2023 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 12, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
New York Jets
12
Las Vegas RaidersWinner
16
Las Vegas Raiders 16–12. Biggest swing: Q4 1:22, NYJ +46% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(1:22) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right intended for 10-A.Lazard INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Spillane [90-J.Tillery] at LV 15. 41-R.Spillane to LV 40 for 25 yards (10-A.Lazard).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 1:22NYJ +46% win prob(1:22) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right intended for 10-A.Lazard INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Spillane [90-J.Tillery] at LV 15. 41-R.Spillane to LV 40 for 25 yards (10-A.Lazard).
- Q4 · 6:13NYJ +17% win prob(6:13) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle to NYJ 25 for 4 yards (44-J.Sherwood; 22-T.Adams). FUMBLES (44-J.Sherwood), RECOVERED by NYJ-21-A.Davis at NYJ 24.
- Q4 · 14:17LV +16% win prob(14:17) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short right to 87-M.Mayer for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 0:42LV +13% win prob(:42) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle to NYJ 13 for 40 yards (30-M.Carter). FUMBLES (30-M.Carter), touched at NYJ 10, ball out of bounds at NYJ 6.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:18NYJ Field goal
(10:18) 9-G.Zuerlein 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: NYJ 3 — LV 0 - Q1 · 6:18LV Field goal
(6:18) 2-D.Carlson 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: NYJ 3 — LV 3 - Q1 · 1:16NYJ Field goal
(1:16) 9-G.Zuerlein 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: NYJ 6 — LV 3 - Q2 · 11:51NYJ Field goal
(11:51) 9-G.Zuerlein 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: NYJ 9 — LV 3 - Q2 · 0:03LV Field goal
(:03) 2-D.Carlson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: NYJ 9 — LV 6 - Q3 · 2:40LV Field goal
(2:40) 2-D.Carlson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
Score after this play: NYJ 9 — LV 9 - Q4 · 14:17LV Touchdown
(14:17) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short right to 87-M.Mayer for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYJ 9 — LV 16 - Q4 · 12:02NYJ Field goal
(12:02) 9-G.Zuerlein 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
Score after this play: NYJ 12 — LV 16
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Jets | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 63 | 62 |
| Total yards | 365 (edge) | 274 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 (edge) | 4.4 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.13 (edge) | -0.18 |
| Success rate | 40% | 44% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 73% | 48% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.04 (edge) | -0.33 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.39 | -0.05 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/17 (edge) | 5/15 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 14 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NYJ
23/39, 263 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-4.1 expected points added · -6.9% completion over expected
Passing · LV
16/27, 153 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-9.8 expected points added · -8.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 2 | NYJ | NYJ 22 | 8 | 59 | 3:13 | Field goal +3 | |
| 3 | LV | LV 25 | 7 | 63 | 3:58 | Field goal +3 | |
| 4 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 10 | 50 | 5:04 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | LV | LV 25 | 3 | 0 | 0:44 | Interception | |
| 6 | NYJ | LV 26 | 8 | 34 | 3:39 | Field goal +3 | |
| 7 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 8 | NYJ | NYJ 19 | 5 | 19 | 2:58 | Punt | |
| 9 | LV | LV 20 | 12 | 35 | 5:26 | Punt | |
| 10 | NYJ | NYJ 14 | 7 | 34 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 11 | LV | LV 20 | 8 | 29 | 0:52 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 6 | 17 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 13 | LV | LV 31 | 4 | 6 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 14 | NYJ | NYJ 15 | 4 | 12 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 15 | LV | NYJ 45 | 11 | 23 | 6:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | NYJ | NYJ 13 | 5 | 0 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 17 | LV | LV 47 | 6 | 53 | 1:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | NYJ | NYJ 25 | 7 | 48 | 2:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 19 | LV | LV 25 | 11 | 50 | 5:52 | Fumble | |
| 20 | NYJ | NYJ 24 | 11 | 56 | 4:52 | Interception | |
| 21 | LV | LV 40 | 4 | 5 | 0:21 | Punt | |
| 22 | NYJ | NYJ 20 | 5 | 36 | 0:53 | End of game |
8 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 63 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
Box score
New York Jets
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Wilson | 23/39 | 263 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Garrett Wilson | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Wilson | 4 | 54 | 13.5 | 0 | 2.9 |
| Breece Hall | 13 | 28 | 2.2 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Dalvin Cook | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 9 | 14 | 93 | 0 | 38% | 3.8 |
| Tyler Conklin | 7 | 7 | 70 | 0 | 19% | 2.3 |
| Breece Hall | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 8% | 2.8 |
| Xavier Gipson | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8% | 1.4 |
| Allen Lazard | 1 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 14% | -7.0 |
| C.J. Uzomah | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| Malik Taylor | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5% | -1.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Michael Carter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Mosley | 6 | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Whitehead | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Quincy Williams | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Adams | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamien Sherwood | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ahmad Gardner | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinnen Williams | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| D.J. Reed | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Solomon Thomas | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Franklin-Myers | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan O'Connell | 16/27 | 153 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -9.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 27 | 116 | 4.3 | 0 | -4.7 |
| DeAndre Carter | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 3.1 |
| Tre Tucker | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Zamir White | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Aidan O'Connell | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 6 | 13 | 86 | 0 | 52% | -5.6 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 8% | 1.0 |
| Michael Mayer | 3 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 20% | 1.2 |
| Josh Jacobs | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 8% | 1.1 |
| Austin Hooper | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | -0.4 |
| Hunter Renfrow | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4% | -0.2 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | -0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divine Deablo | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Robert Spillane | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nate Hobbs | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jerry Tillery | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakorian Bennett | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Epps | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevon Moehrig | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Jenkins | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bilal Nichols | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Hall | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NYJ -1
- Closing total
- 35.5
- NYJ moneyline
- -115
- LV moneyline
- -105
Jets closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 35.5; the game landed 28 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- NYJ 6 days · LV 7 days
- Coaches
- Robert Saleh vs Antonio Pierce