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2023 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 25, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field

New York Giants

25

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

33

PHI -14 no coverO 41 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 33–25. Biggest swing: Q3 0:21, NYG +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑NYG ↓
Q3 · 0:21NYG 16 — PHI 20PHI ball · 2nd & 20PHI 97%

(:21) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Jackson at NYG 24. 22-A.Jackson for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-1-J.Hurts, Horse Collar Tackle, 1 yard, enforced between dow

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 0:21NYG +11% win prob(:21) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Jackson at NYG 24. 22-A.Jackson for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-1-J.Hurts, Horse Collar Tackle, 1 yard, enforced between downs.
  2. Q4 · 14:11PHI +7% win prob(14:11) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 11-A.Brown to NYG 42 for 32 yards (19-I.Simmons).
  3. Q1 · 13:35NYG +7% win prob(13:35) 6-J.Gillan punts 41 yards to PHI 33, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 18-B.Covey pushed ob at NYG 13 for 54 yards (47-C.Brown).
  4. Q4 · 5:32PHI +5% win prob(5:32) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:28PHI Touchdown

    (12:28) 1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-96-T.Horne, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 0 — PHI 7
  2. Q1 · 8:08NYG Field goal

    (8:08) 21-M.Crosby 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — PHI 7
  3. Q2 · 14:56PHI Field goal

    (14:56) 4-J.Elliott 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — PHI 10
  4. Q2 · 11:52PHI Touchdown

    (11:52) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 6-D.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — PHI 17
  5. Q2 · 0:04PHI Field goal

    (:04) 4-J.Elliott 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYG 3 — PHI 20
  6. Q3 · 13:44NYG Touchdown

    (13:44) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 10 — PHI 20
  7. Q3 · 0:21NYG Touchdown

    (:21) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Jackson at NYG 24. 22-A.Jackson for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-1-J.Hurts, Horse Collar Tackle, 1 yard, enforced between downs.

    Score after this play: NYG 16 — PHI 20
  8. Q3 · 0:09NYG Two-point

    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 26-S.Barkley rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

    Score after this play: NYG 18 — PHI 20
  9. Q4 · 11:11PHI Touchdown

    (11:11) (Shotgun) 0-D.Swift right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 18 — PHI 27
  10. Q4 · 6:08PHI Field goal

    (6:08) 4-J.Elliott 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYG 18 — PHI 30
  11. Q4 · 5:32NYG Touchdown

    (5:32) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYG 25 — PHI 30
  12. Q4 · 1:14PHI Field goal

    (1:14) 4-J.Elliott 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: NYG 25 — PHI 33

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsEagles
Offensive plays5874
Total yards294465 (edge)
Yards per play5.16.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.060.13 (edge)
Success rate33%54% (edge)
Dropback rate57%55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.100.16 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.010.09 (edge)
Third downs4/148/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)69 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1428 (edge)
Sacks taken11
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

24/38, 301 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

7.4 expected points added · -3.8% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Tyrod TaylorQB

7/16, 133 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

0.5 expected points added · -0.6% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

20 att, 92 yds, 1 TD

-1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

23 att, 80 yds, 1 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

3/3 for 90 yds, 1 TD

11% of team targets · 9.4 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

6/11 for 80 yds, 0 TD

31% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 25511:46Punt
2PHINYG 133130:47Touchdown +7
3NYGNYG 2511464:23Field goal +3
4PHIPHI 1819828:11Field goal +3
5NYGNYG 25582:01Punt
6PHIPHI 484521:08Touchdown +7
7NYGNYG 256121:41Punt
8PHIPHI 194-41:36Punt
9NYGNYG 3712345:40Turnover on downs
10PHIPHI 2511692:47Field goal +3
11PHI—100:05Fumble
12NYGPHI 144141:14Touchdown +7
13PHIPHI 25551:38Punt
14NYGNYG 209354:28Punt
15PHIPHI 614767:26Defensive touchdown
16PHIPHI 2510904:02Touchdown +7
17NYGNYG 257332:17Turnover on downs
18PHIPHI 427322:46Field goal +3
19NYGNYG 254750:42Touchdown +7
20PHIPHI 2510504:12Field goal +3
21NYGNYG 2510341:10Interception

10 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 90 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor7/161331100.5
Tommy DeVito9/1655001-6.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley23803.51-0.2
Tyrod Taylor22110.502.5
Tommy DeVito155.00-0.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton3390111%9.4
Daniel Bellinger4543019%1.7
Darren Waller2532019%-1.4
Wan'Dale Robinson3716026%-4.5
Saquon Barkley364022%-5.2
Matt Breida11304%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Xavier McKinney730.500
Bobby Okereke820.001
Jason Pinnock510.000
Deonte Banks600.000
Isaiah Simmons310.001
Nick McCloud220.000
Micah McFadden130.000
Jihad Ward220.500
Adoree' Jackson400.012
Dexter Lawrence400.000

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts24/383011117.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift20924.61-1.0
Kenneth Gainwell6416.800.4
Jalen Hurts8344.313.1
Boston Scott133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown61180031%4.2
DeVonta Smith4579114%8.0
Dallas Goedert7971025%-3.0
Kenneth Gainwell333808%3.3
Grant Calcaterra222106%2.0
Britain Covey11703%0.0
Julio Jones145011%-3.0
Olamide Zaccheaus01003%-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Shaquille Leonard521.000
Reed Blankenship420.000
Ben VanSumeren240.000
Kelee Ringo500.011
Milton Williams310.000
Fletcher Cox310.000
Kevin Byard300.000
Haason Reddick200.000
James Bradberry200.001
Jordan Davis200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -14
Closing total
41
NYG moneyline
+600
PHI moneyline
-900

Eagles closed -14, won by 8 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41; the game landed 58 — over by 17.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
51°F, wind 5 mph
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
NYG 8 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches
Brian Daboll vs Nick Sirianni

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.