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2023 Wild Card · Sun, Jan 14, 2024 · AT&T Stadium

Green Bay PackersWinner

48

Dallas Cowboys

32

DAL -7 upsetO 52.5 ✓Dome

Green Bay Packers 48–32. Biggest swing: Q2 2:00, GB +25% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DAL ↑GB ↓
Q2 · 2:00GB 26 — DAL 0DAL ball · 2nd & 2GB 74%

(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left intended for 88-C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage at GB 36. 26-D.Savage for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 2:00GB +25% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left intended for 88-C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage at GB 36. 26-D.Savage for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 0:02DAL +11% win prob(:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 3:02DAL +10% win prob(3:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 87-R.Doubs to DAL 49 for 26 yards (1-J.Kearse) [92-D.Armstrong].
  4. Q1 · 0:47GB +8% win prob(:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left intended for 3-B.Cooks INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Alexander at DAL 19. 23-J.Alexander to DAL 19 for no gain (3-B.Cooks).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:12GB Touchdown

    (7:12) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 7 — DAL 0
  2. Q2 · 14:19GB Touchdown

    (14:19) 33-A.Jones left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 14 — DAL 0
  3. Q2 · 3:28GB Touchdown

    (3:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 13-D.Wicks for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 20 — DAL 0
  4. Q2 · 2:00GB Touchdown

    (2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left intended for 88-C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage at GB 36. 26-D.Savage for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 27 — DAL 0
  5. Q2 · 0:02DAL Touchdown

    (:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 27 — DAL 7
  6. Q3 · 9:27DAL Field goal

    (9:27) 17-B.Aubrey 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: GB 27 — DAL 10
  7. Q3 · 6:41GB Touchdown

    (6:41) 33-A.Jones right guard for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 34 — DAL 10
  8. Q3 · 3:07DAL Touchdown

    (3:07) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: GB 34 — DAL 16
  9. Q3 · 1:36GB Touchdown

    (1:36) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 88-L.Musgrave for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 41 — DAL 16
  10. Q4 · 10:28GB Touchdown

    (10:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 87-R.Doubs for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: GB 48 — DAL 16
  11. Q4 · 5:58DAL Touchdown

    (5:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: GB 48 — DAL 24
  12. Q4 · 3:30DAL Touchdown

    (3:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)

    Score after this play: GB 48 — DAL 32

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricPackersCowboys
Offensive plays5391
Total yards416514 (edge)
Yards per play7.8 (edge)5.6
Expected points added / play0.48 (edge)0.06
Success rate53%57% (edge)
Dropback rate40%77%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)1.14 (edge)0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.040.19 (edge)
Third downs6/1010/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)10 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps2135 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)4
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Cowboys outgained Packers 514–416 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

41/60, 403 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

-3.4 expected points added · +2.9% completion over expected

Passing · GB

Jordan LoveQB

16/21, 272 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

23.9 expected points added · +13.1% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Aaron JonesRB

21 att, 118 yds, 3 TD

5.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

15 att, 56 yds, 1 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Romeo DoubsWR

6/6 for 151 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 16.7 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

9/17 for 110 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · -6.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1GBGB 2514677:52Touchdown +7
2DALDAL 248273:13Punt
3GBGB 247282:29Punt
4DALDAL 8350:43Interception
5GBDAL 194291:28Touchdown +7
6DALDAL 1411445:08Punt
7GBGB 711935:44Touchdown +6
8DALDAL 257351:33Defensive touchdown
9DALDAL 4514401:50Touchdown +7
10DALDAL 2413455:37Field goal +3
11GBGB 257752:45Touchdown +7
12DALDAL 1213823:35Touchdown +6
13GBGB 255751:36Touchdown +7
14DALDAL 256161:27Turnover on downs
15GBDAL 409404:37Touchdown +7
16DALDAL 2513774:29Touchdown +8
17GB50561:05Punt
18DALDAL 95781:24Touchdown +8
19GBDAL 44531:03Punt
20DALDAL 811652:06Turnover on downs
21GBGB 27100:16End of game

11 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 93 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Green Bay Packers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jordan Love16/2127230023.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Aaron Jones211185.635.5
Emanuel Wilson8202.50-2.3
Patrick Taylor362.00-1.8
Jordan Love1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Romeo Doubs66151129%16.7
Luke Musgrave3352114%5.4
Dontayvion Wicks2225110%3.5
Tucker Kraft2315014%-0.2
Aaron Jones111305%1.0
Christian Watson11905%0.9
Bo Melton127010%-0.2
Jayden Reed030014%-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Quay Walker470.000
Keisean Nixon541.002
De'Vondre Campbell621.001
Jaire Alexander340.011
Carrington Valentine520.000
Isaiah McDuffie510.000
Eric Wilson410.000
Jonathan Owens310.000
Darnell Savage310.011
Corey Ballentine310.000

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott41/60403324-3.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Tony Pollard15563.712.0
Dak Prescott6457.505.6
Rico Dowdle2115.500.9
Brandin Cooks166.000.3
CeeDee Lamb155.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb917110029%-6.4
Michael Gallup66103010%6.1
Jake Ferguson101293321%10.4
Brandin Cooks6847014%-1.1
Tony Pollard7929016%-1.9
Rico Dowdle231405%1.5
Luke Schoonmaker11702%0.6
Jalen Tolbert02003%-4.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Markquese Bell530.000
Damone Clark430.000
Jayron Kearse500.001
Daron Bland500.000
Stephon Gilmore410.000
Donovan Wilson130.000
Johnathan Hankins130.000
Micah Parsons110.000
Brandin Cooks100.000
Malik Hooker100.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DAL -7
Closing total
52.5
GB moneyline
+275
DAL moneyline
-345

Cowboys closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 52.5; the game landed 80 — over by 27.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Ron Torbert
Rest
GB 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches
Matt LaFleur vs Mike McCarthy