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2023 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 31, 2023 · MetLife Stadium

Los Angeles RamsWinner

26

New York Giants

25

LA -6 no coverO 43.5 ✓

Los Angeles Rams 26–25 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:35, LA +33% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYG ↑LA ↓
Q4 · 0:35LA 26 — NYG 25NYG ball · 4th & 12LA 62%

(:35) 21-M.Crosby 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:35LA +33% win prob(:35) 21-M.Crosby 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.
  2. Q4 · 3:49LA +24% win prob(3:49) 42-E.Evans punts 58 yards to NYG 6, Center-46-C.Tinker. 80-G.Olszewski for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 1:04NYG +23% win prob(1:04) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor scrambles right tackle to LA 34 for 31 yards (43-J.Johnson).
  4. Q3 · 4:50NYG +14% win prob(4:50) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass deep right to 86-D.Slayton for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 3:11LA Touchdown

    (3:11) 23-K.Williams right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7 — NYG 0
  2. Q2 · 13:11NYG Touchdown

    (13:11) 17-W.Robinson right end for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 7 — NYG 7
  3. Q2 · 1:48LA Touchdown

    (1:48) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-C.Kupp for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LA 14 — NYG 7
  4. Q2 · 0:00NYG Field goal

    (:00) 21-M.Crosby 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: LA 14 — NYG 10
  5. Q3 · 10:22LA Touchdown

    (10:22) (No Huddle) 23-K.Williams right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 20 — NYG 10
  6. Q3 · 4:50NYG Touchdown

    (4:50) (Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass deep right to 86-D.Slayton for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 20 — NYG 16
  7. Q4 · 13:28NYG Field goal

    (13:28) 21-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: LA 20 — NYG 19
  8. Q4 · 12:10LA Touchdown

    (12:10) 23-K.Williams right tackle for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 26 — NYG 19
  9. Q4 · 3:49NYG Touchdown

    (3:49) 42-E.Evans punts 58 yards to NYG 6, Center-46-C.Tinker. 80-G.Olszewski for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LA 26 — NYG 25

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsGiants
Offensive plays6067
Total yards392 (edge)389
Yards per play6.5 (edge)5.8
Expected points added / play0.02 (edge)-0.07
Success rate48% (edge)39%
Dropback rate63%75%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.08-0.03 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.19 (edge)-0.17
Third downs2/85/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)16
Sacks taken4 (edge)6
Turnovers31 (edge)

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.07.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Tyrod TaylorQB

27/41, 319 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-3.0 expected points added · +1.5% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Matthew StaffordQB

24/34, 317 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

0.9 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Kyren WilliamsRB

20 att, 87 yds, 3 TD

3.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Tyrod TaylorQB

6 att, 40 yds, 0 TD

-2.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Puka NacuaWR

5/8 for 118 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 2.4 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

4/6 for 106 yds, 1 TD

15% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 2512546:20Turnover on downs
2NYGNYG 21441:06Punt
3LALA 289724:27Touchdown +7
4NYGNYG 2511855:04Touchdown +7
5LALA 256172:15Punt
6NYGNYG 20432:02Punt
7LALA 254172:13Interception
8NYGNYG 38491:31Turnover on downs
9LANYG 469463:18Touchdown +7
10NYGNYG 253110:37Interception
11LALA 271160:09Fumble
12NYGLA 435160:58Field goal +3
13NYGNYG 258243:24Punt
14LALA 125881:19Touchdown +6
15NYGNYG 257152:31Punt
16LALA 214-31:16Punt
17NYGNYG 95911:51Touchdown +6
18LALA 255122:27Interception
19NYGLA 3410313:48Field goal +3
20LALA 255701:21Touchdown +6
21NYGNYG 258513:25Turnover on downs
22LALA 34440:58Punt
23NYGNYG 177202:54Punt
24LALA 28581:19Defensive touchdown
25LALA 255-92:19Punt
26NYGNYG 356290:38Missed field goal
27LALA 44100:30End of game

8 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 91 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Matthew Stafford24/343171240.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Kyren Williams20874.333.6
Puka Nacua2199.500.6
Matthew Stafford1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Puka Nacua58118024%2.4
Demarcus Robinson61092029%-5.7
Tyler Higbee6762021%3.8
Cooper Kupp4627118%1.0
Kyren Williams221406%0.7
Ronnie Rivers11403%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Ernest Jones660.000
Jordan Fuller510.011
Ahkello Witherspoon330.001
Michael Hoecht240.500
Quentin Lake320.000
Kobie Turner322.500
Aaron Donald322.001
Christian Rozeboom210.000
Byron Young301.000
John Johnson120.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tyrod Taylor27/41319116-3.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tyrod Taylor6406.70-2.1
Saquon Barkley12393.30-1.5
Wan'Dale Robinson12424.012.5
Eric Gray122.00-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Darius Slayton46106115%3.7
Wan'Dale Robinson6955023%2.6
Darren Waller5651015%3.6
Daniel Bellinger4439010%0.6
Jalin Hyatt3425010%-2.3
Saquon Barkley3619015%-2.2
Isaiah Hodgins121805%0.7
Eric Gray11603%-0.1
Sterling Shepard01003%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Bobby Okereke271.500
Nick McCloud520.000
Adoree' Jackson420.001
Cordale Flott330.000
A'Shawn Robinson230.000
Xavier McKinney220.000
Isaiah Simmons211.000
Rakeem Nunez-Roches110.500
Jihad Ward111.000
Dexter Lawrence200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -6
Closing total
43.5
LA moneyline
-298
NYG moneyline
+240

Rams closed -6, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 51 — over by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
41°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Tra Blake
Rest
LA 10 days · NYG 6 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Brian Daboll