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2024 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2024 · SoFi Stadium

Las Vegas Raiders

10

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

22

LAC -3 ✓U 41 ✓Dome

Los Angeles Chargers 22–10. Biggest swing: Q2 1:22, LV +26% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LAC ↑LV ↓
Q2 · 1:22LV 7 — LAC 3LV ball · 1st & 10LV 71%

(1:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at LV 46 for -6 yards. FUMBLES, touched at LV 42, RECOVERED by LAC-52-K.Mack at LV 34. 52-K.Mack to LV 12 for 22 yards (74-K.Miller).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 1:22LV +26% win prob(1:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at LV 46 for -6 yards. FUMBLES, touched at LV 42, RECOVERED by LAC-52-K.Mack at LV 34. 52-K.Mack to LV 12 for 22 yards (74-K.Miller).
  2. Q3 · 10:46LAC +15% win prob(10:46) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins up the middle to LV 7 for 46 yards (39-N.Hobbs).
  3. Q3 · 2:06LV +14% win prob(2:06) 2-D.Carlson 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  4. Q1 · 6:00LV +11% win prob(6:00) (Shotgun) 3-Z.White up the middle to LV 40 for -1 yards (95-P.Ford).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 4:27LAC Field goal

    (4:27) 11-C.Dicker 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LV 0 — LAC 3
  2. Q1 · 0:54LV Touchdown

    (:54) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short right to 22-A.Mattison for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 3
  3. Q2 · 0:29LAC Field goal

    (:29) 11-C.Dicker 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 6
  4. Q3 · 9:11LAC Field goal

    (9:11) 11-C.Dicker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.

    Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 9
  5. Q4 · 15:00LAC Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 27-J.Dobbins right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: LV 7 — LAC 16
  6. Q4 · 10:33LV Field goal

    (10:33) 2-D.Carlson 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    Score after this play: LV 10 — LAC 16
  7. Q4 · 3:47LAC Touchdown

    (3:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 15-L.McConkey for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: LV 10 — LAC 22

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRaidersChargers
Offensive plays5952
Total yards296318 (edge)
Yards per play5.06.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.33-0.09 (edge)
Success rate32%37% (edge)
Dropback rate68%54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.11 (edge)-0.19
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.800.03 (edge)
Third downs5/14 (edge)4/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)55
First downs gained on snaps13 (edge)12
Sacks taken41 (edge)
Turnovers30 (edge)

Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.33.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LV

Gardner MinshewQB

25/33, 257 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-1.2 expected points added · +1.0% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Justin HerbertQB

17/26, 144 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-4.9 expected points added · -0.6% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

J.K. DobbinsRB

10 att, 135 yds, 1 TD

7.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LV

Zamir WhiteRB

13 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

-13.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LV

Jakobi MeyersWR

3/3 for 61 yds, 0 TD

9% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · LV

Davante AdamsWR

5/6 for 59 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 366153:16Punt
2LVLV 21492:14Punt
3LACLAC 13491:59Punt
4LVLV 32481:36Turnover on downs
5LACLV 404151:33Field goal +3
6LVLV 339673:37Touchdown +7
7LACLAC 305141:30Punt
8LVLV 9482:02Punt
9LACLAC 315193:15Punt
10LVLV 208194:31Punt
11LACLAC 11462:18Punt
12LVLV 34480:56Fumble
13LACLV 12450:47Field goal +3
14LVLV 30240:26End of half
15LVLV 30582:07Punt
16LACLAC 209743:45Field goal +3
17LVLV 304180:48Fumble
18LACLAC 45461:33Punt
19LVLV 209494:45Missed field goal
20LACLAC 397612:07Touchdown +7
21LVLV 309564:25Field goal +3
22LACLAC 30521:00Punt
23LVLV 48492:21Punt
24LACLAC 89923:29Touchdown +6
25LVLV 307331:56Interception
26LACLAC 38301:44End of game

7 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 92 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Gardner Minshew25/33257114-1.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Zamir White13443.40-13.2
Alexander Mattison5193.80-1.8
Gardner Minshew351.70-3.3
Jakobi Meyers133.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jakobi Meyers336109%4.8
Davante Adams5659019%6.3
Brock Bowers6858025%2.8
Alexander Mattison4643119%-1.1
Tre Tucker232209%1.1
D.J. Turner11903%-0.7
Michael Mayer23309%-0.5
Zamir White22206%-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Robert Spillane730.000
Maxx Crosby231.000
Marcus Epps220.000
Christian Wilkins310.000
John Jenkins130.000
Nate Hobbs310.001
Jack Jones310.000
Trevon Moehrig120.000
Divine Deablo120.000
Adam Butler210.000

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Justin Herbert17/26144101-4.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
J.K. Dobbins1013513.517.1
Gus Edwards11262.40-6.1
Derius Davis294.50-0.2
Justin Herbert461.50-0.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Ladd McConkey5739128%1.8
Quentin Johnston3538020%-0.7
Hayden Hurst2333012%0.8
Josh Palmer2415016%-1.1
Will Dissly111304%0.7
J.K. Dobbins334012%-2.0
Gus Edwards11204%-0.6
Scott Matlock01004%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Joey Bosa611.000
Asante Samuel510.000
Daiyan Henley330.000
Derwin James510.000
Kristian Fulton230.000
Alohi Gilman310.000
Junior Colson130.001
Denzel Perryman400.000
Morgan Fox310.500
Ja'Sir Taylor300.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -3
Closing total
41
LV moneyline
+130
LAC moneyline
-155

Chargers closed -3 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 41; the game landed 32 — under by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
LV 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Antonio Pierce vs Jim Harbaugh

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.