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2024 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2024 · MetLife Stadium

Minnesota VikingsWinner

28

New York Giants

6

MIN -1 ✓U 42.5 ✓

Minnesota Vikings 28–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:32, NYG +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYGMIN
Q1 · 5:32MIN 0NYG 3MIN ball · 3rd & 8MIN 51%

(5:32) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right to 3-J.Addison. PENALTY on NYG-21-A.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, 36 yards, enforced at MIN 37 - No Play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 5:32NYG +12% win prob(5:32) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right to 3-J.Addison. PENALTY on NYG-21-A.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, 36 yards, enforced at MIN 37 - No Play.
  2. Q1 · 1:42NYG +10% win prob(1:42) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to MIN 35 for 25 yards (24-C.Bynum, 22-H.Smith).
  3. Q2 · 13:51NYG +9% win prob(13:51) 6-J.Gillan punts 39 yards to MIN 1, impetus ends at MIN 1, Center-59-C.Kreiter, downed by NYG-88-B.Ford-Wheaton.
  4. Q2 · 11:41NYG +8% win prob(11:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to NYG 46 for 44 yards (3-D.Banks).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:19NYG Field goal

    (7:19) 9-G.Gano 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: MIN 0NYG 3
  2. Q1 · 3:56MIN Touchdown

    (3:56) 33-A.Jones left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 7NYG 3
  3. Q2 · 6:58MIN Touchdown

    (6:58) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 18-J.Jefferson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 14NYG 3
  4. Q3 · 12:13MIN Touchdown

    (12:13) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 83-J.Nailor for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 21NYG 3
  5. Q3 · 6:14NYG Field goal

    (6:14) 9-G.Gano 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-J.Gillan.

    Score after this play: MIN 21NYG 6
  6. Q3 · 4:26MIN Touchdown

    (4:26) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right intended for 17-W.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel at NYG 10. 43-A.Van Ginkel for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: MIN 28NYG 6

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricVikingsGiants
Offensive plays5068
Total yards313 (edge)240
Yards per play6.3 (edge)3.5
Expected points added / play0.16 (edge)-0.36
Success rate48% (edge)31%
Dropback rate52%72%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.25 (edge)-0.43
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.05 (edge)-0.16
Third downs3/107/18 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)3
First downs gained on snaps15 (edge)13
Sacks taken1 (edge)5
Turnovers22

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.36.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIN

Sam DarnoldQB

19/24, 208 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

9.6 expected points added · +16.7% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

22/42, 186 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-22.6 expected points added · -10.7% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Aaron JonesRB

14 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

4.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Devin SingletaryRB

10 att, 37 yds, 0 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Malik NabersWR

5/7 for 66 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Receiving · MIN

Justin JeffersonWR

4/6 for 59 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 305-42:01Punt
2MINMIN 15321:36Fumble
3NYGMIN 207154:07Field goal +3
4MINMIN 357393:26Touchdown +7
5NYGNYG 2812525:11Punt
6MINMIN 1121046:44Touchdown +7
7NYGNYG 308213:22Punt
8MINMIN 157272:42Punt
9NYGNYG 28630:51Punt
10MINMIN 308652:52Touchdown +7
11NYGNYG 3012486:00Field goal +3
12MINMIN 30561:42Punt
13NYGNYG 17100:04Defensive touchdown
14NYGNYG 30571:01Punt
15MINMIN 183171:06Interception
16NYGNYG 499403:35Interception
17MINMIN 207223:41Punt
18NYGNYG 3212605:07Turnover on downs
19MINMIN 88313:16Punt
20NYGNYG 144-21:07Punt
21MINMIN 40100:29End of game

5 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 104 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Sam Darnold19/242082119.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Aaron Jones14946.714.9
Ty Chandler8172.10-2.8
Sam Darnold331.00-0.2
Myles Gaskin1-3-3.00-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Justin Jefferson4659126%5.4
Jordan Addison3435017%1.0
Josh Oliver222709%1.5
Ty Chandler3325013%3.0
Jalen Nailor112114%2.4
Aaron Jones221509%0.3
Johnny Mundt2315013%2.4
C.J. Ham221109%-3.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Byron Murphy710.001
Harrison Smith340.011
Ivan Pace420.000
Harrison Phillips141.001
Blake Cashman220.000
Patrick Jones222.000
Andrew Van Ginkel221.011
Stephon Gilmore310.000
Jerry Tillery120.001
Josh Metellus210.001

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones22/42186025-22.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Devin Singletary10373.70-1.6
Daniel Jones6152.500.2
Wan'Dale Robinson11414.001.2
Eric Gray263.00-0.5
Tyrone Tracy221.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Malik Nabers5766018%4.1
Wan'Dale Robinson61244032%-12.9
Darius Slayton3426011%-1.3
Theo Johnson1418011%-1.0
Devin Singletary4515013%-2.9
Eric Gray11903%0.8
Tyrone Tracy13508%-1.0
Daniel Bellinger11303%-0.5
Jalin Hyatt01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Darius Muasau510.011
Tyler Nubin510.000
Brian Burns400.000
Deonte Banks400.000
Andru Phillips310.000
Rakeem Nunez-Roches220.000
Cordale Flott120.000
Jason Pinnock200.001
Nick McCloud200.000
Adoree' Jackson200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -1
Closing total
42.5
MIN moneyline
-115
NYG moneyline
-105

Vikings closed -1 and covered, winning by 22.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 34 — under by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
64°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
MIN 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches
Kevin O'Connell vs Brian Daboll