2023 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 17, 2023 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

New York Giants

New Orleans SaintsWinner

NO -6 ✓U 39.5 ✓DomeSaints closed -6 and covered, winning by 18.

New Orleans Saints 24–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 1:19, NO +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 1:19NYG 3 — NO 7NYG ball · 4th & 2NO 74%

(1:19) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley left tackle to NO 40 for 4 yards (99-K.Saunders).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 1:19NO +9% win prob(1:19) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley left tackle to NO 40 for 4 yards (99-K.Saunders).
Q1 · 0:34NO +7% win prob(:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 18-K.Kirkwood for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 8:44NO +6% win prob(8:44) 73-M.Garcia reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 83-J.Johnson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 6:17NYG +6% win prob(6:17) (Shotgun) 15-T.DeVito sacked at NO 45 for -9 yards (90-B.Bresee).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 10:06NYG Field goal
(10:06) 46-R.Bullock 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
Score after this play: NYG 3 — NO 0
Q1 · 0:34NO Touchdown
(:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 18-K.Kirkwood for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYG 3 — NO 7
Q2 · 0:05NYG Field goal
(:05) 6-J.Gillan 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-80-G.Olszewski.
Score after this play: NYG 6 — NO 7
Q3 · 8:44NO Touchdown
(8:44) 73-M.Garcia reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 83-J.Johnson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYG 6 — NO 14
Q3 · 4:22NO Field goal
(4:22) 19-B.Grupe 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-39-L.Hedley.
Score after this play: NYG 6 — NO 17
Q4 · 10:51NO Touchdown
(10:51) 73-M.Garcia reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass short right to 80-J.Graham for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: NYG 6 — NO 24

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Saints
Offensive plays	60	55
Total yards	193	300 (edge)
Yards per play	3.2	5.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.30	0.09 (edge)
Success rate	25%	44% (edge)
Dropback rate	77%	55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.34	0.31 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	-0.18 (edge)
Third downs	2/15	6/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	10	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	7	1 (edge)
Turnovers	0	0

Saints won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.30.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Derek CarrQB

23/28, 218 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

9.9 expected points added · +11.9% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Tommy DeVitoQB

20/34, 177 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-14.6 expected points added · -9.2% completion over expected

Rushing · NO

Alvin KamaraRB

16 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

-2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NO

Jamaal WilliamsRB

8 att, 24 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

4/8 for 63 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 2.7 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Alvin KamaraRB

5/5 for 44 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 1.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	10	31	5:00	Field goal +3
2	NO	NO 20	5	7	1:29	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 32	4	-3	1:27	Punt
4	NO	NO 32	12	68	6:35	Touchdown +7
5	NYG	NYG 25	5	-10	1:21	Punt
6	NO	NO 32	6	13	3:43	Punt
7	NYG	NYG 10	10	45	4:57	Punt
8	NO	NO 14	7	24	2:33	Punt
9	NYG	NYG 40	13	36	2:55	Field goal +3
10	NO	NO 32	12	78	6:21	Touchdown +7
11	NYG	NYG 25	5	3	2:19	Punt
12	NO	NO 43	5	25	2:03	Field goal +3
13	NYG	NYG 25	5	-1	1:28	Punt
14	NO	NO 35	12	70	7:02	Touchdown +7
15	NYG	NYG 25	10	31	3:59	Turnover on downs
16	NO	NO 45	6	15	1:45	Punt
17	NYG	NYG 8	11	61	3:07	Turnover on downs
18	NO	NO 32	3	0	1:56	End of game

6 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 78 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Tommy DeVito	20/34	177	0	0	7	-14.6
Tyrod Taylor	2/4	13	0	0	0	0.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Tommy DeVito	4	36	9.0	1.3
Saquon Barkley	9	14	1.6	-3.9
Matt Breida	3	10	3.3	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	4	8	63	24%	2.7
Darren Waller	4	6	40	18%	-0.2
Wan'Dale Robinson	4	4	25	12%	3.0
Saquon Barkley	2	2	23	6%	1.3
Daniel Bellinger	2	2	13	6%	2.4
Matt Breida	2	3	11	9%	-1.5
Lawrence Cager	1	1	9	3%	-0.0
Eric Gray	3	4	6	12%	-2.7
Isaiah Hodgins	0	1	0	3%	-0.6
Jalin Hyatt	0	3	0	9%	-3.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
A'Shawn Robinson	6	1	0.0
Jason Pinnock	6	1	1.0
Micah McFadden	5	1	0.0
Adoree' Jackson	3	2	0.0
Rakeem Nunez-Roches	1	3	0.0
Xavier McKinney	3	1	0.0
Deonte Banks	3	0	0.0
Isaiah Simmons	1	2	0.0
Azeez Ojulari	2	1	0.0
Cordale Flott	2	1	0.0

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Derek Carr	23/28	218	3	0	1	9.9
Taysom Hill	0/1	0	0	0	0	-0.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Alvin Kamara	16	66	4.1	-2.8
Jamaal Williams	8	24	3.0	-1.2
Taysom Hill	1	1	1.0	-0.5
Derek Carr	3	-4	-1.3	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Alvin Kamara	5	5	44	0	18%	1.7
Juwan Johnson	2	2	38	1	7%	3.6
Rashid Shaheed	3	4	36	0	14%	3.8
A.T. Perry	2	2	34	0	7%	4.2
Lynn Bowden	3	5	31	0	18%	-0.3
Foster Moreau	3	5	13	0	18%	-2.5
Jimmy Graham	2	2	9	1	7%	1.9
Keith Kirkwood	1	1	7	1	4%	2.4
Taysom Hill	1	1	4	0	4%	-0.8
Jamaal Williams	1	1	2	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Demario Davis	8	2	1.0	0
Alontae Taylor	4	2	0.0	0
Pete Werner	3	3	0.0	0
Tanoh Kpassagnon	4	1	3.0	0
Jordan Howden	3	1	0.0	0
Isaac Yiadom	2	1	0.0	3
Bryan Bresee	2	1	2.0	0
Tyrann Mathieu	3	0	0.0	0
Nathan Shepherd	2	0	0.0	0
Carl Granderson	1	1	1.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NO -6
Closing total: 39.5
NYG moneyline: +205
NO moneyline: -250

Saints closed -6 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 30 — under by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: NYG 6 days · NO 7 days
Coaches: Brian Daboll vs Dennis Allen