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2023 Week 13 · Thu, Nov 30, 2023 · AT&T Stadium

Seattle Seahawks

35

Dallas CowboysWinner

41

DAL -9.5 no coverO 47.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 41–35. Biggest swing: Q4 7:08, SEA +17% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑SEA ↓
Q4 · 7:08SEA 35 — DAL 30SEA ball · 4th & 1SEA 71%

(7:08) 26-Z.Charbonnet left tackle to DAL 46 for no gain (90-D.Lawrence).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 7:08SEA +17% win prob(7:08) 26-Z.Charbonnet left tackle to DAL 46 for no gain (90-D.Lawrence).
  2. Q1 · 7:37DAL +14% win prob(7:37) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q3 · 1:08SEA +13% win prob(1:08) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb.
  4. Q3 · 0:01DAL +11% win prob(:01) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 26-Z.Charbonnet to DAL 6 for 39 yards (92-D.Armstrong).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:13DAL Field goal

    (9:13) 17-B.Aubrey 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: SEA 0 — DAL 3
  2. Q1 · 7:37SEA Touchdown

    (7:37) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DAL 3
  3. Q1 · 4:52DAL Touchdown

    (4:52) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DAL 10
  4. Q2 · 11:40DAL Touchdown

    (11:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-B.Cooks for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 7 — DAL 17
  5. Q2 · 8:56SEA Touchdown

    (8:56) 26-Z.Charbonnet up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — DAL 17
  6. Q2 · 1:33DAL Field goal

    (1:33) 17-B.Aubrey 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. PENALTY on SEA-93-Ca.Young, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: SEA 14 — DAL 20
  7. Q2 · 0:07SEA Touchdown

    (:07) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DAL-90-D.Lawrence, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 21 — DAL 20
  8. Q3 · 10:05SEA Touchdown

    (10:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith scrambles up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Holding, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 28 — DAL 20
  9. Q3 · 3:46DAL Touchdown

    (3:46) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 28 — DAL 27
  10. Q4 · 14:22SEA Touchdown

    (14:22) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: SEA 35 — DAL 27
  11. Q4 · 11:27DAL Field goal

    (11:27) 17-B.Aubrey 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: SEA 35 — DAL 30
  12. Q4 · 4:41DAL Touchdown

    (4:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 87-J.Ferguson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: SEA 35 — DAL 38
  13. Q4 · 1:46DAL Field goal

    (1:46) 17-B.Aubrey 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: SEA 35 — DAL 41

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricSeahawksCowboys
Offensive plays6378
Total yards406414 (edge)
Yards per play6.4 (edge)5.3
Expected points added / play0.130.18 (edge)
Success rate44%50% (edge)
Dropback rate67%60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.33 (edge)0.30
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.26-0.01 (edge)
Third downs9/14 (edge)8/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)5 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps2028 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)4
Turnovers10 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs 0.13.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Geno SmithQB

23/41, 334 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

11.6 expected points added · -7.5% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

29/41, 299 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

14.8 expected points added · +4.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

20 att, 68 yds, 1 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Zach CharbonnetRB

19 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

-5.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

6/8 for 134 yds, 3 TD

21% of team targets · 14.9 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

12/17 for 116 yds, 1 TD

43% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 2515635:50Field goal +3
2SEASEA 255801:42Touchdown +7
3DALDAL 257282:40Touchdown +7
4SEASEA 2510573:50Missed field goal
5DALDAL 3212734:21Touchdown +7
6SEASEA 259222:43Touchdown +7
7DALDAL 2517727:24Field goal +3
8SEASEA 2510361:26Touchdown +7
9DAL—100:04End of half
10SEASEA 2512604:59Touchdown +7
11DALDAL 2514536:20Touchdown +7
12SEASEA 25430:45Interception
13DALSEA 38481:52Turnover on downs
14SEASEA 306701:47Touchdown +7
15DALDAL 257212:54Field goal +3
16SEASEA 2511294:19Turnover on downs
17DALDAL 468612:27Touchdown +8
18SEASEA 256241:26Turnover on downs
19DALSEA 496351:28Field goal +3
20SEASEA 256250:36Turnover on downs
21DAL50201:07End of game

13 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 80 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Geno Smith23/4133431011.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zach Charbonnet19603.21-5.9
Geno Smith263.012.9
DeeJay Dallas166.000.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
DK Metcalf68134321%14.9
Jaxon Smith-Njigba71162029%-0.2
Tyler Lockett5847021%-1.3
Noah Fant3443011%1.7
Zach Charbonnet123905%3.0
Jake Bobo11903%-0.2
DeeJay Dallas02005%-2.8
Will Dissly02005%-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bobby Wagner670.000
Tariq Woolen800.002
Jamal Adams530.000
Devon Witherspoon340.001
Jarran Reed431.000
Quandre Diggs420.000
Dre'Mont Jones220.000
Julian Love210.000
Cameron Young120.000
Leonard Williams211.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott29/4129930414.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard20683.41-0.9
CeeDee Lamb23015.002.2
Dak Prescott7233.30-2.5
Rico Dowdle5153.00-1.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb1217116143%4.7
Jake Ferguson6877120%8.4
Brandin Cooks4445110%5.9
Jalen Tolbert111703%1.3
Tony Pollard3415010%-0.3
Luke Schoonmaker111203%0.7
Kavontae Turpin131008%1.3
Rico Dowdle11703%0.2
Michael Gallup01003%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Markquese Bell340.000
Donovan Wilson330.000
Daron Bland510.011
Demarcus Lawrence240.001
Osa Odighizuwa230.000
Johnathan Hankins311.000
Damone Clark120.000
Jayron Kearse210.000
Dorance Armstrong120.001
Jourdan Lewis200.002

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -9.5
Closing total
47.5
SEA moneyline
+380
DAL moneyline
-500

Cowboys closed -9.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 76 — over by 28.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
SEA 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches
Pete Carroll vs Mike McCarthy