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2023 Week 14 · Mon, Dec 11, 2023 · MetLife Stadium

Green Bay Packers

22

New York GiantsWinner

24

GB -6 upsetO 37.5 ✓

New York Giants 24–22 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:02, NYG +32% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑GB ↓
Q4 · 0:02GB 22 — NYG 24NYG ball · 4th & 6NYG 68%

(:02) 46-R.Bullock 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:02NYG +32% win prob(:02) 46-R.Bullock 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
  2. Q4 · 4:01GB +29% win prob(4:01) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle to GB 18 for 34 yards. FUMBLES, touched at GB 15, RECOVERED by GB-37-C.Valentine at GB 14. 37-C.Valentine to NYG 36 for 50 yards (82-D.Bellinger).
  3. Q4 · 0:49NYG +24% win prob(:49) (Shotgun) 15-T.DeVito pass short right to 17-W.Robinson pushed ob at GB 22 for 32 yards (25-K.Nixon).
  4. Q3 · 9:16NYG +20% win prob(9:16) 19-D.Whelan punts 36 yards to NYG 26, Center-42-M.Orzech. 21-B.McCain MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by GB-20-R.Ford at NYG 14.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 1:07GB Touchdown

    (1:07) 11-J.Reed right end for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 12:00NYG Touchdown

    (12:00) 26-S.Barkley left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — NYG 7
  3. Q2 · 0:17GB Field goal

    (:17) 17-A.Carlson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 10 — NYG 7
  4. Q3 · 11:27NYG Touchdown

    (11:27) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 10 — NYG 14
  5. Q3 · 7:35GB Field goal

    (7:35) 17-A.Carlson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 13 — NYG 14
  6. Q3 · 1:35NYG Touchdown

    (1:35) (Shotgun) 15-T.DeVito pass short right to 18-I.Hodgins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 13 — NYG 21
  7. Q4 · 5:35GB Field goal

    (5:35) 17-A.Carlson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

    Score after this play: GB 16 — NYG 21
  8. Q4 · 1:36GB Touchdown

    (1:36) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 18-M.Heath for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 22 — NYG 21
  9. Q4 · 0:02NYG Field goal

    (:02) 46-R.Bullock 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: GB 22 — NYG 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersGiants
Offensive plays6754
Total yards326368 (edge)
Yards per play4.96.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.040.01 (edge)
Success rate40%54% (edge)
Dropback rate63%50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.010.21 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.09 (edge)-0.19
Third downs5/14 (edge)3/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)59 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)18
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.01 expected points added per play vs -0.04.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

25/39, 218 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-0.2 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Tommy DeVitoQB

17/21, 158 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

5.2 expected points added · +15.6% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

20 att, 86 yds, 2 TD

-10.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tommy DeVitoQB

10 att, 71 yds, 0 TD

3.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR

6/7 for 79 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Tucker KraftTE

4/4 for 64 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 247192:49Punt
2NYGNYG 217133:21Punt
3GBGB 7451:41Punt
4NYGGB 32472:17Missed field goal
5GBGB 388623:51Touchdown +7
6NYGNYG 2510754:06Touchdown +7
7GBGB 258484:14Fumble
8NYGNYG 275272:35Turnover on downs
9GBNYG 49230:52Interception
10NYGNYG 44471:29Punt
11GBGB 1710382:32Field goal +3
12NYGNYG 11200:13End of half
13NYGNYG 25582:08Punt
14NYGGB 314311:30Touchdown +7
15GBGB 256132:17Punt
16GBNYG 14401:34Field goal +3
17NYGNYG 2512806:03Touchdown +7
18GBGB 2513485:46Missed field goal
19NYGNYG 35461:43Punt
20GBGB 167543:29Field goal +3
21NYGNYG 254571:56Fumble
22GBNYG 3610362:01Touchdown +6
23NYGNYG 259571:33Field goal +3

9 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 80 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love25/39218112-0.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
A.J. Dillon15533.50-0.9
Jayden Reed4389.512.0
Patrick Taylor4307.501.5
Jordan Love221.00-4.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Tucker Kraft4464011%4.3
Romeo Doubs4732018%0.1
Jayden Reed81027026%-1.7
A.J. Dillon232508%-1.2
Patrick Taylor222205%1.3
Samori Toure2422011%0.8
Dontayvion Wicks2620016%-2.9
Malik Heath12615%2.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Isaiah McDuffie520.000
Darnell Savage610.000
De'Vondre Campbell420.000
Devonte Wyatt400.000
Carrington Valentine400.000
Keisean Nixon310.000
Colby Wooden200.000
Karl Brooks110.000
Lukas Van Ness110.000
Kenny Clark200.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tommy DeVito17/211581005.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley20864.32-10.8
Tommy DeVito10717.103.0
Wan'Dale Robinson23618.002.3
Matt Breida2168.000.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Wan'Dale Robinson6779035%1.9
Isaiah Hodgins2222110%4.2
Saquon Barkley3415020%-1.3
Daniel Bellinger2215010%1.9
Darius Slayton2214010%0.3
Jalin Hyatt2313015%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Deonte Banks930.001
Kayvon Thibodeaux170.501
Bobby Okereke510.000
A'Shawn Robinson240.001
Micah McFadden230.500
Cordale Flott410.000
Xavier McKinney130.000
Adoree' Jackson220.001
Azeez Ojulari130.500
Dexter Lawrence030.500

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -6
Closing total
37.5
GB moneyline
-265
NYG moneyline
+215

Packers closed -6 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 37.5; the game landed 46 — over by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
39°F, wind 14 mph
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
GB 8 days · NYG 15 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Brian Daboll