2023 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 3, 2023 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Detroit LionsWinner

New Orleans Saints

DET -4 ✓O 47.5 ✓DomeLions closed -4 and covered, winning by 5.

Detroit Lions 33–28. Biggest swing: Q4 15:00, DET +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 15:00DET 27 — NO 21NO ball · 1st & 10DET 81%

(15:00) 4-D.Carr to NO 24 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, touched at NO 25, RECOVERED by DET-93-J.Paschal at NO 26.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 15:00DET +9% win prob(15:00) 4-D.Carr to NO 24 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, touched at NO 25, RECOVERED by DET-93-J.Paschal at NO 26.
Q4 · 3:01DET +8% win prob(3:01) (Shotgun) 2-J.Winston pass incomplete short right to 12-C.Olave.
Q4 · 2:48NO +8% win prob(2:48) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to NO 47 for 10 yards (31-J.Howden).
Q3 · 2:59NO +7% win prob(2:59) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 87-S.LaPorta pushed ob at NO 14 for 48 yards (29-P.Adebo).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 11:19DET Touchdown
(11:19) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 5-D.Montgomery right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 7 — NO 0
Q1 · 10:28DET Touchdown
(10:28) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 14 — NO 0
Q1 · 8:21DET Touchdown
(8:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 21 — NO 0
Q2 · 9:11NO Touchdown
(9:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 80-J.Graham for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 21 — NO 7
Q2 · 0:10DET Field goal
(:10) 36-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 24 — NO 7
Q3 · 10:08NO Touchdown
(10:08) 41-A.Kamara left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 24 — NO 14
Q3 · 4:42NO Touchdown
(4:42) (Shotgun) 73-M.Garcia, 67-L.Young and 99-K.Saunders reported in as eligible. 7-T.Hill left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 24 — NO 21
Q3 · 0:01DET Field goal
(:01) 36-R.Patterson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 27 — NO 21
Q4 · 14:15DET Touchdown
(14:15) 9-J.Williams right end for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DET 33 — NO 21
Q4 · 7:35NO Touchdown
(7:35) 41-A.Kamara right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 33 — NO 28

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Lions	Saints
Offensive plays	55	66
Total yards	349	363 (edge)
Yards per play	6.3 (edge)	5.5
Expected points added / play	0.15 (edge)	-0.04
Success rate	38%	45% (edge)
Dropback rate	49%	47%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.28 (edge)	0.19
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.03 (edge)	-0.24
Third downs	6/13	6/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7	7
First downs gained on snaps	17	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	0 (edge)	2

Saints outgained Lions 363–349 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Derek CarrQB

17/22, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

7.3 expected points added · +9.7% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

16/25, 213 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.5 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Jahmyr GibbsRB

8 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

1.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Taysom HillTE

13 att, 59 yds, 1 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DET

Sam LaPortaTE

9/9 for 140 yds, 1 TD

36% of team targets · 11.6 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Chris OlaveWR

5/8 for 119 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DET	DET 20	9	70	3:45	Touchdown +7
2	NO	NO 25	2	0	0:11	Interception
3	DET	NO 17	4	17	0:40	Touchdown +7
4	NO	NO 25	5	-1	0:50	Punt
5	DET	DET 46	4	54	1:19	Touchdown +7
6	NO	NO 25	5	-5	2:07	Punt
7	DET	DET 34	4	-9	1:35	Punt
8	NO	NO 24	6	28	2:14	Punt
9	DET	DET 20	5	16	1:32	Punt
10	NO	NO 16	14	94	6:39	Touchdown +7
11	DET	DET 25	5	9	1:55	Punt
12	NO	NO 10	4	8	1:49	Punt
13	DET	DET 30	12	67	5:16	Field goal +3
14	NO	NO 25	2	0	0:08	End of half
15	NO	NO 25	12	75	4:56	Touchdown +7
16	DET	DET 27	5	8	1:53	Punt
17	NO	NO 38	8	62	3:37	Touchdown +7
18	DET	DET 22	8	65	4:34	Field goal +3
19	NO	NO 25	2	0	0:04	Fumble
20	DET	NO 26	3	26	0:49	Touchdown +6
21	NO	NO 25	14	60	6:37	Touchdown +7
22	DET	DET 25	5	0	1:36	Punt
23	NO	NO 18	8	42	2:58	Turnover on downs
24	DET	DET 40	8	26	2:56	End of game

10 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 94 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	16/25	213	2	0	1	7.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jahmyr Gibbs	8	60	7.5	0	1.5
David Montgomery	18	56	3.1	1	-3.9
Jameson Williams	1	19	19.0	1	2.4
Kalif Raymond	1	9	9.0	0	1.0
Jared Goff	2	-2	-1.0	0	-2.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Sam LaPorta	9	9	140	1	36%	11.6
Amon-Ra St. Brown	2	6	49	1	24%	1.3
Josh Reynolds	1	3	12	0	12%	-0.7
Jameson Williams	1	1	11	0	4%	2.1
Brock Wright	1	1	8	0	4%	0.5
Donovan Peoples-Jones	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.9
David Montgomery	1	2	-1	0	8%	-2.1
Jahmyr Gibbs	1	2	-6	0	8%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Derrick Barnes	3	6	0	0
Jack Campbell	4	5	0	0
Brian Branch	3	4	1	1
Jerry Jacobs	4	2	0	0
Tracy Walker III	4	2	0	0
Kerby Joseph	4	1	0	1
Jalen Reeves-Maybin	2	3	0	1
Malcolm Rodriguez	1	3	0	0
Alim McNeill	2	1	0	0
Quinton Bohanna	2	1	0	0

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Derek Carr	17/22	226	1	1	2	7.3
Jameis Winston	2/5	41	0	0	0	0.1
Taysom Hill	0/2	0	0	0	0	-1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Taysom Hill	13	59	4.5	1	1.9
Alvin Kamara	14	51	3.6	2	0.2
Jamaal Williams	5	10	2.0	0	-2.2
Derek Carr	2	-1	-0.5	0	-5.9
Lynn Bowden	2	-6	-3.0	0	-2.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Chris Olave	5	8	119	0	28%	8.6
Alvin Kamara	6	8	58	0	28%	5.6
A.T. Perry	1	3	30	0	10%	0.5
Foster Moreau	2	2	28	0	7%	2.0
Taysom Hill	2	2	15	0	7%	-0.0
Jamaal Williams	1	1	6	0	3%	0.4
Jimmy Graham	1	1	6	1	3%	1.9
Lynn Bowden	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.0
Juwan Johnson	0	3	0	0	10%	-8.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Paulson Adebo	6	2	0.0	1
Nephi Sewell	3	3	0.0	0
Nathan Shepherd	2	3	0.0	0
Khalen Saunders	1	3	0.0	0
Jordan Howden	3	1	0.0	0
Isaac Yiadom	4	0	0.0	0
Carl Granderson	1	2	0.0	1
Malcolm Roach	1	2	0.0	0
Demario Davis	2	1	0.0	0
Zack Baun	1	1	1.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DET -4
Closing total: 47.5
DET moneyline: -198
NO moneyline: +164

Lions closed -4 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 61 — over by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: DET 10 days · NO 7 days
Coaches: Dan Campbell vs Dennis Allen