2023 Week 17 · Sat, Dec 30, 2023 · AT&T Stadium
Detroit Lions
19
Dallas CowboysWinner
20
Dallas Cowboys 20–19 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q1 3:40, DAL +21% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(3:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 3:40DAL +21% win prob(3:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 14:21DAL +19% win prob(14:21) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 9-J.Williams to DAL 14 for 63 yards (26-D.Bland) [11-M.Parsons].
- Q4 · 0:23DET +19% win probTWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-J.Goff pass to 82-J.Mitchell is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
- Q4 · 2:11DET +17% win prob(2:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 87-S.LaPorta INTERCEPTED by 6-D.Wilson at DET 29. 6-D.Wilson to DET 29 for no gain (87-S.LaPorta).
How the points landed
Scoring summary
- Q1 · 10:50DET Field goal
(10:50) 17-M.Badgley 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 3 — DAL 0 - Q1 · 3:40DAL Touchdown
(3:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 3 — DAL 7 - Q3 · 4:38DET Touchdown
(4:38) 5-D.Montgomery left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 10 — DAL 7 - Q3 · 0:27DAL Field goal
(:27) 17-B.Aubrey 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DET 10 — DAL 10 - Q4 · 12:21DET Field goal
(12:21) 17-M.Badgley 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
Score after this play: DET 13 — DAL 10 - Q4 · 7:25DAL Touchdown
(7:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-B.Cooks for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DET 13 — DAL 17 - Q4 · 1:45DAL Field goal
(1:45) 17-B.Aubrey 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Score after this play: DET 13 — DAL 20 - Q4 · 0:27DET Touchdown
(:27) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DET 19 — DAL 20
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 61 |
| Total yards | 420 (edge) | 384 |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 6.3 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.05 | -0.04 (edge) |
| Success rate | 45% | 46% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 52% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 | 0.10 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.18 (edge) | -0.33 |
| Third downs | 4/13 | 7/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 7 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Lions outgained Cowboys 420–384 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DAL
26/38, 345 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
11.3 expected points added · +4.5% completion over expected
Passing · DET
19/34, 271 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-2.6 expected points added · -7.1% completion over expected
Receiving · DET
6/8 for 90 yds, 1 TD
25% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 25 | 12 | 52 | 4:14 | Field goal +3 | |
| 2 | DAL | DAL 25 | 7 | 43 | 2:47 | Interception | |
| 3 | DET | DET 43 | 6 | 10 | 3:31 | Punt | |
| 4 | DAL | DAL 11 | 4 | 89 | 1:02 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 10 | 2:19 | Punt | |
| 6 | DAL | DAL 20 | 4 | 0 | 1:18 | Punt | |
| 7 | DET | DET 42 | 2 | 20 | 0:45 | Interception | |
| 8 | DAL | DAL 46 | 6 | 48 | 3:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | DET | DET 20 | 11 | 76 | 4:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | DAL | DAL 5 | 8 | 36 | 3:59 | Punt | |
| 11 | DET | DET 40 | 4 | 5 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 12 | DAL | DAL 9 | 2 | 0 | 0:37 | End of half | |
| 13 | DAL | DAL 25 | 8 | 14 | 3:00 | Punt | |
| 14 | DET | DET 26 | 14 | 74 | 7:26 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 15 | DAL | DAL 25 | 11 | 42 | 4:11 | Field goal +3 | |
| 16 | DET | DET 25 | 8 | 78 | 3:05 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | DAL | DAL 25 | 11 | 75 | 4:58 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 18 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 19 | DAL | DAL 27 | 8 | 18 | 3:19 | Punt | |
| 20 | DET | DET 11 | 2 | 15 | 0:28 | Interception | |
| 21 | DAL | DET 29 | 4 | 19 | 0:24 | Field goal +3 | |
| 22 | DET | DET 25 | 11 | 75 | 1:18 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 23 | DAL | DET 43 | 2 | 0 | 0:23 | End of game |
8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 89 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Detroit Lions
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 19/34 | 271 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Jalen Reeves-Maybin | 1/1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.1 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 14 | 65 | 4.6 | 1 | 1.3 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 15 | 43 | 2.9 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Jameson Williams | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 6 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 25% | 6.9 |
| Sam LaPorta | 7 | 12 | 84 | 0 | 38% | -2.2 |
| Jameson Williams | 2 | 3 | 69 | 0 | 9% | 3.6 |
| Khalil Dorsey | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 3% | 4.1 |
| Josh Reynolds | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6% | 0.7 |
| Kalif Raymond | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 2.1 |
| James Mitchell | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -1.1 |
| David Montgomery | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -6.1 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9% | -3.3 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Sutton | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Anzalone | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Barnes | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kerby Joseph | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aidan Hutchinson | 4 | 0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Campbell | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Branch | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kindle Vildor | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ifeatu Melifonwu | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Reeves-Maybin | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Dallas Cowboys
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 26/38 | 345 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 16 | 49 | 3.1 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Dak Prescott | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | -1.2 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Deuce Vaughn | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 13 | 17 | 227 | 1 | 46% | 5.0 |
| Brandin Cooks | 5 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 22% | 3.6 |
| Jake Ferguson | 4 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 16% | -1.0 |
| Deuce Vaughn | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 1.3 |
| Jalen Tolbert | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | 0.8 |
| Peyton Hendershot | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.3 |
| Tony Pollard | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -2.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Wilson | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Markquese Bell | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayron Kearse | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jourdan Lewis | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Demarcus Lawrence | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Micah Parsons | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daron Bland | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorance Armstrong | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damone Clark | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DAL -5.5
- Closing total
- 53
- DET moneyline
- +195
- DAL moneyline
- -238
Cowboys closed -5.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 53; the game landed 39 — under by 14.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- AT&T Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · matrixturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Brad Allen
- Rest
- DET 6 days · DAL 6 days
- Coaches
- Dan Campbell vs Mike McCarthy