2023 Week 15 · Mon, Dec 18, 2023 · Lumen Field

Philadelphia Eagles

Seattle SeahawksWinner

PHI -5 upsetU 46 ✓Eagles closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Seattle Seahawks 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:33, SEA +50% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:33PHI 17 — SEA 19SEA ball · 3rd & 10PHI 71%

(:33) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:33SEA +50% win prob(:33) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 0:56SEA +20% win prob(:56) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf to PHI 29 for 34 yards (24-J.Bradberry; 21-S.Brown).
Q4 · 0:13PHI +14% win prob(:13) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right intended for 11-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love at SEA 17. 20-J.Love ran ob at SEA 17 for no gain. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q3 · 10:13SEA +14% win prob(10:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right guard for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 6:36PHI Touchdown
(6:36) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 7 — SEA 0
Q2 · 6:24PHI Field goal
(6:24) 4-J.Elliott 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.
Score after this play: PHI 10 — SEA 0
Q2 · 1:45SEA Field goal
(1:45) 5-J.Myers 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: PHI 10 — SEA 3
Q3 · 10:13SEA Touchdown
(10:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-K.Walker right guard for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 10 — SEA 10
Q3 · 4:44PHI Touchdown
(4:44) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — SEA 10
Q4 · 10:05SEA Field goal
(10:05) 5-J.Myers 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Score after this play: PHI 17 — SEA 13
Q4 · 0:33SEA Touchdown
(:33) (Shotgun) 2-D.Lock pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: PHI 17 — SEA 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Seahawks
Offensive plays	69	58
Total yards	321 (edge)	299
Yards per play	4.7	5.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.11 (edge)	0.06
Success rate	51% (edge)	41%
Dropback rate	54%	60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16 (edge)	0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.06 (edge)	0.00
Third downs	9/16 (edge)	6/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	5
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	14
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	2
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Eagles outgained Seahawks 321–299 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Drew LockQB

22/33, 208 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.3 expected points added · -1.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

17/31, 143 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

1.7 expected points added · -8.0% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Kenneth WalkerRB

19 att, 86 yds, 1 TD

0.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

13 att, 82 yds, 2 TD

6.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

5/6 for 78 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

5/10 for 56 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	17	75	8:29	Touchdown +7
2	SEA	SEA 25	5	14	2:02	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 12	4	5	1:00	Punt
4	SEA	SEA 27	7	21	3:43	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 29	16	68	8:26	Field goal +3
6	SEA	SEA 25	13	47	4:38	Field goal +3
7	PHI	PHI 25	6	15	0:34	Punt
8	SEA	SEA 19	4	8	0:41	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 32	4	6	0:27	Punt
10	SEA	SEA 25	11	75	4:55	Touchdown +7
11	PHI	PHI 25	14	70	5:22	Touchdown +7
12	SEA	SEA 25	5	-3	1:34	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 21	4	7	1:43	Punt
14	SEA	SEA 30	11	40	6:26	Field goal +3
15	PHI	PHI 25	5	30	1:52	Interception
16	SEA	SEA 20	4	5	1:33	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 25	8	25	4:43	Punt
18	SEA	SEA 8	11	92	1:24	Touchdown +7
19	PHI	PHI 25	4	20	0:22	Interception
20	SEA	SEA 17	1	0	0:06	End of game

7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 92 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	17/31	143	0	2	0	1.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	13	82	6.3	2	6.3
D'Andre Swift	18	74	4.1	0	-0.9
Kenneth Gainwell	6	21	3.5	0	1.2
Dallas Goedert	1	1	1.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	5	10	56	33%	4.1
DeVonta Smith	5	5	50	17%	2.7
Dallas Goedert	4	9	30	30%	-0.8
Julio Jones	1	1	6	3%	2.3
D'Andre Swift	2	3	1	10%	-2.4
Kenneth Gainwell	0	1	0	3%	-0.1
Quez Watkins	0	1	0	3%	-3.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Reed Blankenship	4	3	0
Nicholas Morrow	4	3	1
Sydney Brown	4	2	0
James Bradberry	2	3	0
Kevin Byard	2	3	0
Shaquille Leonard	1	3	0
Milton Williams	3	0	0
Haason Reddick	2	0	0
Jordan Davis	2	0	0
Eli Ricks	1	1	0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drew Lock	22/33	208	1	0	2	3.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenneth Walker	19	86	4.5	1	0.1
Zach Charbonnet	4	16	4.0	0	-0.0
Drew Lock	1	-2	-2.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	5	6	78	0	19%	4.6
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	4	4	48	1	13%	5.3
Kenneth Walker	3	3	26	0	9%	1.1
Tyler Lockett	3	9	21	0	28%	-0.8
Noah Fant	3	5	16	0	16%	-1.8
Will Dissly	2	2	9	0	6%	-0.4
Colby Parkinson	1	1	6	0	3%	0.2
Jake Bobo	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1
Zach Charbonnet	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Bobby Wagner	6	3	0	0
Julian Love	5	3	2	2
Jordyn Brooks	4	3	0	0
Tre Brown	4	2	0	0
Quandre Diggs	5	1	0	0
Artie Burns	3	2	0	1
Michael Jackson	4	0	0	2
Leonard Williams	4	0	0	0
Darrell Taylor	2	0	0	0
Cameron Young	2	0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -5
Closing total: 46
PHI moneyline: -238
SEA moneyline: +195

Eagles closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46; the game landed 37 — under by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lumen Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 46°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: PHI 8 days · SEA 8 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Pete Carroll