2023 Week 9 · Thu, Nov 2, 2023 · Acrisure Stadium

Tennessee Titans

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

PIT -3.5 ✓U 37 ✓Steelers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 4.

Pittsburgh Steelers 20–16. Biggest swing: Q4 0:11, TEN +34% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:11TEN 16 — PIT 20TEN ball · 3rd & 5PIT 64%

(:11) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle intended for 81-J.Whyle INTERCEPTED by 54-K.Alexander at PIT -1. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:11TEN +34% win prob(:11) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle intended for 81-J.Whyle INTERCEPTED by 54-K.Alexander at PIT -1. Touchback.
Q4 · 5:06PIT +22% win prob(5:06) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep right to 18-D.Johnson to TEN 23 for 32 yards (38-T.Edmunds).
Q4 · 0:44PIT +15% win prob(:44) (Shotgun) 8-W.Levis pass deep middle to 11-C.Moore to PIT 36 for 29 yards (54-K.Alexander).
Q4 · 1:23TEN +12% win prob(1:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-W.Levis sacked at TEN 19 for -8 yards (56-A.Highsmith).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:16PIT Touchdown
(10:16) (Shotgun) 22-N.Harris right tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 0 — PIT 7
Q1 · 2:52TEN Field goal
(2:52) 6-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: TEN 3 — PIT 7
Q2 · 6:40TEN Touchdown
(6:40) 98-J.Simmons reported in as eligible. 22-D.Henry left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 10 — PIT 7
Q2 · 1:19PIT Field goal
(1:19) 9-C.Boswell 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: TEN 10 — PIT 10
Q2 · 0:03TEN Field goal
(:03) 6-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: TEN 13 — PIT 10
Q3 · 5:44PIT Field goal
(5:44) 9-C.Boswell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.
Score after this play: TEN 13 — PIT 13
Q3 · 0:24TEN Field goal
(:24) 6-N.Folk 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: TEN 16 — PIT 13
Q4 · 4:06PIT Touchdown
(4:06) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass short right to 18-D.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 16 — PIT 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Steelers
Offensive plays	67	59
Total yards	340 (edge)	327
Yards per play	5.1	5.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.00	0.13 (edge)
Success rate	40%	49% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09	0.11 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.17 (edge)	0.14
Third downs	3/13	6/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	17	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	0 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Titans outgained Steelers 340–327 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · TEN

Will LevisQB

22/39, 262 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-3.7 expected points added · +0.3% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Kenny PickettQB

19/30, 160 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.4 expected points added · -3.2% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

Jaylen WarrenRB

11 att, 88 yds, 0 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

17 att, 75 yds, 1 TD

4.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

Diontae JohnsonWR

7/9 for 90 yds, 1 TD

31% of team targets · 8.3 expected points added

Receiving · TEN

Kyle PhilipsWR

4/5 for 68 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PIT	PIT 22	12	83	4:49	Touchdown +7
2	TEN	TEN 10	15	32	7:23	Field goal +3
3	PIT	PIT 25	5	2	0:55	Punt
4	TEN	TEN 18	5	36	2:54	Punt
5	PIT	PIT 17	4	2	0:58	Punt
6	TEN	TEN 27	12	73	6:26	Touchdown +7
7	PIT	PIT 24	11	55	5:19	Field goal +3
8	TEN	TEN 25	9	57	1:16	Field goal +3
9	TEN	TEN 25	5	2	1:02	Punt
10	PIT	PIT 13	15	70	8:17	Field goal +3
11	TEN	TEN 25	10	40	5:22	Field goal +3
12	PIT	PIT 25	8	19	2:54	Punt
13	TEN	TEN 8	7	33	3:12	Punt
14	PIT	PIT 8	12	94	5:11	Touchdown +7
15	TEN	TEN 48	5	6	1:56	Turnover on downs
16	PIT	PIT 47	4	2	0:22	Punt
17	TEN	TEN 15	12	61	1:38	Interception
18	PIT	PIT 20	1	0	0:06	End of game

8 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 94 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Will Levis	22/39	262	0	1	4	-3.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Derrick Henry	17	75	4.4	1	4.3
Tyjae Spears	5	18	3.6	0	-0.5
DeAndre Hopkins	1	5	5.0	0	0.0
Treylon Burks	1	5	5.0	0	0.0
Will Levis	1	2	2.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Kyle Philips	4	5	68	14%	4.2
DeAndre Hopkins	4	11	60	30%	-0.4
Chris Moore	1	2	29	5%	1.4
Chigoziem Okonkwo	3	4	28	11%	0.9
Derrick Henry	3	4	27	11%	1.9
Treylon Burks	2	3	23	8%	-1.5
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	1	1	23	3%	3.1
Tyjae Spears	4	6	4	16%	-4.8
Josh Whyle	0	1	0	3%	-2.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Azeez Al-Shaair	1	8	1
Amani Hooker	6	1	0
Jeffery Simmons	3	3	0
Elijah Molden	3	2	0
Jack Gibbens	3	2	0
Kristian Fulton	3	1	1
Terrell Edmunds	4	0	0
Tre Avery	2	1	0
Denico Autry	1	2	1
Monty Rice	1	1	0

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kenny Pickett	19/30	160	1	0	0	3.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jaylen Warren	11	88	8.0	0	2.5
Najee Harris	16	69	4.3	1	1.0
Calvin Austin	2	10	5.0	0	0.6
Kenny Pickett	1	-1	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Diontae Johnson	7	9	90	1	31%	8.3
Jaylen Warren	3	3	25	0	10%	1.7
Connor Heyward	2	3	16	0	10%	-0.0
Allen Robinson	1	2	10	0	7%	1.4
Najee Harris	2	4	7	0	14%	-0.5
Darnell Washington	1	1	7	0	3%	0.8
Miles Boykin	1	1	6	0	3%	0.2
Calvin Austin	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.3
George Pickens	2	5	-1	0	17%	-5.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Elandon Roberts	4	5	0.0	0
Keanu Neal	3	4	0.0	0
Cameron Heyward	3	2	0.0	0
Larry Ogunjobi	2	2	0.0	0
Alex Highsmith	2	2	2.0	0
Damontae Kazee	3	1	0.0	0
T.J. Watt	2	2	1.0	0
Darius Rush	2	1	0.0	1
Joey Porter	3	0	0.0	1
Patrick Peterson	3	0	0.0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PIT -3.5
Closing total: 37
TEN moneyline: +145
PIT moneyline: -175

Steelers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 4.

Total closed 37; the game landed 36 — under by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 40°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: TEN 4 days · PIT 4 days
Coaches: Mike Vrabel vs Mike Tomlin