For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2023 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 29, 2023 · Bank of America Stadium
13
15
Carolina Panthers 15–13 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 3:22, CAR +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:22) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 19-A.Thielen to HOU 44 for 3 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).
How the points landed
(13:15) 78-L.Tunsil reported in as eligible. 47-A.Beck up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: HOU 7 — CAR 0(1:39) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 82-T.Tremble for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: HOU 7 — CAR 6(10:50) 4-E.Pineiro 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: HOU 7 — CAR 9(8:02) 4-E.Pineiro 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: HOU 7 — CAR 12(:42) 78-L.Tunsil reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: HOU 13 — CAR 12(:03) 4-E.Pineiro 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
Score after this play: HOU 13 — CAR 15Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Texans | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 57 | 61 |
| Total yards | 229 (edge) | 224 |
| Yards per play | 4.0 (edge) | 3.7 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.03 (edge) | -0.16 |
| Success rate | 40% (edge) | 33% |
| Dropback rate | 49% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 | 0.01 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.04 (edge) | -0.47 |
| Third downs | 5/12 (edge) | 5/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 (edge) | 14 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 6 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Texans outgained Panthers 229–224 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CAR
22/31, 235 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-0.3 expected points added · +1.6% completion over expected
Passing · HOU
16/24, 140 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
1.5 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | HOU 21 | 5 | 8 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 2 | CAR | CAR 10 | 4 | -3 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 3 | HOU | CAR 49 | 5 | 8 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 4 | CAR | CAR 8 | 5 | 21 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 5 | HOU | HOU 8 | 18 | 92 | 9:20 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | CAR | CAR 34 | 11 | 49 | 5:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | HOU | HOU 2 | 6 | 8 | 2:50 | Punt | |
| 8 | CAR | CAR 40 | 10 | 60 | 3:18 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 9 | HOU | HOU 25 | 5 | -13 | 0:29 | Punt | |
| 10 | CAR | CAR 19 | 4 | 4 | 1:06 | End of half | |
| 11 | CAR | CAR 23 | 10 | 49 | 4:14 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | HOU | HOU 19 | 3 | 11 | 0:51 | Fumble | |
| 13 | CAR | HOU 27 | 4 | 8 | 1:57 | Field goal +3 | |
| 14 | HOU | HOU 25 | 14 | 80 | 7:23 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 15 | CAR | HOU 47 | 5 | -10 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 16 | HOU | HOU 21 | 6 | 18 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 17 | CAR | CAR 21 | 4 | -12 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 18 | HOU | HOU 48 | 6 | 17 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 19 | CAR | CAR 9 | 15 | 58 | 6:17 | Field goal +3 |
6 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 92 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 16/24 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon Pierce | 12 | 46 | 3.8 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Devin Singletary | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Tank Dell | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| C.J. Stroud | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 1 | 3.3 |
| Mike Boone | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Andrew Beck | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brown | 3 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 21% | 4.0 |
| Nico Collins | 4 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 25% | 0.4 |
| Tank Dell | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 17% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmie Ward | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Denzel Perryman | 5 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaquill Griffin | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tavierre Thomas |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young | 22/31 | 235 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard | 15 | 28 | 1.9 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Texans closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 43; the game landed 28 — under by 15.0.
Conditions and crew
| -1.5 |
| Devin Singletary | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 8% | 0.5 |
| Mike Boone | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4% | 2.0 |
| Andrew Beck | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | -4.4 |
| Dalton Schultz | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 21% | -2.8 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Jonathan Greenard | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Pitre | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Maliek Collins | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Cashman | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry To'oTo'o | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kurt Hinish | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -5.5 |
| Bryce Young | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Raheem Blackshear | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Miles Sanders | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Thielen | 8 | 11 | 72 | 0 | 35% | 0.0 |
| Jonathan Mingo | 4 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 16% | 1.9 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 6% | 1.9 |
| Raheem Blackshear | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 6% | 2.0 |
| D.J. Chark | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 13% | 0.0 |
| Stephen Sullivan | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 1.2 |
| Terrace Marshall | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.8 |
| Tommy Tremble | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10% | 1.1 |
| Hayden Hurst | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -1.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Luvu | 7 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Xavier Woods | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donte Jackson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Brown | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jammie Robinson | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Henderson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeShawn Williams | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kamu Grugier-Hill | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Franklin | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| LaBryan Ray | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
