2023 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 19, 2023 · SoFi Stadium
Seattle Seahawks
16
Los Angeles RamsWinner
17
Los Angeles Rams 17–16 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:08, SEA +42% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:08) 5-J.Myers 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:08SEA +42% win prob(:08) 5-J.Myers 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
- Q4 · 0:41LA +22% win prob(:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf to LA 39 for 21 yards (43-J.Johnson).
- Q1 · 2:04SEA +12% win prob(2:04) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle to 5-T.Atwell.
- Q4 · 5:46LA +10% win prob(5:46) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 17-P.Nacua. PENALTY on SEA-27-T.Woolen, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at LA 48 - No Play.
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 5:23SEA Touchdown
(5:23) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 14-D.Metcalf for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 7 — LA 0 - Q2 · 8:31SEA Field goal
(8:31) 5-J.Myers 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 10 — LA 0 - Q2 · 4:52SEA Field goal
(4:52) 5-J.Myers 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 13 — LA 0 - Q2 · 0:12LA Touchdown
(:12) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 17-P.Nacua for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 13 — LA 7 - Q3 · 8:08SEA Field goal
(8:08) 5-J.Myers 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: SEA 16 — LA 7 - Q4 · 7:41LA Touchdown
(7:41) (No Huddle) 27-D.Henderson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: SEA 16 — LA 14 - Q4 · 1:34LA Field goal
(1:34) 8-L.Havrisik 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.
Score after this play: SEA 16 — LA 17
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 58 |
| Total yards | 292 (edge) | 269 |
| Yards per play | 4.8 (edge) | 4.6 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.01 (edge) | -0.16 |
| Success rate | 36% | 40% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.16 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.17 |
| Third downs | 5/15 (edge) | 2/9 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · SEA
22/34, 233 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
5.4 expected points added · +0.2% completion over expected
Passing · LA
17/31, 190 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-4.6 expected points added · -14.2% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 12 | 15 | 73 | 7:46 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | LA | LA 25 | 7 | 14 | 3:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | SEA | SEA 2 | 15 | 75 | 8:34 | Field goal +3 | |
| 5 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:32 | Punt | |
| 6 | SEA | SEA 32 | 6 | 57 | 3:06 | Field goal +3 | |
| 7 | LA | LA 25 | 11 | 75 | 4:39 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | SEA | SEA 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:09 | End of half | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 10 | LA | LA 17 | 4 | 3 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 11 | SEA | LA 46 | 8 | 23 | 3:56 | Field goal +3 | |
| 12 | LA | LA 25 | 6 | 12 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 30 | 5 | 11 | 2:54 | Punt | |
| 14 | LA | LA 5 | 7 | 14 | 2:40 | Punt | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 36 | 4 | 1 | 0:41 | Punt | |
| 16 | LA | LA 32 | 2 | -3 | 0:47 | Interception | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 20 | 4 | 7 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 18 | LA | LA 32 | 10 | 74 | 4:45 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 25 | 4 | -1 | 0:55 | Interception | |
| 20 | LA | LA 21 | 14 | 75 | 5:12 | Field goal +3 | |
| 21 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 38 | 1:28 | Missed field goal | |
| 22 | LA | LA 45 | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | End of game |
7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 75 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a field goal.
Full stat lines
Box score
Seattle Seahawks
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 22/34 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5.4 |
| Drew Lock | 2/6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Charbonnet | 15 | 47 | 3.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Kenneth Walker | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.0 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Geno Smith | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK Metcalf | 5 | 9 | 94 | 1 | 24% | 5.5 |
| Tyler Lockett | 5 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 18% | 3.7 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 3 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 16% | -0.2 |
| Zach Charbonnet | 6 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 16% | 0.3 |
| DeeJay Dallas | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
| Will Dissly | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 8% | -0.1 |
| Jake Bobo | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5% | -0.2 |
| Noah Fant | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5% | -2.1 |
| D'Wayne Eskridge | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.2 |
| Kenneth Walker | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 3% | -1.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quandre Diggs | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Wagner | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Witherspoon | 4 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Julian Love | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordyn Brooks | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Brown | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leonard Williams | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrell Taylor | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tariq Woolen | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jarran Reed | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Los Angeles Rams
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 17/31 | 190 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce Freeman | 17 | 73 | 4.3 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Puka Nacua | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Matthew Stafford | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Darrell Henderson | 6 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Zach Evans | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 5 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 24% | 6.3 |
| Darrell Henderson | 4 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 24% | -2.8 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 7% | -0.1 |
| Austin Trammell | 3 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 21% | -2.4 |
| Tutu Atwell | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 10% | -2.5 |
| Tyler Higbee | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 10% | 0.3 |
| Cooper Kupp | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 0.8 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Jones | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Quentin Lake | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Hoecht | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Fuller | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonah Williams | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron Young | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobie Turner | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Johnson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derion Kendrick | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Ahkello Witherspoon | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LA -2.5
- Closing total
- 45
- SEA moneyline
- +114
- LA moneyline
- -135
Rams closed -2.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 45; the game landed 33 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- SoFi Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · matrixturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- SEA 7 days · LA 14 days
- Coaches
- Pete Carroll vs Sean McVay
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.