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2024 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2024 · Hard Rock Stadium
17
20
Miami Dolphins 20–17 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, MIA +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:04) 7-J.Sanders 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
How the points landed
(4:34) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 7 — MIA 0(6:28) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 14 — MIA 0(1:09) 28-D.Achane up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 14 — MIA 7(:03) 39-C.Little 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Score after this play: JAX 17 — MIA 7(2:19) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: JAX 17 — MIA 14(4:26) 7-J.Sanders 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: JAX 17 — MIA 17(:04) 7-J.Sanders 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Ferguson, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
Score after this play: JAX 17 — MIA 20Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Jaguars | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 50 | 65 |
| Total yards | 267 | 400 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 6.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.15 | 0.02 (edge) |
| Success rate | 40% | 40% |
| Dropback rate | 50% | 63% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.11 | 0.13 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.40 | -0.16 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/10 | 8/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 7 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 16 | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.15.
Who moved the needle
Passing · MIA
23/37, 338 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
4.3 expected points added · -7.7% completion over expected
Passing · JAX
12/21, 162 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
1.7 expected points added · -0.2% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | MIA 20 | 8 | 38 | 3:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | JAX | JAX 42 | 4 | -14 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 3 | MIA | MIA 31 | 7 | 18 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 4 | JAX | JAX 4 | 7 | 56 | 3:18 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 16 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 6 | JAX | JAX 12 | 6 | 11 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 7 | MIA | MIA 21 | 5 | 14 | 2:47 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | JAX | JAX 45 | 9 | 66 | 5:31 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 30 | 14 | 74 | 5:17 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 10 | JAX | JAX 23 | 7 | 43 | 1:04 | Field goal +3 | |
| 11 | JAX | JAX 30 | 5 | 5 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 12 | MIA | MIA 13 | 7 | 12 | 3:51 | Punt | |
| 13 | JAX | JAX 37 | 4 | 7 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 14 | MIA | MIA 11 | 5 | 43 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 15 | JAX | JAX 3 | 6 | 80 | 3:07 | Fumble | |
| 16 | MIA | MIA 20 | 2 | 80 | 0:11 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | JAX | JAX 23 | 5 | 7 | 2:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | MIA | JAX 30 | 4 | 6 | 1:14 | Missed field goal | |
| 19 | JAX | JAX 32 | 5 | 16 | 2:27 | Punt | |
| 20 | MIA | MIA 8 | 12 | 68 | 6:44 | Field goal +3 | |
| 21 | JAX | JAX 30 | 5 | -10 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 22 | MIA | MIA 35 | 8 | 31 | 2:09 | Field goal +3 |
7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 80 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a fumble.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 12/21 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tank Bigsby | 12 | 73 | 6.1 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Travis Etienne | 12 | 44 | 3.7 | 1 | -10.7 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Devin Duvernay | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Davis | 3 | 3 | 62 | 0 | 16% | 3.7 |
| Brian Thomas | 4 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 21% | 5.7 |
| Christian Kirk | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 21% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Lloyd | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio Johnson | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Foyesade Oluokun | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ronald Darby |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | 23/37 | 338 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Wilson | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Dolphins closed -3.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 37 — under by 12.5.
Conditions and crew
| -0.2 |
| Travis Etienne | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 16% | -0.2 |
| Evan Engram | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 21% | -2.6 |
| Parker Washington | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5% | -0.5 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Travon Walker | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Cisco | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyson Campbell | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montaric Brown | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasir Abdullah | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Hines-Allen | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1.1 |
| Devon Achane | 10 | 24 | 2.4 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Raheem Mostert | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Alec Ingold | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 7 | 12 | 130 | 1 | 33% | 4.4 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 5 | 5 | 109 | 0 | 14% | 7.7 |
| Devon Achane | 7 | 7 | 76 | 0 | 19% | 4.1 |
| Raheem Mostert | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8% | 0.8 |
| Jonnu Smith | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6% | -1.5 |
| Julian Hill | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.2 |
| Alec Ingold | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
| Braxton Berrios | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -5.1 |
| Durham Smythe | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -1.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poyer | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Fuller | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Long Jr. | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordyn Brooks | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jevon Holland | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kader Kohou | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Ogbah | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calais Campbell | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaelan Phillips | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Storm Duck | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
