2023 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 26, 2023 · SoFi Stadium
Baltimore RavensWinner
20
Los Angeles Chargers
10
Baltimore Ravens 20–10. Biggest swing: Q4 1:57, BAL +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(1:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short left [10-A.Maulet]. PENALTY on LAC-10-J.Herbert, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 46.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 1:57BAL +15% win prob(1:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short left [10-A.Maulet]. PENALTY on LAC-10-J.Herbert, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 46.
- Q4 · 3:02BAL +13% win prob(3:02) 9-J.Tucker 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.
- Q4 · 2:33LAC +10% win prob(2:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 82-A.Erickson ran ob at 50 for 17 yards.
- Q4 · 2:00BAL +9% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 30-A.Ekeler (6-P.Queen).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 9:07LAC Field goal
(9:07) 11-C.Dicker 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Score after this play: BAL 0 — LAC 3 - Q2 · 10:46BAL Touchdown
(10:46) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 7 — LAC 3 - Q2 · 1:16BAL Field goal
(1:16) 9-J.Tucker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: BAL 10 — LAC 3 - Q3 · 10:58BAL Field goal
(10:58) 9-J.Tucker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Score after this play: BAL 13 — LAC 3 - Q4 · 8:36LAC Touchdown
(8:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 7-G.Everett for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 13 — LAC 10 - Q4 · 1:44BAL Touchdown
(1:44) (Shotgun) 4-Z.Flowers left end for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: BAL 20 — LAC 10
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Ravens | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 66 |
| Total yards | 363 (edge) | 279 |
| Yards per play | 5.4 (edge) | 4.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.03 (edge) | -0.30 |
| Success rate | 49% (edge) | 36% |
| Dropback rate | 54% | 77% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.11 (edge) | -0.39 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.18 (edge) | -0.00 |
| Third downs | 4/13 | 7/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 4 |
Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.30.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · LAC
29/44, 217 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
-11.9 expected points added · -2.1% completion over expected
Passing · BAL
18/32, 177 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-3.6 expected points added · -12.7% completion over expected
Receiving · LAC
14/16 for 106 yds, 0 TD
39% of team targets · -0.4 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | LAC 25 | 13 | 69 | 5:57 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | BAL | BAL 25 | 9 | 27 | 3:50 | Punt | |
| 3 | LAC | LAC 11 | 7 | 10 | 3:11 | Punt | |
| 4 | BAL | BAL 22 | 13 | 88 | 6:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | LAC | LAC 20 | 5 | -1 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 6 | BAL | BAL 38 | 9 | 45 | 4:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | LAC | LAC 27 | 2 | 7 | 0:40 | Fumble | |
| 8 | BAL | LAC 34 | 5 | 4 | 2:21 | Field goal +3 | |
| 9 | LAC | LAC 25 | 4 | 22 | 0:46 | Fumble | |
| 10 | BAL | LAC 47 | 4 | -4 | 0:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | LAC | BAL 49 | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | Interception | |
| 12 | BAL | BAL 25 | 10 | 45 | 4:07 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | LAC | LAC 25 | 5 | 9 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 13 | 10 | 55 | 3:42 | Punt | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 15 | 19 | 71 | 8:44 | Fumble | |
| 16 | BAL | BAL 23 | 4 | 5 | 1:08 | Punt | |
| 17 | LAC | LAC 40 | 8 | 60 | 2:51 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | BAL | BAL 25 | 10 | 54 | 5:35 | Missed field goal | |
| 19 | LAC | LAC 34 | 6 | 20 | 1:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | BAL | LAC 44 | 4 | 44 | 0:18 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 21 | LAC | LAC 25 | 6 | 12 | 0:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | BAL | LAC 37 | 2 | 0 | 0:53 | End of game |
6 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 88 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Baltimore Ravens
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 18/32 | 177 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Mitchell | 9 | 64 | 7.1 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Lamar Jackson | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Zay Flowers | 1 | 37 | 37.0 | 1 | 4.5 |
| Justice Hill | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Gus Edwards | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Devin Duvernay | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Likely | 4 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 20% | 0.8 |
| Odell Beckham | 3 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 17% | 0.9 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 7% | 2.0 |
| Zay Flowers | 5 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 27% | -3.4 |
| Nelson Agholor | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 7% | 0.4 |
| Rashod Bateman | 2 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 17% | 0.5 |
| Gus Edwards | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 0.7 |
| Justice Hill | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roquan Smith | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Geno Stone | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Queen | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Stephens | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Hamilton | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marcus Williams | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Michael Pierce | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Odafe Oweh | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis Jones | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Del'Shawn Phillips | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 29/44 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -11.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Austin Ekeler | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Joshua Kelley | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Derius Davis | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | -1.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen | 14 | 16 | 106 | 0 | 39% | -0.4 |
| Gerald Everett | 4 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 10% | 5.9 |
| Austin Ekeler | 5 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 15% | -4.5 |
| Alex Erickson | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 7% | 0.1 |
| Quentin Johnston | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7% | -2.1 |
| Joshua Kelley | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5% | -1.0 |
| Jalen Guyton | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12% | -4.0 |
| Derius Davis | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2% | -0.4 |
| Stone Smartt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -1.7 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alohi Gilman | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Deane Leonard | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalil Mack | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Eric Kendricks | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derwin James | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenneth Murray | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asante Samuel | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Essang Bassey | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Otito Ogbonnia | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuli Tuipulotu | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BAL -3
- Closing total
- 49
- BAL moneyline
- -170
- LAC moneyline
- +142
Ravens closed -3 and covered, winning by 10.
Total closed 49; the game landed 30 — under by 19.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- SoFi Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · matrixturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Alan Eck
- Rest
- BAL 10 days · LAC 7 days
- Coaches
- John Harbaugh vs Brandon Staley