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2023 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 5, 2023 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
17
24
New Orleans Saints 24–17. Biggest swing: Q3 13:07, CHI +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(13:07) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short middle to 2-D.Moore to CHI 42 for 13 yards (29-P.Adebo; 32-T.Mathieu). FUMBLES (29-P.Adebo), RECOVERED by NO-29-P.Adebo at CHI 39.
How the points landed
(11:28) 17-T.Bagent pass deep right to 85-C.Kmet for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 7 — NO 0(:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 12-C.Olave for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 7 — NO 7(12:57) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short left to 85-C.Kmet for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 14 — NO 7(6:08) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 7-T.Hill for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 14 — NO 14(11:48) 19-B.Grupe 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-39-L.Hedley.
Score after this play: CHI 14 — NO 17(3:30) 8-C.Santos 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
Score after this play: CHI 17 — NO 17(11:11) (Shotgun) 99-K.Saunders reported in as eligible. 7-T.Hill pass short left to 83-J.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CHI 17 — NO 24Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Bears | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 61 |
| Total yards | 368 (edge) | 302 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 (edge) | 5.0 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.10 | -0.06 (edge) |
| Success rate | 44% | 46% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 58% | 59% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.04 | 0.10 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 (edge) | -0.30 |
| Third downs | 6/12 | 7/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 5 | 0 (edge) |
Bears outgained Saints 368–302 but lost the turnover battle 5–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CHI
18/30, 220 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT
-3.7 expected points added · -2.3% completion over expected
Passing · NO
25/34, 211 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
2.7 expected points added · +4.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | CHI 25 | 11 | 75 | 3:39 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | NO | NO 25 | 6 | 19 | 1:53 | Punt | |
| 3 | CHI | CHI 14 | 7 | 37 | 3:40 | Interception | |
| 4 | NO | CHI 45 | 11 | 45 | 5:04 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | CHI | CHI 25 | 8 | 85 | 2:52 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 6 | NO | NO 25 | 13 | 75 | 6:47 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 7 | CHI | CHI 25 | 14 | 53 | 5:37 | Missed field goal | |
| 8 | NO | NO 30 | 5 | 31 | 0:28 | End of half | |
| 9 | NO | NO 22 | 5 | 7 | 1:16 | Punt | |
| 10 | CHI | CHI 23 | 2 | 16 | 0:45 | Fumble | |
| 11 | NO | CHI 39 | 4 | 2 | 1:16 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | CHI | CHI 25 | 14 | 82 | 8:16 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | NO | NO 25 | 7 | 36 | 2:22 | Punt | |
| 14 | CHI | CHI 9 | 4 | 6 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 15 | NO | CHI 47 | 6 | 47 | 2:54 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 16 | CHI | CHI 25 | 3 | 0 | 0:07 | Interception | |
| 17 | NO | CHI 38 | 6 | 20 | 3:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | CHI | CHI 17 | 6 | 12 | 2:21 | Interception | |
| 19 | NO | CHI 46 | 4 | 1 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 20 | CHI | CHI 2 | 4 | 6 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 21 | NO | CHI 36 | 4 | 7 | 0:19 | Missed field goal | |
| 22 | CHI | CHI 37 | 2 | -4 | 0:21 | Fumble | |
| 23 | NO | CHI 18 | 4 | 12 | 2:05 | End of game |
7 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 85 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Bagent | 18/30 | 220 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Onta Foreman | 20 | 83 | 4.2 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Tyson Bagent | 8 | 70 | 8.8 | 0 | 8.8 |
| Roschon Johnson | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Darrynton Evans | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Tyler Scott | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darnell Mooney | 5 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 23% | 2.8 |
| Cole Kmet | 6 | 8 | 55 | 2 | 31% | 1.5 |
| D.J. Moore | 3 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 19% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Edwards | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jack Sanborn | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Hicks | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyler Gordon |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 25/34 | 211 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.7 |
| Taysom Hill | 1/1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Saints closed -9, won by 7 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42; the game landed 41 — under by 1.0.
Conditions and crew
| -4.6 |
| Darrynton Evans | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 8% | 0.7 |
| Robert Tonyan | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4% | 2.1 |
| Roschon Johnson | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.8 |
| Velus Jones | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.6 |
| Tyler Scott | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -4.3 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Tyrique Stevenson | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Jackson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Johnson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Billings | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Jones | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Kmet | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Taysom Hill | 11 | 52 | 4.7 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Alvin Kamara | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Jamaal Williams | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Derek Carr | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | -9.4 |
| Kendre Miller | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 6 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 25% | 1.2 |
| Alvin Kamara | 4 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 16% | 1.0 |
| Kendre Miller | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 3% | 2.4 |
| Juwan Johnson | 5 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 16% | 1.1 |
| Foster Moreau | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 3% | 1.2 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 9% | 1.1 |
| Taysom Hill | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 16% | 1.0 |
| Jamaal Williams | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9% | -2.8 |
| Michael Thomas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demario Davis | 7 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Jordan | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paulson Adebo | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| Tyrann Mathieu | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Khalen Saunders | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Shepherd | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carl Granderson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Bresee | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marshon Lattimore | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Maye | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
