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2023 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 10, 2023 · AT&T Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

13

Dallas CowboysWinner

33

DAL -3.5 ✓U 52.5 ✓Dome

Dallas Cowboys 33–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:50, PHI +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑PHI ↓
Q1 · 5:50PHI 0 — DAL 7PHI ball · 1st & 20DAL 68%

(5:50) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts left guard to DAL 20 for 11 yards (6-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (6-D.Wilson), RECOVERED by DAL-6-D.Wilson at DAL 21.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 5:50PHI +11% win prob(5:50) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts left guard to DAL 20 for 11 yards (6-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (6-D.Wilson), RECOVERED by DAL-6-D.Wilson at DAL 21.
  2. Q1 · 6:41DAL +10% win prob(6:41) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 6-D.Smith to DAL 21 for 30 yards (28-M.Hooker).
  3. Q3 · 10:52PHI +7% win prob(10:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 39 for -6 yards (91-F.Cox). FUMBLES (91-F.Cox) [91-F.Cox], RECOVERED by PHI-98-J.Carter at DAL 42. 98-J.Carter for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 10:09DAL +6% win prob(10:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:09DAL Touchdown

    (10:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 0 — DAL 7
  2. Q1 · 0:55DAL Field goal

    (:55) 99-C.Golston reported in as eligible. 17-B.Aubrey 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: PHI 0 — DAL 10
  3. Q2 · 12:38PHI Field goal

    (12:38) 4-J.Elliott 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: PHI 3 — DAL 10
  4. Q2 · 6:16DAL Touchdown

    (6:16) 71-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. 23-R.Dowdle right guard to PHI 1 for no gain (98-J.Carter). Dallas challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 71-C.Edoga reported in as eligible. 23-R.Dowdle right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 3 — DAL 17
  5. Q2 · 1:52PHI Field goal

    (1:52) 4-J.Elliott 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: PHI 6 — DAL 17
  6. Q2 · 0:23DAL Touchdown

    (:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 13-M.Gallup for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 6 — DAL 24
  7. Q3 · 10:52PHI Touchdown

    (10:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 39 for -6 yards (91-F.Cox). FUMBLES (91-F.Cox) [91-F.Cox], RECOVERED by PHI-98-J.Carter at DAL 42. 98-J.Carter for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: PHI 13 — DAL 24
  8. Q3 · 4:54DAL Field goal

    (4:54) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: PHI 13 — DAL 27
  9. Q4 · 9:44DAL Field goal

    (9:44) 17-B.Aubrey 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: PHI 13 — DAL 30
  10. Q4 · 1:13DAL Field goal

    (1:13) 17-B.Aubrey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: PHI 13 — DAL 33

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesCowboys
Offensive plays5274
Total yards324394 (edge)
Yards per play6.2 (edge)5.3
Expected points added / play-0.180.04 (edge)
Success rate44%46% (edge)
Dropback rate56%58%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.130.00 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.240.09 (edge)
Third downs4/99/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)77
First downs gained on snaps1720 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)3
Turnovers31 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

24/39, 271 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-0.1 expected points added · -9.8% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

18/27, 197 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

2.5 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

16 att, 59 yds, 0 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Rico DowdleRB

12 att, 46 yds, 1 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

9/13 for 94 yds, 0 TD

46% of team targets · -1.3 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

5/10 for 73 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · -7.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 2512755:00Touchdown +7
2PHIPHI 259694:18Fumble
3DALDAL 2113474:52Field goal +3
4PHIPHI 259413:16Field goal +3
5DALDAL 2514756:20Touchdown +7
6PHIPHI 2511494:26Field goal +3
7DALDAL 2510501:28Touchdown +7
8PHIPHI 254170:20End of half
9PHIPHI 255261:29Fumble
10DALDAL 37461:29Punt
11PHIPHI 27441:01Punt
12DALDAL 453-30:20Defensive touchdown
13DALDAL 2510595:52Field goal +3
14PHIPHI 2510464:24Turnover on downs
15DALDAL 2911295:45Field goal +3
16PHIPHI 258673:02Fumble
17DALDAL 129565:30Field goal +3
18PHIPHI 25351:08End of game

9 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 75 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts18/271970012.5
Braden Mann1/1280004.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift11393.50-1.7
Jalen Hurts5306.00-3.4
Kenneth Gainwell4287.000.7
Boston Scott393.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown91394046%-1.3
DeVonta Smith51073036%-7.3
Dallas Goedert4430014%1.6
Olamide Zaccheaus112804%4.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Zach Cunningham540.000
Sydney Brown430.001
Bradley Roby420.000
Marlon Tuipulotu230.000
Jordan Davis230.000
James Bradberry410.000
Kevin Byard320.001
Darius Slay310.003
Nicholas Morrow220.002
Haason Reddick212.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott24/39271203-0.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard16593.700.5
Rico Dowdle12463.81-0.9
Kavontae Turpin12222.001.6
Dak Prescott3113.701.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jake Ferguson5872021%3.7
CeeDee Lamb61071126%4.7
Michael Gallup3548113%3.4
Tony Pollard7837021%-0.4
Brandin Cooks2537013%0.5
Rico Dowdle11603%0.8
Kavontae Turpin01003%-1.1
Jalen Tolbert01003%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Stephon Gilmore900.000
Donovan Wilson410.000
Daron Bland410.000
Damone Clark220.001
Jayron Kearse310.000
Markquese Bell210.001
Malik Hooker120.001
Jourdan Lewis210.000
Neville Gallimore200.000
Micah Parsons201.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -3.5
Closing total
52.5
PHI moneyline
+145
DAL moneyline
-175

Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 52.5; the game landed 46 — under by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
PHI 7 days · DAL 10 days
Coaches
Nick Sirianni vs Mike McCarthy

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.