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2024 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2024 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Dallas CowboysWinner

33

Cleveland Browns

17

CLE -2.5 upsetO 42 ✓17 mph wind

Dallas Cowboys 33–17. Biggest swing: Q1 8:21, CLE +9% win probability on one snap. Played in 17 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CLE ↑DAL ↓
Q1 · 8:21DAL 0 — CLE 3DAL ball · 2nd & 10CLE 64%

(8:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at CLE 26 for 34 yards (1-J.Thornhill).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 8:21CLE +9% win prob(8:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at CLE 26 for 34 yards (1-J.Thornhill).
  2. Q1 · 6:59CLE +8% win prob(6:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 3-B.Cooks for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 0:11CLE +7% win prob(:11) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to DAL 32, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 49 for 17 yards (30-D.Bush). PENALTY on DAL-24-I.Mukuamu, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 39.
  4. Q2 · 1:52DAL +6% win prob(1:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right intended for 8-E.Moore INTERCEPTED by 50-E.Kendricks (11-M.Parsons) at CLE 31. 50-E.Kendricks to CLE 23 for 8 yards (85-D.Njoku).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 9:28CLE Field goal

    (9:28) 7-D.Hopkins 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: DAL 0 — CLE 3
  2. Q1 · 6:59DAL Touchdown

    (6:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 3-B.Cooks for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 7 — CLE 3
  3. Q2 · 5:18DAL Touchdown

    (5:18) (Shotgun) 15-E.Elliott up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 14 — CLE 3
  4. Q2 · 2:11DAL Field goal

    (2:11) 17-B.Aubrey 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 17 — CLE 3
  5. Q2 · 0:55DAL Field goal

    (:55) 17-B.Aubrey 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 20 — CLE 3
  6. Q3 · 13:15DAL Touchdown

    (13:15) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 49 yards to DAL 40, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 9-K.Turpin for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 27 — CLE 3
  7. Q3 · 8:46CLE Touchdown

    (8:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 3-J.Jeudy for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 27 — CLE 10
  8. Q3 · 1:31DAL Field goal

    (1:31) 17-B.Aubrey 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 30 — CLE 10
  9. Q4 · 11:55DAL Field goal

    (11:55) 17-B.Aubrey 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    Score after this play: DAL 33 — CLE 10
  10. Q4 · 0:33CLE Touchdown

    (:33) (No Huddle) 34-J.Ford right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DAL 33 — CLE 17

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCowboysBrowns
Offensive plays5970
Total yards266 (edge)230
Yards per play4.5 (edge)3.3
Expected points added / play-0.11 (edge)-0.27
Success rate36% (edge)26%
Dropback rate59%80%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.19 (edge)-0.35
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.010.04 (edge)
Third downs4/14 (edge)2/15
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)5 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps15 (edge)13
Sacks taken3 (edge)6
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.27.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

19/32, 179 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-6.7 expected points added · -6.6% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Deshaun WatsonQB

24/45, 169 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-23.1 expected points added · -8.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Jerome FordRB

12 att, 44 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

10 att, 40 yds, 1 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

5/10 for 61 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · -2.2 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

David NjokuTE

4/5 for 44 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DALDAL 33592:21Punt
2CLEDAL 466233:16Field goal +3
3DALDAL 308702:28Touchdown +7
4CLECLE 255122:10Punt
5DALDAL 109313:35Punt
6CLECLE 204-51:10Punt
7DALDAL 29422:04Punt
8CLECLE 23481:45Punt
9DALDAL 2212745:56Touchdown +7
10CLECLE 20530:41Punt
11DALDAL 445172:28Field goal +3
12CLECLE 30360:20Interception
13DALCLE 23410:55Field goal +3
14CLECLE 27570:42Punt
15DALDAL 402120:09End of half
16CLECLE 255-92:01Defensive touchdown
17CLECLE 2514754:17Touchdown +7
18DALDAL 30530:55Punt
19CLECLE 144-41:12Punt
20DALDAL 13441:18Punt
21CLECLE 45411:22Turnover on downs
22DALCLE 466192:28Field goal +3
23CLECLE 325112:20Turnover on downs
24DALCLE 386202:16Field goal +3
25CLECLE 308482:45Interception
26DALDAL 23441:44Punt
27CLECLE 3616546:53Touchdown +7
28DALDAL 30200:29End of game

9 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 75 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Dak Prescott19/32179103-6.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ezekiel Elliott10404.011.0
Rico Dowdle8263.30-1.3
CeeDee Lamb3258.300.8
Brandin Cooks155.00-0.7
Deuce Vaughn144.00-0.1
Dak Prescott133.000.4
Cooper Rush1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
CeeDee Lamb51061032%-2.2
Brandin Cooks4740123%-0.1
Jalen Brooks111803%1.1
Hunter Luepke221806%1.3
Jake Ferguson3515016%-1.6
Jalen Tolbert121206%-0.5
Ezekiel Elliott22906%-0.2
Rico Dowdle11603%0.3
Kavontae Turpin01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
DeMarvion Overshown561.000
Eric Kendricks432.011
Jourdan Lewis320.000
Trevon Diggs310.012
Damone Clark220.000
Demarcus Lawrence312.000
Malik Hooker220.000
Caelen Carson400.002
Osa Odighizuwa120.000
Marshawn Kneeland210.001

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Deshaun Watson24/45169126-23.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jerome Ford12443.71-1.2
Deshaun Watson5397.803.5
Pierre Strong2105.001.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
David Njoku4544012%1.0
Jordan Akins342709%1.5
Jerome Ford6725016%-2.8
Jerry Jeudy3825119%0.9
Pierre Strong232007%0.6
Amari Cooper2916021%-2.2
Elijah Moore369014%-10.8
Cedric Tillman11302%-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Juan Thornhill710.000
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah430.001
Martin Emerson430.001
Jordan Hicks240.000
Za'Darius Smith211.000
Dalvin Tomlinson121.000
Devin Bush110.000
Grant Delpit200.000
Tony Fields110.000
Alex Wright200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CLE -2.5
Closing total
42
DAL moneyline
+110
CLE moneyline
-130

Browns closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 42; the game landed 50 — over by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
69°F, wind 17 mph
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
DAL 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches
Mike McCarthy vs Kevin Stefanski

Wind at 17 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.