0	0	1
Jordyn Brooks	4	6	1.0	0	0
Quandre Diggs	5	4	0.0	0	0
Boye Mafe	3	5	1.0	0	0
Jamal Adams	3	3	0.0	0	1
Derick Hall	2	2	0.0	0	0
Julian Love	2	1	0.0	1	1
Darrell Taylor	2	1	1.0	0	0
Cameron Young	2	1	0.0	0	0
Mario Edwards	2	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -4
Closing total: 39.5
CLE moneyline: +164
SEA moneyline: -198

Seahawks closed -4 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 44 — over by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lumen Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 47°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: CLE 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Pete Carroll