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2023 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 10, 2023 · FirstEnergy Stadium
27
31
Cleveland Browns 31–27. Biggest swing: Q2 1:55, JAX +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(1:55) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 0-C.Ridley INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Emerson at CLE 8. 23-M.Emerson ran ob at CLE 19 for 11 yards (17-E.Engram).
How the points landed
(11:45) 53-N.Harris and 66-J.Hudson reported in as eligible. 15-J.Flacco pass deep left to 85-D.Njoku for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 0 — CLE 7(13:46) 15-J.Flacco pass short right to 85-D.Njoku for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 0 — CLE 14(6:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 17-E.Engram for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 7 — CLE 14(9:46) (Shotgun) 68-M.Dunn and 69-L.Watson reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 27-K.Hunt. 27-K.Hunt left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 7 — CLE 21(5:02) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne right guard to CLE 1 for no gain (33-R.Hickman, 22-G.Delpit). CLE-29-C.Mitchell was injured during the play. His return is Probable. Jacksonville challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. CLE-29-C.Mitchell was injured during the play. His return is Probable. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 14 — CLE 21(12:42) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short middle to 18-Dav.Bell for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN [42-A.Wingard]. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 14 — CLE 28(8:57) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 21 — CLE 28(3:15) 7-D.Hopkins 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
Score after this play: JAX 21 — CLE 31(1:37) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 17-E.Engram for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: JAX 27 — CLE 31Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Jaguars | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 74 | 71 |
| Total yards | 294 | 392 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.0 | 5.5 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.19 | -0.12 (edge) |
| Success rate | 35% | 42% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 77% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.18 | -0.16 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.21 | -0.04 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/17 (edge) | 4/17 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 5 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 4 | 3 (edge) |
Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.12 expected points added per play vs -0.19.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CLE
26/45, 311 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
-1.7 expected points added · -7.4% completion over expected
Passing · JAX
28/50, 257 yds, 3 TD, 3 INT
-7.3 expected points added · -2.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | CLE 25 | 8 | 75 | 3:21 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 2 | JAX | JAX 16 | 5 | 7 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 3 | CLE | CLE 31 | 4 | 2 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 4 | JAX | JAX 16 | 7 | 45 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 5 | CLE | CLE 10 | 4 | 0 | 1:12 | Punt | |
| 6 | JAX | JAX 18 | 4 | 4 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 7 | CLE | CLE 28 | 4 | 1 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 8 | JAX | JAX 22 | 6 | 12 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 9 | CLE | CLE 28 | 5 | 72 | 1:25 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | JAX | JAX 22 | 2 | 0 | 0:13 | Interception | |
| 11 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 38 | 2:46 | Interception | |
| 12 | JAX | JAX 42 | 7 | 13 | 3:38 | Punt | |
| 13 | CLE | CLE 5 | 1 | 17 | 0:10 | Fumble | |
| 14 | JAX | CLE 12 | 3 | 12 | 0:39 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 18 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 16 | JAX | JAX 44 | 6 | 37 | 2:14 | Interception | |
| 17 | CLE | CLE 19 | 6 | 23 | 0:40 | Punt | |
| 18 | JAX | JAX 23 | 4 | 0 | 0:20 | Punt | |
| 19 | CLE | CLE 25 | 6 | 20 | 0:42 | Punt | |
| 20 | JAX | JAX 21 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | End of half | |
| 21 | JAX | JAX 25 | 4 | 2 | 0:56 | Fumble | |
| 22 | CLE | JAX 22 | 8 | 22 | 4:25 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 23 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 0 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 24 | CLE | CLE 33 | 2 | -4 | 0:12 | Fumble | |
| 25 | JAX | CLE 25 | 7 | 25 | 2:27 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 26 | CLE | CLE 25 | 9 | 31 | 4:17 | Punt | |
| 27 | JAX | JAX 6 | 3 | 9 | 1:32 | Interception | |
| 28 | CLE | JAX 48 | 5 | 48 | 1:36 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 29 | JAX | JAX 25 | 11 | 60 | 3:42 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 30 | CLE | CLE 29 | 12 | 29 | 4:28 | Punt | |
| 31 | JAX | JAX 20 | 5 | 18 | 0:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 32 | CLE | JAX 37 | 4 | 0 | 0:20 | Field goal +3 | |
| 33 | JAX | JAX 25 | 11 | 50 | 1:37 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 34 | CLE | JAX 46 | 4 | 0 | 1:33 | End of game |
9 of 34 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 75 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 28/50 | 257 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 14 | 35 | 2.5 | 1 | -3.2 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 11 | 12 | 95 | 2 | 24% | 9.5 |
| Calvin Ridley | 4 | 13 | 53 | 0 | 27% | -4.8 |
| Travis Etienne | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 8% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Lloyd | 4 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montaric Brown | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Foyesade Oluokun | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rayshawn Jenkins |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Flacco | 26/45 | 311 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | 12 | 51 | 4.3 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Browns closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 4.
Total closed 37.5; the game landed 58 — over by 20.5.
Conditions and crew
| 1.0 |
| Zay Jones | 5 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 29% | -6.0 |
| Parker Washington | 2 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 6% | 0.1 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 6% | -0.9 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Josh Hines-Allen | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Wingard | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gregory Junior | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Ledbetter | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross Matiscik | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Cisco | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -3.6 |
| Kareem Hunt | 10 | 27 | 2.7 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Dorian Thompson-Robinson | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Pierre Strong | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Joe Flacco | 4 | -1 | -0.3 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Njoku | 6 | 8 | 91 | 2 | 19% | 4.0 |
| Amari Cooper | 7 | 14 | 77 | 0 | 33% | -9.1 |
| Elijah Moore | 3 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 14% | 3.4 |
| David Bell | 1 | 3 | 41 | 1 | 7% | 4.5 |
| Jerome Ford | 5 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 14% | 1.2 |
| Cedric Tillman | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 9% | -3.9 |
| Kareem Hunt | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2% | -0.2 |
| Jordan Akins | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Delpit | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Walker | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Newsome | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 |
| Maurice Hurst | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sione Takitaki | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Emerson | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
| D'Anthony Bell | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Adams | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ogbonnia Okoronkwo | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
