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2023 Week 17 · Thu, Dec 28, 2023 · FirstEnergy Stadium

New York Jets

20

Cleveland BrownsWinner

37

CLE -6.5 ✓O 33.5 ✓

Cleveland Browns 37–20 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:12, CLE +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CLE ↑NYJ ↓
Q1 · 14:12NYJ 0 — CLE 0CLE ball · 3rd & 15CLE 65%

(14:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 85-D.Njoku to NYJ 44 for 36 yards (3-J.Whitehead).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 14:12CLE +12% win prob(14:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 85-D.Njoku to NYJ 44 for 36 yards (3-J.Whitehead).
  2. Q1 · 2:12NYJ +11% win prob(2:12) 14-T.Siemian pass short middle intended for 17-G.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 33-R.Hickman at NYJ 30. 33-R.Hickman for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 5:28CLE +9% win prob(5:28) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short right to 85-D.Njoku pushed ob at NYJ 7 for 43 yards (3-J.Whitehead).
  4. Q1 · 4:43NYJ +9% win prob36-R.Patterson kicks 63 yards from CLE 35 to NYJ 2. 25-I.Abanikanda to NYJ 14 for 12 yards (40-M.Adams). FUMBLES (40-M.Adams), touched at NYJ 15, RECOVERED by CLE-28-M.Ford at NYJ 12.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:15CLE Touchdown

    (11:15) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 34-J.Ford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 0 — CLE 7
  2. Q1 · 8:14NYJ Touchdown

    (8:14) (Shotgun) 14-T.Siemian pass short middle to 20-Bre.Hall for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — CLE 7
  3. Q1 · 4:46CLE Touchdown

    (4:46) 27-K.Hunt up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — CLE 13
  4. Q1 · 2:12CLE Touchdown

    (2:12) 14-T.Siemian pass short middle intended for 17-G.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 33-R.Hickman at NYJ 30. 33-R.Hickman for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — CLE 20
  5. Q2 · 6:20CLE Touchdown

    (6:20) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 8-E.Moore for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — CLE 27
  6. Q2 · 2:13NYJ Touchdown

    (2:13) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 85-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 11-J.Johnson at CLE 37. 11-J.Johnson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 14 — CLE 27
  7. Q2 · 1:41CLE Touchdown

    (1:41) (Shotgun) 15-J.Flacco pass short left to 34-J.Ford for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 14 — CLE 34
  8. Q2 · 0:03NYJ Field goal

    (:03) 9-G.Zuerlein 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: NYJ 17 — CLE 34
  9. Q4 · 8:54NYJ Field goal

    (8:54) 9-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: NYJ 20 — CLE 34
  10. Q4 · 2:58CLE Field goal

    (2:58) 36-R.Patterson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-39-M.Haack.

    Score after this play: NYJ 20 — CLE 37

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJetsBrowns
Offensive plays6858
Total yards360428 (edge)
Yards per play5.37.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.18-0.06 (edge)
Success rate40%45% (edge)
Dropback rate74%52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.280.06 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.12 (edge)-0.18
Third downs6/165/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)812 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1619 (edge)
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers2 (edge)4

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Joe FlaccoQB

19/29, 309 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

6.2 expected points added · -0.6% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Trevor SiemianQB

32/45, 261 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-10.6 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

13 att, 84 yds, 0 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Jerome FordRB

12 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

David NjokuTE

6/8 for 134 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · -3.6 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Elijah MooreWR

5/6 for 61 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CLECLE 259853:50Touchdown +7
2NYJNYJ 258753:04Touchdown +7
3CLECLE 259753:23Touchdown +6
4NYJ—100:06Fumble
5CLENYJ 12461:14Turnover on downs
6NYJNYJ 63131:22Defensive touchdown
7NYJNYJ 385102:01Punt
8CLECLE 203301:42Fumble
9NYJNYJ 35451:31Punt
10CLECLE 2111795:32Touchdown +7
11NYJNYJ 25581:36Punt
12CLECLE 185172:37Defensive touchdown
13CLECLE 255750:37Touchdown +7
14NYJNYJ 257521:25Field goal +3
15NYJNYJ 2912635:33Missed field goal
16CLECLE 16471:33Fumble
17NYJNYJ 3310285:47Punt
18CLECLE 10652:03Punt
19NYJNYJ 476191:35Punt
20CLECLE 103251:34Fumble
21NYJCLE 35783:05Field goal +3
22CLECLE 25561:37Punt
23NYJNYJ 23491:52Turnover on downs
24CLENYJ 326182:27Field goal +3
25NYJNYJ 2212702:54End of game

8 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Trevor Siemian32/45261112-10.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall13846.502.8
Trevor Siemian4133.30-3.1
Xavier Gipson188.000.5
Israel Abanikanda231.50-1.0
Garrett Wilson1-1-1.00-0.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Garrett Wilson51050023%-9.0
Tyler Conklin5545011%2.2
Breece Hall9942120%-0.5
Xavier Gipson4733016%-1.5
Kenny Yeboah232807%-2.1
Jason Brownlee222805%2.2
Israel Abanikanda4727016%-0.9
Nick Bawden11802%1.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tony Adams530.000
C.J. Mosley440.000
Jordan Whitehead620.000
Quincy Williams320.000
D.J. Reed220.001
John Franklin-Myers110.000
Quinnen Williams110.000
Jermaine Johnson200.011
Micheal Clemons200.000
Bruce Hector110.000

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Joe Flacco19/293093116.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jerome Ford12645.300.4
Kareem Hunt10313.11-1.0
Pierre Strong4297.30-3.9
Joe Flacco231.50-0.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
David Njoku68134028%-3.6
Elijah Moore5661121%6.0
Jerome Ford2357210%5.2
Jordan Akins112803%1.8
Harrison Bryant2314010%0.4
Cedric Tillman148014%-3.6
David Bell237010%-2.8
Kareem Hunt01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Sione Takitaki1150.001
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah640.000
D'Anthony Bell410.000
Denzel Ward400.000
Greg Newsome120.002
Martin Emerson300.002
Duron Harmon300.000
Shelby Harris120.000
Myles Garrett301.000
Juan Thornhill210.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CLE -6.5
Closing total
33.5
NYJ moneyline
+270
CLE moneyline
-345

Browns closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 33.5; the game landed 57 — over by 23.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
47°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
NYJ 4 days · CLE 4 days
Coaches
Robert Saleh vs Kevin Stefanski