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2023 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 3, 2023 · SoFi Stadium

Cleveland Browns

19

Los Angeles RamsWinner

36

LA -3.5 ✓O 39.5 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Rams 36–19 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q4 6:51, CLE +26% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LA ↑CLE ↓
Q4 · 6:51CLE 19 — LA 20CLE ball · 1st & 10LA 57%

(6:51) 15-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 8-E.Moore INTERCEPTED by 43-J.Johnson at LA 34. 43-J.Johnson to CLE 24 for 42 yards (64-G.Christian, 77-W.Teller).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 6:51CLE +26% win prob(6:51) 15-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 8-E.Moore INTERCEPTED by 43-J.Johnson at LA 34. 43-J.Johnson to CLE 24 for 42 yards (64-G.Christian, 77-W.Teller).
  2. Q1 · 4:08LA +12% win prob(4:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 17-P.Nacua for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 8:56LA +11% win prob(8:56) 68-M.Dunn reported in as eligible. 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 88-H.Bryant for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q3 · 2:08LA +10% win prob(2:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 15-D.Robinson pushed ob at CLE 10 for 30 yards (1-J.Thornhill).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:26CLE Touchdown

    (10:26) 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 34-J.Ford for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LA-0-B.Young, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — LA 0
  2. Q1 · 6:33LA Field goal

    (6:33) 8-L.Havrisik 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — LA 3
  3. Q1 · 4:08LA Touchdown

    (4:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 17-P.Nacua for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — LA 10
  4. Q2 · 2:11CLE Field goal

    (2:11) 7-D.Hopkins 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — LA 10
  5. Q2 · 0:05LA Field goal

    (:05) 8-L.Havrisik 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — LA 13
  6. Q3 · 5:02CLE Field goal

    (5:02) 7-D.Hopkins 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 13 — LA 13
  7. Q3 · 0:45LA Touchdown

    (:45) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 15-D.Robinson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 13 — LA 20
  8. Q4 · 8:56CLE Touchdown

    (8:56) 68-M.Dunn reported in as eligible. 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 88-H.Bryant for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CLE 19 — LA 20
  9. Q4 · 3:51LA Touchdown

    (3:51) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 19 — LA 27
  10. Q4 · 2:00LA Touchdown

    (2:00) 23-K.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 19 — LA 34
  11. Q4 · 0:42LA Safety

    (:42) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco sacked in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (sack split by 91-K.Turner and 99-A.Donald).

    Score after this play: CLE 19 — LA 36

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsRams
Offensive plays6961
Total yards327401 (edge)
Yards per play4.76.6 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.100.12 (edge)
Success rate42%43% (edge)
Dropback rate67%61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.170.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.050.08 (edge)
Third downs7/16 (edge)4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)77
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)16
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

22/37, 279 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

5.3 expected points added · -5.1% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Joe FlaccoQB

23/44, 254 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-7.8 expected points added · -8.9% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

21 att, 88 yds, 1 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Kareem HuntRB

12 att, 48 yds, 0 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

4/7 for 105 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Elijah MooreWR

4/12 for 83 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · -5.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CLECLE 2511754:42Touchdown +7
2LALA 258293:50Field goal +3
3CLECLE 25571:40Punt
4LALA 213790:49Touchdown +7
5CLECLE 256191:47Punt
6LALA 20792:16Missed field goal
7CLECLE 336173:32Punt
8LALA 15431:36Punt
9CLECLE 44461:27Punt
10LALA 115281:51Punt
11CLECLE 2411:02Punt
12LALA 38430:51Punt
13CLECLE 207532:31Field goal +3
14LALA 2514662:06Field goal +3
15LALA 176252:28Punt
16CLECLE 2015797:34Field goal +3
17LALA 259904:19Touchdown +7
18CLECLE 2515756:50Touchdown +6
19LALA 256151:58Punt
20CLECLE 21100:19Interception
21LACLE 246242:44Touchdown +7
22CLECLE 25591:19Turnover on downs
23LACLE 306300:33Touchdown +7
24CLECLE 255-141:20Safety
25LALA 25200:36End of game

10 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 90 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Flacco23/44254212-7.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kareem Hunt12484.002.1
Pierre Strong22010.001.5
Jerome Ford9192.10-2.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Elijah Moore41283029%-5.1
Harrison Bryant5549112%4.1
Amari Cooper3534012%1.1
Jerome Ford333317%2.0
Cedric Tillman2620015%-3.5
David Njoku2617015%-3.3
David Bell221205%1.4
Jordan Akins11602%-0.1
Kareem Hunt11002%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Martin Emerson340.001
Juan Thornhill420.000
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah150.000
Mike Ford600.000
Kahlef Hailassie410.000
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo210.000
Sione Takitaki120.000
Anthony Walker210.001
Grant Delpit210.000
Jordan Elliott200.000

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford22/372793005.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams21884.211.3
Puka Nacua23417.001.2
Royce Freeman100.00-0.6
Matthew Stafford1-2-2.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua47105121%1.5
Demarcus Robinson4555115%4.5
Cooper Kupp6839124%2.4
Tyler Higbee2435012%1.7
Kyren Williams3524015%-1.2
Ben Skowronek231209%-1.0
Tutu Atwell12906%0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ernest Jones290.000
Jordan Fuller510.000
John Johnson150.012
Kobie Turner141.500
Ahkello Witherspoon400.001
Derion Kendrick310.001
Aaron Donald130.500
Jonah Williams120.000
Bobby Brown210.000
Troy Reeder200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -3.5
Closing total
39.5
CLE moneyline
+160
LA moneyline
-192

Rams closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 55 — over by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
CLE 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Sean McVay