For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2023 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 12, 2023 · M&T Bank Stadium
33
31
Cleveland Browns 33–31 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:03, BAL +38% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:03) 7-D.Hopkins 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
How the points landed
(14:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 85-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 14-K.Hamilton at CLE 18. 14-K.Hamilton for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — BAL 7(10:22) 34-K.Mitchell left tackle for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 0 — BAL 14(7:31) 7-D.Hopkins 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — BAL 14(3:33) 9-J.Tucker 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: CLE 3 — BAL 17(7:33) 7-D.Hopkins 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 6 — BAL 17(1:05) 7-D.Hopkins 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 9 — BAL 17(12:37) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 3-O.Beckham for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 9 — BAL 24(2:25) 69-L.Watson and 53-N.Harris reported in as eligible. 27-K.Hunt right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: CLE 17 — BAL 24(11:37) 66-B.Cleveland reported in as eligible. 35-G.Edwards right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 17 — BAL 31(9:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 8-E.Moore for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: CLE 24 — BAL 31(8:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 42-P.Ricard INTERCEPTED by 0-G.Newsome (54-O.Okoronkwo) at BAL 34. 0-G.Newsome for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: CLE 30 — BAL 31(:03) 7-D.Hopkins 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: CLE 33 — BAL 31Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Browns | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 75 | 50 |
| Total yards | 376 (edge) | 306 |
| Yards per play | 5.0 | 6.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.09 (edge) | -0.17 |
| Success rate | 45% (edge) | 42% |
| Dropback rate | 61% | 60% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.03 (edge) | -0.22 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.18 (edge) | -0.09 |
| Third downs | 8/15 (edge) | 2/8 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 23 (edge) | 12 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 3 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.17.
Who moved the needle
Passing · BAL
13/23, 223 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-5.9 expected points added · -7.4% completion over expected
Passing · CLE
20/34, 213 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-0.2 expected points added · +1.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | CLE 25 | 3 | 4 | 0:40 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 2 | CLE | CLE 25 | 6 | 12 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | BAL | BAL 21 | 6 | 74 | 2:38 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | CLE | CLE 33 | 11 | 34 | 2:46 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | BAL | BAL 25 | 9 | 51 | 3:58 | Field goal +3 | |
| 6 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 5 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 7 | BAL | BAL 40 | 4 | 2 | 1:15 | Punt | |
| 8 | CLE | CLE 20 | 12 | 75 | 7:16 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | BAL | BAL 26 | 10 | 32 | 5:16 | Missed field goal | |
| 10 | CLE | BAL 38 | 6 | 33 | 1:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | BAL | BAL 25 | 3 | 9 | 0:19 | Interception | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 47 | 7 | 11 | 0:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | BAL | BAL 22 | 8 | 78 | 2:31 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 25 | 19 | 82 | 10:09 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 15 | BAL | BAL 25 | 6 | 20 | 2:29 | Punt | |
| 16 | BAL | CLE 12 | 8 | 17 | 3:17 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | CLE | CLE 25 | 8 | 56 | 2:37 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | BAL | BAL 25 | 3 | 2 | 0:41 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 19 | BAL | BAL 25 | 8 | 21 | 3:21 | Punt | |
| 20 | CLE | CLE 20 | 12 | 64 | 4:55 | Field goal +3 |
10 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 82 scrimmage yards over 19 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 20/34 | 213 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -0.2 |
| P.J. Walker | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | 17 | 107 | 6.3 | 0 | 3.4 |
| Deshaun Watson | 8 | 37 | 4.6 | 0 | 2.9 |
| Kareem Hunt | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Harrison Bryant | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 6 | 9 | 98 | 0 | 28% | 6.7 |
| David Njoku | 6 | 9 | 58 | 0 | 28% | -4.4 |
| Elijah Moore | 5 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 22% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Emerson | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Grant Delpit | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Za'Darius Smith |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 13/23 | 223 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 8 | 41 | 5.1 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Ravens closed -6 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 38.5; the game landed 64 — over by 25.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 4.2 |
| Jordan Akins | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.5 |
| Harrison Bryant | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Jerome Ford | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | 0.5 |
| James Proche | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 1.0 |
| Cedric Tillman | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9% | -2.2 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Juan Thornhill | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Garrett | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Ford | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ogbonnia Okoronkwo | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Greg Newsome | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
| Anthony Walker | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -1.2 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Gus Edwards | 11 | 24 | 2.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Justice Hill | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 5 | 6 | 73 | 0 | 26% | 3.8 |
| Mark Andrews | 2 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 17% | 1.4 |
| Odell Beckham | 1 | 2 | 40 | 1 | 9% | 4.2 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 1 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 9% | 0.6 |
| Rashod Bateman | 2 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 17% | -0.8 |
| Isaiah Likely | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | -0.3 |
| Gus Edwards | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | -0.2 |
| Nelson Agholor | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9% | -1.9 |
| Patrick Ricard | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -7.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roquan Smith | 11 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Queen | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Hamilton | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jadeveon Clowney | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Geno Stone | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Michael Pierce | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Madubuike | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Odafe Oweh | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Urban | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marlon Humphrey | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
