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2023 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 5, 2023 · M&T Bank Stadium

Seattle Seahawks

3

Baltimore RavensWinner

37

BAL -6 ✓U 44.5 ✓

Baltimore Ravens 37–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 10:43, SEA +7% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3BAL ↑SEA ↓
Q2 · 10:43SEA 0 — BAL 7BAL ball · 2nd & 4BAL 90%

(10:43) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at SEA 39 for -9 yards (53-B.Mafe). FUMBLES (53-B.Mafe), touched at SEA 38, RECOVERED by SEA-53-B.Mafe at SEA 37.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 10:43SEA +7% win prob(10:43) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at SEA 39 for -9 yards (53-B.Mafe). FUMBLES (53-B.Mafe), touched at SEA 38, RECOVERED by SEA-53-B.Mafe at SEA 37.
  2. Q1 · 12:04SEA +5% win prob(12:04) (Shotgun) PENALTY on BAL-70-K.Zeitler, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 35 - No Play.
  3. Q1 · 5:11BAL +4% win prob(5:11) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 16-T.Lockett to SEA 47 for 7 yards (21-B.Stephens).
  4. Q1 · 2:56BAL +4% win prob(2:56) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 80-I.Likely to BAL 41 for 17 yards (56-J.Brooks).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 13:09BAL Touchdown

    (13:09) 35-G.Edwards up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — BAL 7
  2. Q2 · 2:44BAL Touchdown

    (2:44) 35-G.Edwards right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — BAL 14
  3. Q2 · 1:02SEA Field goal

    (1:02) 5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — BAL 14
  4. Q2 · 0:08BAL Field goal

    (:08) 9-J.Tucker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — BAL 17
  5. Q3 · 12:49BAL Field goal

    (12:49) 9-J.Tucker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — BAL 20
  6. Q3 · 3:31BAL Field goal

    (3:31) 9-J.Tucker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — BAL 23
  7. Q3 · 0:36BAL Touchdown

    (:36) (Shotgun) 34-K.Mitchell left guard for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — BAL 30
  8. Q4 · 8:19BAL Touchdown

    (8:19) (Shotgun) 2-T.Huntley pass short left to 3-O.Beckham for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 3 — BAL 37

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksRavens
Offensive plays4672
Total yards152517 (edge)
Yards per play3.37.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.450.19 (edge)
Success rate24%49% (edge)
Dropback rate72%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.44-0.01 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.450.41 (edge)
Third downs1/126/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)27 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps628 (edge)
Sacks taken41 (edge)
Turnovers22

Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.45.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

21/26, 187 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-3.2 expected points added · +15.5% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

13/28, 157 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-14.7 expected points added · -13.3% completion over expected

Rushing · BAL

Keaton MitchellRB

9 att, 138 yds, 1 TD

10.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

10 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

3.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BAL

Mark AndrewsTE

9/10 for 80 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 1.4 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR

6/7 for 63 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1SEASEA 25561:33Punt
2BALBAL 205151:58Punt
3SEASEA 316262:43Punt
4BALBAL 4482:16Punt
5SEASEA 337112:49Punt
6BALBAL 1913815:35Touchdown +7
7SEASEA 26461:01Interception
8BALBAL 413211:32Fumble
9SEASEA 37412:06Punt
10BALBAL 1611815:48Touchdown +7
11SEASEA 258601:40Field goal +3
12BALBAL 252150:10Fumble
13SEABAL 433-210:16Fumble
14BALSEA 365170:29Field goal +3
15SEA—100:04End of half
16BALBAL 256492:16Field goal +3
17SEASEA 25551:28Punt
18BALBAL 3913427:48Field goal +3
19SEASEA 25541:36Punt
20BALBAL 404601:23Touchdown +7
21SEASEA 259493:19Turnover on downs
22BALBAL 229783:56Touchdown +7
23SEASEA 9550:55Punt
24BALBAL 4611506:53Turnover on downs
25SEASEA 6100:26End of game

8 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 81 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith13/28157014-14.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kenneth Walker9161.80-4.0
Zach Charbonnet482.00-1.8
Geno Smith242.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba6763028%1.0
DK Metcalf1450016%-0.8
Tyler Lockett3832032%-2.2
Colby Parkinson11604%0.3
Zach Charbonnet11504%-0.5
Kenneth Walker12108%-1.3
Will Dissly01004%-0.5
Noah Fant01004%-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jordyn Brooks720.001
Bobby Wagner530.000
Tariq Woolen600.000
Boye Mafe511.000
Quandre Diggs510.000
Julian Love230.000
Jon Rhattigan230.000
Devon Witherspoon320.001
Derick Hall220.000
Tre Brown210.000

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Lamar Jackson21/26187001-3.2
Tyler Huntley5/7381005.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Keaton Mitchell913815.3110.3
Lamar Jackson10606.003.3
Gus Edwards55210.423.5
Justice Hill13403.10-2.6
Tyler Huntley482.00-3.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Mark Andrews91080031%1.4
Odell Beckham5756122%1.9
Isaiah Likely4442013%4.9
Rashod Bateman3528016%-2.3
Zay Flowers111103%0.8
Devin Duvernay221006%-0.4
Nelson Agholor11203%-0.4
Justice Hill01003%-0.7
Keaton Mitchell11-403%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Patrick Queen510.000
Roquan Smith320.000
Kyle Hamilton210.001
Jadeveon Clowney210.002
Odafe Oweh201.000
Brandon Stephens200.000
Trenton Simpson200.000
Tavius Robinson110.000
Nnamdi Madubuike201.000
Kyle Van Noy202.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
BAL -6
Closing total
44.5
SEA moneyline
+220
BAL moneyline
-270

Ravens closed -6 and covered, winning by 34.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 40 — under by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
70°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
SEA 7 days · BAL 7 days
Coaches
Pete Carroll vs John Harbaugh