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2023 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 29, 2023 · AT&T Stadium

Los Angeles Rams

20

Dallas CowboysWinner

43

DAL -6.5 ✓O 44.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 43–20 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 0:43, LA +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑LA ↓
Q1 · 0:43LA 3 — DAL 16LA ball · 1st & 10DAL 82%

(:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 10-C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Bland at LA 30. 26-D.Bland for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 0:43LA +10% win prob(:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 10-C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Bland at LA 30. 26-D.Bland for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 10:30DAL +6% win prob(10:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-B.Cooks to LA 18 for 19 yards (1-D.Kendrick).
  3. Q1 · 0:48DAL +5% win prob(:48) 17-B.Aubrey 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
  4. Q1 · 12:44DAL +5% win prob(12:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 40 for 17 yards (14-C.Durant; 53-E.Jones).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:49DAL Touchdown

    (9:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 87-J.Ferguson for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 0 — DAL 7
  2. Q1 · 5:25LA Field goal

    (5:25) 8-L.Havrisik 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — DAL 7
  3. Q1 · 0:48DAL Field goal

    (:48) 17-B.Aubrey 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — DAL 10
  4. Q1 · 0:43DAL Touchdown

    (:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 10-C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Bland at LA 30. 26-D.Bland for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3 — DAL 17
  5. Q2 · 13:44DAL Safety

    (13:44) 42-E.Evans punt is BLOCKED by 54-S.Williams, Center-47-A.Ward, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY.

    Score after this play: LA 3 — DAL 19
  6. Q2 · 12:50DAL Touchdown

    (12:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3 — DAL 26
  7. Q2 · 2:34DAL Touchdown

    (2:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 3 — DAL 33
  8. Q2 · 0:09LA Touchdown

    (:09) (Shotgun) 24-R.Freeman up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 9 — DAL 33
  9. Q3 · 11:35LA Touchdown

    (11:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 18-B.Skowronek for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: LA 17 — DAL 33
  10. Q3 · 1:36DAL Field goal

    (1:36) 17-B.Aubrey 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: LA 17 — DAL 36
  11. Q4 · 12:24DAL Touchdown

    (12:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 3-B.Cooks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 17 — DAL 43
  12. Q4 · 5:34LA Field goal

    (5:34) 8-L.Havrisik 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: LA 20 — DAL 43

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsCowboys
Offensive plays6060
Total yards282390 (edge)
Yards per play4.76.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.160.16 (edge)
Success rate42%50% (edge)
Dropback rate62%68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.250.29 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.01 (edge)-0.11
Third downs4/136/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)77
First downs gained on snaps1522 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers21 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

25/31, 304 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

11.6 expected points added · +11.5% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

13/22, 162 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-5.9 expected points added · -8.3% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

12 att, 53 yds, 0 TD

-1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Royce FreemanRB

9 att, 44 yds, 1 TD

3.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

12/14 for 158 yds, 2 TD

41% of team targets · 12.5 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

3/3 for 54 yds, 0 TD

9% of team targets · 3.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 2512695:16Touchdown +7
2LALA 2511604:22Field goal +3
3DALDAL 2510354:39Field goal +3
4LALA 25200:07Defensive touchdown
5LALA 255-21:57Punt
6DALLA 134130:54Touchdown +7
7LALA 25571:27Punt
8DALDAL 2010715:06Interception
9LALA 19441:04Fumble
10DALDAL 376632:41Touchdown +7
11LALA 2514752:23Touchdown +6
12DAL—100:04End of half
13LALA 259773:31Touchdown +8
14DALDAL 1618769:57Field goal +3
15LALA 259293:13Turnover on downs
16DALDAL 464541:00Touchdown +7
17LALA 25541:45Defensive touchdown
18DALDAL 7412:15Punt
19LALA 467302:48Field goal +3
20DALDAL 25581:43Punt
21LALA 154-21:55Punt
22DAL50301:53End of game

10 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 77 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford13/22162111-5.9
Brett Rypien5/1042001-5.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Royce Freeman9444.913.7
Darrell Henderson12312.60-4.0
Matthew Stafford199.000.8
Tutu Atwell284.000.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darrell Henderson335409%3.0
Tyler Higbee5745022%-1.1
Puka Nacua3743022%3.9
Tutu Atwell2421013%-0.8
Cooper Kupp41021031%-14.5
Ben Skowronek112013%3.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ernest Jones530.000
Christian Rozeboom610.000
Jordan Fuller510.011
Derion Kendrick410.001
Russ Yeast310.000
Larrell Murchison120.000
Aaron Donald212.000
Quentin Lake300.002
Kobie Turner120.001
Ahkello Witherspoon300.001

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott25/3130441311.6
Cooper Rush2/33000-2.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard12534.40-1.9
Dak Prescott4194.802.6
Rico Dowdle5183.60-0.6
CeeDee Lamb11212.000.8
Brandin Cooks133.00-0.3
Cooper Rush3-3-1.00-2.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb1214158241%12.5
Brandin Cooks3449112%6.8
Jake Ferguson4447112%3.4
Michael Gallup232009%0.8
Kavontae Turpin121306%0.6
Luke Schoonmaker111303%0.9
Rico Dowdle22706%-0.2
Tony Pollard11203%-1.4
Sean McKeon01003%-6.0
Jalen Tolbert01003%-0.8
Hunter Luepke11-203%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Daron Bland510.012
Markquese Bell510.000
Damone Clark320.000
Donovan Wilson310.000
Stephon Gilmore400.001
Osa Odighizuwa120.000
Jayron Kearse120.000
Micah Parsons201.001
Demarcus Lawrence200.000
Dorance Armstrong111.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -6.5
Closing total
44.5
LA moneyline
+250
DAL moneyline
-310

Cowboys closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 63 — over by 18.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
LA 7 days · DAL 13 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Mike McCarthy