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2023 Week 15 · Thu, Dec 14, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium

Los Angeles Chargers

21

Las Vegas RaidersWinner

63

LV -3 ✓O 36 ✓Dome

Las Vegas Raiders 63–21 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 6:12, LAC +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LV ↑LAC ↓
Q1 · 6:12LAC 0 — LV 7LAC ball · 2nd & 10LV 74%

(6:12) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick sacked at LAC 40 for -8 yards (51-M.Koonce). FUMBLES (51-M.Koonce) [51-M.Koonce], RECOVERED by LV-9-T.Wilson at LAC 42.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 6:12LAC +10% win prob(6:12) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick sacked at LAC 40 for -8 yards (51-M.Koonce). FUMBLES (51-M.Koonce) [51-M.Koonce], RECOVERED by LV-9-T.Wilson at LAC 42.
  2. Q1 · 8:55LV +6% win prob(8:55) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short middle to 87-M.Mayer to LAC 1 for 13 yards (6-E.Kendricks).
  3. Q1 · 13:47LAC +6% win prob(13:47) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass incomplete short left to 7-G.Everett (1-M.Epps, 95-J.Jenkins).
  4. Q1 · 4:41LAC +5% win prob(4:41) 25-J.Kelley left tackle to LAC 29 for 4 yards (1-M.Epps; 69-A.Butler). FUMBLES (1-M.Epps), RECOVERED by LV-90-J.Tillery at LAC 31.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 8:13LV Touchdown

    (8:13) 71-J.Herron reported in as eligible. 35-Z.White left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 7
  2. Q1 · 4:47LV Touchdown

    (4:47) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 11-T.Tucker for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 14
  3. Q1 · 3:13LV Touchdown

    (3:13) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass deep right to 16-J.Meyers for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 21
  4. Q2 · 9:22LV Touchdown

    (9:22) 4-A.O'Connell pass short right to 87-M.Mayer for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 28
  5. Q2 · 3:56LV Touchdown

    (3:56) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 34-B.Bolden. 34-B.Bolden left end for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 35
  6. Q2 · 0:36LV Touchdown

    (:36) 4-A.O'Connell pass deep left to 11-T.Tucker for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 42
  7. Q3 · 10:47LV Touchdown

    (10:47) (Shotgun) 71-J.Herron reported in as eligible. 16-J.Meyers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 0 — LV 49
  8. Q3 · 10:37LAC Touchdown

    (10:37) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass deep left to 5-J.Palmer for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — LV 49
  9. Q3 · 0:12LV Touchdown

    (:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-E.Stick sacked at LAC 45 for -9 yards (51-M.Koonce). FUMBLES (51-M.Koonce) [51-M.Koonce], RECOVERED by LV-95-J.Jenkins at LAC 44. 95-J.Jenkins for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — LV 56
  10. Q4 · 14:35LV Touchdown

    (14:35) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass short right intended for 30-A.Ekeler INTERCEPTED by 18-J.Jones at LAC 16. 18-J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 7 — LV 63
  11. Q4 · 8:43LAC Touchdown

    (8:43) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass short left to 82-A.Erickson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 14 — LV 63
  12. Q4 · 2:42LAC Touchdown

    (2:42) (Shotgun) 2-E.Stick pass short left to 1-Q.Johnston for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LAC 21 — LV 63

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersRaiders
Offensive plays6363
Total yards326378 (edge)
Yards per play5.26.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.370.25 (edge)
Success rate41%49% (edge)
Dropback rate57%59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.240.33 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.560.14 (edge)
Third downs6/129/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)37 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1719 (edge)
Sacks taken31 (edge)
Turnovers40 (edge)

Raiders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.25 expected points added per play vs -0.37.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Easton StickQB

23/32, 257 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

-10.3 expected points added · +2.0% completion over expected

Passing · LV

Aidan O'ConnellQB

20/34, 248 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

10.6 expected points added · -7.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LV

Zamir WhiteRB

17 att, 69 yds, 1 TD

-2.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Isaiah SpillerRB

16 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

-4.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Josh PalmerWR

4/4 for 113 yds, 1 TD

13% of team targets · 8.3 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Davante AdamsWR

8/12 for 101 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 4.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 29571:27Punt
2LVLV 3213635:23Touchdown +7
3LACLAC 215212:03Fumble
4LVLAC 425421:26Touchdown +7
5LACLAC 25240:05Fumble
6LVLAC 314361:29Touchdown +7
7LACLAC 277203:16Punt
8LVLV 18481:39Punt
9LACLAC 216102:26Punt
10LVLV 30461:02Punt
11LVLAC 143140:29Touchdown +7
12LACLAC 255151:54Punt
13LVLV 357653:31Touchdown +7
14LACLAC 25691:54Turnover on downs
15LVLAC 497491:25Touchdown +7
16LACLAC 25230:31End of half
17LVLV 2511604:18Touchdown +7
18LACLAC 213790:15Touchdown +7
19LVLV 25502:14Punt
20LACLAC 10481:44Punt
21LVLV 227173:02Punt
22LACLAC 208243:27Defensive touchdown
23LACLAC 253-30:29Defensive touchdown
24LACLAC 2513755:52Touchdown +7
25LVLV 23591:46Defensive touchdown
26LACLAC 4511504:15Touchdown +7
27LVLV 25592:07Punt
28LACLAC 22140:31End of game

10 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 79 scrimmage yards over 3 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Easton Stick23/32257313-10.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Isaiah Spiller16503.10-4.2
Joshua Kelley5224.40-5.5
Easton Stick2115.502.1
Austin Ekeler591.80-5.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Josh Palmer44113113%8.3
Gerald Everett5841026%-0.1
Austin Ekeler4629019%-7.0
Quentin Johnston2323110%3.4
Jalen Guyton221906%2.3
Stone Smartt3315010%1.7
Alex Erickson121316%1.0
Joshua Kelley11603%-0.1
Derius Davis12-206%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Eric Kendricks631.001
Austin Johnson440.000
Michael Davis410.002
Derwin James320.001
Christopher Hinton130.000
Sebastian Joseph210.000
Alohi Gilman110.000
Kenneth Murray110.001
Khalil Mack110.002
Justin Hollins100.000

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aidan O'Connell20/3424840110.6
Jakobi Meyers2/2121001.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zamir White17694.11-2.6
Ameer Abdullah6325.304.6
Brandon Bolden22512.512.6
Tre Tucker1-2-2.00-1.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Davante Adams812101135%4.7
Tre Tucker3459212%5.7
Michael Mayer4539115%7.5
Jakobi Meyers2432112%1.9
Zamir White3416012%-0.3
Ameer Abdullah221306%-1.6
Hunter Renfrow02006%-1.0
Austin Hooper01003%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Divine Deablo550.000
Jack Jones410.011
Robert Spillane130.000
Maxx Crosby220.000
Jakorian Bennett220.000
Adam Butler130.000
Jerry Tillery121.000
Amik Robertson120.001
Janarius Robinson210.000
Malcolm Koonce302.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LV -3
Closing total
36
LAC moneyline
+136
LV moneyline
-162

Raiders closed -3 and covered, winning by 42.

Total closed 36; the game landed 84 — over by 48.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Allegiant Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
LAC 4 days · LV 4 days
Coaches
Brandon Staley vs Antonio Pierce

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.