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2023 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 19, 2023 · Bank of America Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

33

Carolina Panthers

10

DAL -11 ✓43 push

Dallas Cowboys 33–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 11:47, CAR +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CAR ↑DAL ↓
Q1 · 11:47DAL 0 — CAR 0CAR ball · 1st & 10DAL 80%

(11:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left guard to CAR 38 for 13 yards (28-M.Hooker).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:47CAR +6% win prob(11:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-C.Hubbard left guard to CAR 38 for 13 yards (28-M.Hooker).
  2. Q1 · 9:05DAL +6% win prob(9:05) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at DAL 46 for -9 yards (11-M.Parsons).
  3. Q1 · 3:25CAR +5% win prob(3:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-L.Schoonmaker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 14:24DAL +4% win prob(14:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 9-K.Turpin to DAL 32 for no gain (49-F.Luvu).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:25DAL Touchdown

    (3:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-L.Schoonmaker for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — CAR 0
  2. Q2 · 11:05DAL Field goal

    (11:05) 17-B.Aubrey 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — CAR 0
  3. Q2 · 2:00CAR Field goal

    (2:00) 4-E.Pineiro 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.

    Score after this play: DAL 10 — CAR 3
  4. Q2 · 0:29DAL Touchdown

    (:29) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — CAR 3
  5. Q3 · 2:04CAR Touchdown

    (2:04) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 82-T.Tremble for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — CAR 10
  6. Q4 · 14:06DAL Touchdown

    (14:06) 20-T.Pollard up the middle for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-99-S.Tuttle, Defensive Holding, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 24 — CAR 10
  7. Q4 · 13:58DAL Touchdown

    (13:58) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right intended for 15-J.Mingo INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Bland at CAR 30. 26-D.Bland for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: DAL 30 — CAR 10
  8. Q4 · 7:21DAL Field goal

    (7:21) 17-B.Aubrey 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 33 — CAR 10

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysPanthers
Offensive plays6558
Total yards314 (edge)188
Yards per play4.8 (edge)3.2
Expected points added / play0.18 (edge)-0.30
Success rate45% (edge)36%
Dropback rate65%64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.20 (edge)-0.51
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.15 (edge)0.08
Third downs7/15 (edge)5/15
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps18 (edge)13
Sacks taken0 (edge)7
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.30.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

25/38, 189 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.6 expected points added · +1.2% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Bryce YoungQB

16/29, 123 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-18.7 expected points added · -4.0% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

12 att, 61 yds, 1 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CAR

Chuba HubbardRB

10 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CAR

Adam ThielenWR

8/11 for 74 yds, 0 TD

42% of team targets · 10.0 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Brandin CooksWR

3/4 for 42 yds, 0 TD

10% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 25571:23Punt
2CARCAR 1311415:18Punt
3DALDAL 1711834:59Touchdown +7
4CARCAR 257142:10Punt
5DALDAL 2012395:09Field goal +3
6CARCAR 25531:14Punt
7DALDAL 176132:57Punt
8CARCAR 2610504:54Field goal +3
9DALDAL 4013351:32Touchdown +7
10CARCAR 25200:24End of half
11CARCAR 256131:30Punt
12DALDAL 206172:33Punt
13CARCAR 3018708:58Touchdown +7
14DALDAL 2510753:01Touchdown +7
15CARCAR 25200:10Defensive touchdown
16CARCAR 25722:30Fumble
17DALCAR 277184:00Field goal +3
18CARCAR 285-51:31Punt
19DALDAL 279275:47End of game

7 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 83 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott25/381892007.6
Cooper Rush2/315000-1.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard12615.113.0
Rico Dowdle8232.90-1.2
Kavontae Turpin11313.000.8
CeeDee Lamb177.000.4
Dak Prescott263.002.3
Cooper Rush3-3-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Brandin Cooks3442010%4.7
CeeDee Lamb6938123%3.5
Jake Ferguson3532013%1.8
Michael Gallup3531013%2.3
Luke Schoonmaker222315%2.8
Tony Pollard4519013%-1.2
Jalen Tolbert2512013%-2.0
Kavontae Turpin231008%-2.8
Rico Dowdle22-305%-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Markquese Bell440.000
Jayron Kearse150.500
Micah Parsons242.500
Malik Hooker320.000
Jourdan Lewis410.000
Daron Bland230.011
Damone Clark140.001
Juanyeh Thomas220.000
Demarcus Lawrence121.000
Dorance Armstrong030.500

Carolina Panthers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Bryce Young16/29123117-18.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Chuba Hubbard10575.70-0.2
Miles Sanders11504.501.9
Bryce Young231.50-0.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Adam Thielen81174042%10.0
Stephen Sullivan112004%2.2
Laviska Shenault Jr.22908%-1.2
Chuba Hubbard22808%-0.7
Jonathan Mingo166023%-12.2
Tommy Tremble134112%-0.8
Miles Sanders11204%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Frankie Luvu620.002
Troy Hill350.003
Vonn Bell610.000
Donte Jackson410.000
Derrick Brown320.000
Xavier Woods140.000
Dicaprio Bootle400.000
Nick Thurman210.000
Brian Burns210.000
D.J. Johnson210.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -11
Closing total
43
DAL moneyline
-650
CAR moneyline
+470

Cowboys closed -11 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 43 and landed exactly there — a push.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Bank of America Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
65°F, wind 2 mph
Referee
Clay Martin
Rest
DAL 7 days · CAR 10 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Frank Reich