2023 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 5, 2023 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Arizona Cardinals

Cleveland BrownsWinner

CLE -13 ✓U 38 ✓Browns closed -13 and covered, winning by 27.

Cleveland Browns 27–0 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 13:16, ARI +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 13:16ARI 0 — CLE 3ARI ball · 1st & 10CLE 86%

(13:16) (Shotgun) 15-C.Tune pass short right intended for 2-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward [99-Z.Smith] at ARI 49. 21-D.Ward to ARI 49 for no gain (2-M.Brown).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 13:16ARI +7% win prob(13:16) (Shotgun) 15-C.Tune pass short right intended for 2-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward [99-Z.Smith] at ARI 49. 21-D.Ward to ARI 49 for no gain (2-M.Brown).
Q1 · 2:01CLE +5% win prob(2:01) (Shotgun) 66-J.Hudson reported in as eligible. 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 2-A.Cooper pushed ob at ARI 13 for 59 yards (34-J.Thompson).
Q1 · 3:43ARI +4% win prob(3:43) 15-C.Tune sacked at ARI 27 for -10 yards (96-J.Elliott).
Q1 · 9:18CLE +4% win prob(9:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 85-D.Njoku to CLE 41 for 15 yards (34-J.Thompson).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q2 · 14:18CLE Field goal
(14:18) 7-D.Hopkins 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. Penalty on ARI-55-D.Stills, Defensive Offside, declined.
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CLE 3
Q2 · 6:52CLE Touchdown
(6:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 2-A.Cooper for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass deflected by 55 D.Stills (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CLE 10
Q2 · 0:04CLE Field goal
(:04) 7-D.Hopkins 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CLE 13
Q3 · 8:09CLE Touchdown
(8:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 85-D.Njoku for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CLE 20
Q4 · 7:52CLE Touchdown
(7:52) 53-N.Harris reported in as eligible. 27-K.Hunt right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ARI-98-R.Lopez was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: ARI 0 — CLE 27

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Browns
Offensive plays	48	70
Total yards	58	326 (edge)
Yards per play	1.2	4.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.80	-0.08 (edge)
Success rate	15%	30% (edge)
Dropback rate	67%	47%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-1.01	0.09 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.39	-0.22 (edge)
Third downs	1/12	6/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	4 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	6	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	7	1 (edge)
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.80.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Deshaun WatsonQB

19/30, 219 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.4 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Clayton TuneQB

11/20, 58 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-32.8 expected points added · -17.3% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Jerome FordRB

20 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-7.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Kareem HuntRB

14 att, 38 yds, 1 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Amari CooperWR

5/5 for 139 yds, 1 TD

18% of team targets · 12.2 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Jerome FordRB

5/7 for 33 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · -0.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 25	8	27	3:07	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 11	7	40	3:29	Punt
3	ARI	ARI 19	4	-2	1:19	Punt
4	CLE	CLE 44	6	20	3:22	Turnover on downs
5	ARI	ARI 37	4	-4	1:42	Punt
6	CLE	CLE 28	5	60	2:46	Field goal +3
7	ARI	ARI 25	3	0	1:05	Interception
8	CLE	ARI 49	12	49	6:22	Touchdown +7
9	ARI	ARI 25	5	12	2:21	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 30	4	0	1:00	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 24	4	-2	1:43	Punt
12	CLE	CLE 34	9	24	1:44	Field goal +3
13	CLE	CLE 25	5	1	1:33	Punt
14	ARI	ARI 1	4	0	0:58	Punt
15	CLE	CLE 34	6	9	2:51	Punt
16	ARI	ARI 20	1	-8	0:07	Fumble
17	CLE	ARI 11	4	11	1:24	Touchdown +7
18	ARI	ARI 29	6	10	2:28	Punt
19	CLE	CLE 4	4	4	2:05	Punt
20	ARI	50	3	10	1:19	Interception
21	CLE	CLE 24	10	46	5:07	Missed field goal
22	ARI	ARI 38	5	18	2:07	Turnover on downs
23	CLE	CLE 44	5	56	2:13	Touchdown +7
24	ARI	ARI 25	5	-2	0:59	Punt
25	CLE	CLE 29	4	4	0:27	Punt
26	ARI	ARI 20	7	5	2:31	Punt
27	CLE	CLE 32	4	2	2:02	Punt
28	ARI	ARI 29	3	-6	1:49	End of game

5 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 60 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Clayton Tune	11/20	58	0	2	7	-32.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Clayton Tune	5	28	5.6	0.4
Keaontay Ingram	9	8	0.9	-3.0
Rondale Moore	4	3	0.8	-2.6
Tony Jones	3	2	0.7	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Marquise Brown	4	8	24	40%	-9.3
Trey McBride	3	5	22	25%	-5.2
Rondale Moore	1	2	5	10%	-0.4
Tony Jones	2	3	5	15%	-2.7
Greg Dortch	1	1	2	5%	-0.6
Zach Pascal	0	1	0	5%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Budda Baker	4	6	0.0	0
Josh Woods	2	4	0.5	0
Kyzir White	2	4	0.0	0
Kevin Strong	4	1	0.0	0
Jalen Thompson	5	0	0.0	0
Dante Stills	2	3	0.0	0
Leki Fotu	2	2	0.5	0
Roy Lopez	1	3	0.0	0
Garrett Williams	3	1	0.0	1
Zaven Collins	1	2	0.0	0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Deshaun Watson	19/30	219	2	0	1	1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jerome Ford	20	44	2.2	0	-7.8
Kareem Hunt	14	38	2.7	1	0.5
Deshaun Watson	3	22	7.3	0	1.8
Pierre Strong	3	9	3.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	5	5	139	1	18%	12.2
Jerome Ford	5	7	33	0	25%	-0.8
David Njoku	4	6	26	1	21%	0.5
Elijah Moore	2	2	14	0	7%	0.1
Jordan Akins	1	3	11	0	11%	-2.9
Cedric Tillman	1	1	3	0	4%	-0.5
Kareem Hunt	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.9
Marquise Goodwin	0	2	0	0	7%	-1.8
Pierre Strong	1	1	-7	0	4%	-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Grant Delpit	8	2	0.5	0	0
Dalvin Tomlinson	2	2	2.5	0	0
Mike Ford	2	1	0.0	0	0
Sione Takitaki	2	1	0.0	1	1
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah	2	1	0.0	0	0
Cameron Mitchell	2	1	0.0	0	1
Denzel Ward	2	1	0.0	1	2
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo	1	1	0.0	0	0
Rodney McLeod	1	1	0.0	0	0
Shelby Harris	2	0	1.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -13
Closing total: 38
ARI moneyline: +525
CLE moneyline: -750

Browns closed -13 and covered, winning by 27.

Total closed 38; the game landed 27 — under by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 56°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: ARI 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Jonathan Gannon vs Kevin Stefanski