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2023 Week 8 · Mon, Oct 30, 2023 · Ford Field

Las Vegas Raiders

14

Detroit LionsWinner

26

DET -7 ✓U 46 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 26–14. Biggest swing: Q3 11:47, LV +17% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DET ↑LV ↓
Q3 · 11:47LV 13 — DET 16DET ball · 2nd & 6DET 95%

(11:47) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at LV 25. 24-M.Peters for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 11:47LV +17% win prob(11:47) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at LV 25. 24-M.Peters for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 5:10LV +14% win prob(5:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 8-J.Reynolds to DET 27 for 13 yards (59-L.Masterson). FUMBLES (59-L.Masterson), touched at DET 28, RECOVERED by LV-41-R.Spillane at DET 26.
  3. Q1 · 4:59LV +14% win prob(4:59) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep right intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Joseph at DET -4. 31-K.Joseph to DET 11 for 15 yards (13-H.Renfrow).
  4. Q3 · 5:52LV +12% win prob(5:52) 13-C.Reynolds left tackle to LV 3 for 1 yard (90-J.Tillery, 98-M.Crosby). FUMBLES (98-M.Crosby), RECOVERED by LV-98-M.Crosby at LV 3. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:56DET Field goal

    (7:56) 36-R.Patterson 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: LV 0 — DET 3
  2. Q2 · 12:27DET Field goal

    (12:27) 36-R.Patterson 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: LV 0 — DET 6
  3. Q2 · 8:12DET Field goal

    (8:12) 36-R.Patterson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: LV 0 — DET 9
  4. Q2 · 3:00LV Touchdown

    (3:00) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 7 — DET 9
  5. Q2 · 0:31DET Touchdown

    (:31) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 7 — DET 16
  6. Q3 · 11:47LV Touchdown

    (11:47) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at LV 25. 24-M.Peters for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 14 — DET 16
  7. Q3 · 3:20DET Touchdown

    (3:20) 26-J.Gibbs up the middle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 14 — DET 23
  8. Q4 · 10:04DET Field goal

    (10:04) 36-R.Patterson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: LV 14 — DET 26

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRaidersLions
Offensive plays4579
Total yards157488 (edge)
Yards per play3.56.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.52-0.13 (edge)
Success rate44% (edge)42%
Dropback rate62%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.87-0.16 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.05 (edge)-0.11
Third downs1/96/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)010 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1028 (edge)
Sacks taken61 (edge)
Turnovers1 (edge)3

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.52.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

26/37, 272 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.4 expected points added · +1.7% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Jimmy GaroppoloQB

10/21, 126 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-24.2 expected points added · -17.4% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

26 att, 152 yds, 1 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Craig ReynoldsRB

14 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

-3.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR

6/9 for 108 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · -4.2 expected points added

Receiving · DET

Sam LaPortaTE

8/10 for 57 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 2015547:09Field goal +3
2LVLV 256212:07Punt
3DETDET 112160:45Fumble
4LVDET 26100:10Interception
5DETDET 11400:54Punt
6LVLV 41481:26Turnover on downs
7DETLV 4910515:06Field goal +3
8LVLV 25540:59Punt
9DETDET 227633:16Field goal +3
10LVLV 2512605:12Touchdown +7
11DETDET 2111792:29Touchdown +7
12LVLV 25270:27End of half
13LVLV 25651:59Punt
14DETDET 443281:29Defensive touchdown
15DETDET 2513726:03Fumble
16LVLV 3461:27Punt
17DETDET 493330:49Touchdown +7
18LVLV 256162:06Punt
19DETDET 1112496:08Field goal +3
20LVLV 27113:04Turnover on downs
21DETLV 286301:56Missed field goal
22LVLV 205191:30Turnover on downs
23DETLV 446133:29End of game

7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 79 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jimmy Garoppolo10/21126016-24.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Josh Jacobs15614.110.3
Jimmy Garoppolo2126.000.6
Ameer Abdullah177.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Josh Jacobs2427019%0.8
Michael Mayer1219010%0.2
Hunter Renfrow2419019%-4.4
Jakobi Meyers111905%1.1
Austin Hooper2219010%1.2
Ameer Abdullah111205%-1.8
Davante Adams1711033%-8.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Trevon Moehrig730.000
Marcus Epps800.000
John Jenkins080.001
Robert Spillane340.000
Maxx Crosby430.000
Amik Robertson500.000
Nate Hobbs321.000
Amari Burney320.000
Marcus Peters320.011
Malcolm Koonce220.000

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff26/372721102.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jahmyr Gibbs261525.81-0.2
Craig Reynolds14745.30-3.7
Jared Goff2-2-1.00-2.0
Kalif Raymond1-2-2.00-0.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown69108026%-4.2
Sam LaPorta81057129%3.3
Jahmyr Gibbs5537015%2.5
Kalif Raymond2424012%-0.1
Jameson Williams231609%-0.4
Josh Reynolds111303%-4.9
Craig Reynolds111203%0.9
Brock Wright11503%1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Alex Anzalone522.000
Brian Branch330.000
Tracy Walker III331.000
Alim McNeill222.001
Jack Campbell300.000
Julian Okwara201.000
Jerry Jacobs200.000
Derrick Barnes110.000
Kerby Joseph200.012
Aidan Hutchinson100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -7
Closing total
46
LV moneyline
+270
DET moneyline
-340

Lions closed -7 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 46; the game landed 40 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
LV 8 days · DET 8 days
Coaches
Josh McDaniels vs Dan Campbell