For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2023 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 5, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas Cowboys

23

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

28

PHI -3.5 ✓O 46.5 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 28–23. Biggest swing: Q4 0:27, DAL +25% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHIDAL
Q4 · 0:27DAL 23PHI 28DAL ball · 1st & 10DAL 51%

(:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at PHI 22 for -11 yards (94-J.Sweat).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:27DAL +25% win prob(:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at PHI 22 for -11 yards (94-J.Sweat).
  2. Q4 · 1:22DAL +20% win prob(1:22) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 18-J.Tolbert (24-J.Bradberry).
  3. Q4 · 0:40PHI +20% win prob(:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson pushed ob at PHI 40 for 10 yards (2-D.Slay). PHI-2-D.Slay was injured during the play. PENALTY on PHI-7-H.Reddick, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at PHI 40.
  4. Q2 · 1:20PHI +15% win prob(1:20) 17-B.Aubrey 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 5:52PHI Touchdown

    (5:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-K.Gainwell right end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 0PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 1:41DAL Touchdown

    (1:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 87-J.Ferguson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7PHI 7
  3. Q2 · 11:21DAL Touchdown

    (11:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 9-K.Turpin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 14PHI 7
  4. Q2 · 5:13PHI Touchdown

    (5:13) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 14PHI 14
  5. Q2 · 1:20DAL Field goal

    (1:20) 17-B.Aubrey 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 17PHI 14
  6. Q3 · 11:30PHI Touchdown

    (11:30) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 6-D.Smith for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17PHI 21
  7. Q3 · 1:18PHI Touchdown

    (1:18) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left to 11-A.Brown for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17PHI 28
  8. Q4 · 6:30DAL Touchdown

    (6:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 18-J.Tolbert for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: DAL 23PHI 28

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysEagles
Offensive plays7059
Total yards407 (edge)292
Yards per play5.8 (edge)4.9
Expected points added / play0.120.19 (edge)
Success rate47%49% (edge)
Dropback rate76%54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.210.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.160.05 (edge)
Third downs6/157/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)17
Sacks taken53 (edge)
Turnovers11

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs 0.12.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

29/44, 374 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

12.9 expected points added · +5.9% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

17/23, 207 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

8.4 expected points added · +14.8% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

12 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

18 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

-4.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

11/16 for 191 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · 8.7 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Jake FergusonTE

7/10 for 91 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 7.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 25541:23Punt
2PHIPHI 2314827:51Touchdown +7
3DALDAL 4710534:09Touchdown +7
4PHIPHI 25511:32Punt
5DALDAL 1810723:49Touchdown +7
6PHIPHI 4013546:07Touchdown +7
7DALDAL 2510423:54Field goal +3
8PHIPHI 258211:11Punt
9DALDAL 12100:04End of half
10PHIPHI 408603:37Touchdown +7
11DALDAL 2510423:52Punt
12PHIPHI 1312606:18Touchdown +7
13DALDAL 2814646:06Turnover on downs
14PHIPHI 1451:31Punt
15DALDAL 486522:13Touchdown +6
16PHIPHI 25571:40Punt
17DALDAL 2610453:26Turnover on downs
18PHIPHI 29420:31Punt
19DALDAL 145330:46Fumble

8 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 82 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott29/4437430512.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard12514.30-2.0
Dak Prescott6142.301.7
Rico Dowdle284.00-0.7
Kavontae Turpin100.00-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb1116191036%8.7
Jake Ferguson71091123%7.9
Jalen Tolbert3549111%3.2
Michael Gallup231907%0.3
Tony Pollard3512011%-1.2
Brandin Cooks12705%0.4
Kavontae Turpin11512%2.9
Luke Schoonmaker11002%-3.9
Hunter Luepke01002%-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Damone Clark730.000
Micah Parsons541.500
Markquese Bell620.000
Malik Hooker330.000
Jayron Kearse320.000
Stephon Gilmore220.000
Sam Williams211.000
Demarcus Lawrence110.000
Dorance Armstrong110.500
Donovan Wilson100.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts17/232072038.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift18432.40-4.5
Jalen Hurts10363.615.3
Kenneth Gainwell3227.312.4
Rashaad Penny284.00-0.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown7966143%1.8
DeVonta Smith3351114%4.4
Dallas Goedert3450019%5.4
D'Andre Swift2231010%1.9
Olamide Zaccheaus128010%1.1
Kenneth Gainwell11105%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zach Cunningham720.001
Kevin Byard440.000
Reed Blankenship430.002
Darius Slay230.001
James Bradberry500.001
Josh Sweat221.000
Eli Ricks310.000
Nakobe Dean120.500
Sydney Brown210.000
Haason Reddick201.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -3.5
Closing total
46.5
DAL moneyline
+145
PHI moneyline
-175

Eagles closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 51 — over by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
64°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
DAL 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.