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2023 Week 9 · Mon, Nov 6, 2023 · MetLife Stadium

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

27

New York Jets

6

LAC -3 ✓U 41 ✓

Los Angeles Chargers 27–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:35, LAC +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYJ ↑LAC ↓
Q1 · 13:35LAC 6 — NYJ 0NYJ ball · 4th & 6LAC 61%

(13:35) 5-T.Morstead punts 59 yards to LAC 13, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 12-D.Davis for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 13:35LAC +12% win prob(13:35) 5-T.Morstead punts 59 yards to LAC 13, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 12-D.Davis for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 6:35LAC +11% win prob(6:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson sacked at LAC 48 for -6 yards (97-J.Bosa). FUMBLES (97-J.Bosa), RECOVERED by LAC-97-J.Bosa at 50.
  3. Q1 · 11:02LAC +8% win prob(11:02) (No Huddle) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 17-G.Wilson to LAC 37 for 7 yards (32-A.Gilman). FUMBLES (32-A.Gilman), touched at LAC 35, RECOVERED by LAC-3-D.James at LAC 29.
  4. Q1 · 14:19LAC +5% win prob(14:19) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short left.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 13:35LAC Touchdown

    (13:35) 5-T.Morstead punts 59 yards to LAC 13, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 12-D.Davis for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — NYJ 0
  2. Q1 · 2:49LAC Touchdown

    (2:49) 30-A.Ekeler right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 14 — NYJ 0
  3. Q2 · 6:01NYJ Field goal

    (6:01) 9-G.Zuerlein 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: LAC 14 — NYJ 3
  4. Q2 · 0:02LAC Field goal

    (:02) 11-C.Dicker 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 17 — NYJ 3
  5. Q3 · 9:56NYJ Field goal

    (9:56) 9-G.Zuerlein 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: LAC 17 — NYJ 6
  6. Q4 · 9:22LAC Field goal

    (9:22) 11-C.Dicker 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LAC 20 — NYJ 6
  7. Q4 · 3:28LAC Touchdown

    (3:28) (Shotgun) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 27 — NYJ 6

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersJets
Offensive plays5577
Total yards191270 (edge)
Yards per play3.53.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.12 (edge)-0.37
Success rate33%34% (edge)
Dropback rate67%75%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.13 (edge)-0.42
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.09 (edge)-0.23
Third downs7/16 (edge)3/17
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)4 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps1214 (edge)
Sacks taken5 (edge)8
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Jets outgained Chargers 270–191 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Zach WilsonQB

33/49, 263 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-19.1 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

16/30, 136 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-6.6 expected points added · -10.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

16 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

-2.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

14 att, 47 yds, 2 TD

-1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Garrett WilsonWR

7/13 for 80 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · -3.4 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Keenan AllenWR

8/9 for 77 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 5.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 25520:54Punt
2NYJNYJ 24440:51Defensive touchdown
3NYJNYJ 257232:20Fumble
4LACLAC 294111:38Punt
5NYJNYJ 286222:50Fumble
6LAC509503:42Touchdown +7
7NYJNYJ 25532:05Punt
8LACLAC 246242:47Punt
9NYJNYJ 20472:19Punt
10LACLAC 254-101:14Punt
11NYJNYJ 457313:23Field goal +3
12LACLAC 255-21:23Punt
13NYJNYJ 237102:41Punt
14LACLAC 157121:06Punt
15NYJNYJ 19440:30Punt
16LACLAC 423210:17Field goal +3
17NYJNYJ 2510475:08Field goal +3
18LACLAC 25571:28Punt
19NYJNYJ 3111255:49Punt
20LACLAC 1216688:17Field goal +3
21NYJNYJ 25852:29Punt
22LACLAC 26462:13Punt
23NYJNYJ 293211:08Fumble
24LACNYJ 2220:06Touchdown +7
25NYJNYJ 2515682:54Turnover on downs
26LACLAC 2100:28End of game

6 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 68 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a field goal.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert16/30136005-6.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Austin Ekeler14473.42-1.3
Joshua Kelley3186.000.3
Justin Herbert3175.701.7
Quentin Johnston122.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Keenan Allen8977032%5.2
Austin Ekeler2723025%-1.8
Gerald Everett221807%0.7
Quentin Johnston2314011%1.1
Joshua Kelley11404%-0.3
Donald Parham02007%-0.5
Jalen Guyton02007%-1.4
Derius Davis11004%-0.6
Stone Smartt01004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Derwin James630.000
Kenneth Murray710.000
Joey Bosa232.500
Ja'Sir Taylor320.002
Tuli Tuipulotu322.000
Alohi Gilman400.001
Asante Samuel400.000
Khalil Mack222.001
Eric Kendricks220.001
Dean Marlowe311.000

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Zach Wilson33/49263008-19.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall16503.10-2.2
Zach Wilson273.50-1.9
Dalvin Cook273.50-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Garrett Wilson71380027%-3.4
Tyler Conklin6666013%1.9
Xavier Gipson223204%3.8
Michael Carter6624013%0.5
Allen Lazard2618013%-1.4
C.J. Uzomah2511010%-2.4
Breece Hall441008%-0.3
Jeremy Ruckert11702%0.2
Malik Taylor12704%-0.2
Nick Bawden11702%0.2
Dalvin Cook12104%0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
C.J. Mosley450.000
Michael Carter320.000
Tony Adams210.000
Jordan Whitehead300.001
D.J. Reed300.000
Quincy Williams210.000
Bryce Huff121.500
Ahmad Gardner200.003
Jermaine Johnson110.500
Quinton Jefferson201.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -3
Closing total
41
LAC moneyline
-170
NYJ moneyline
+142

Chargers closed -3 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 41; the game landed 33 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
48°F, wind 4 mph
Referee
Craig Wrolstad
Rest
LAC 8 days · NYJ 8 days
Coaches
Brandon Staley vs Robert Saleh