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2024 Week 1 · Mon, Sep 9, 2024 · Levi's Stadium

New York Jets

19

San Francisco 49ersWinner

32

SF -3.5 ✓O 43 ✓

San Francisco 49ers 32–19. Biggest swing: Q1 11:54, NYJ +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SF ↑NYJ ↓
Q1 · 11:54NYJ 0 — SF 0NYJ ball · 1st & 10SF 60%

(11:54) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 20-B.Hall to NYJ 33 for 3 yards (54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner), touched at NYJ 32, RECOVERED by SF-99-M.Collins at NYJ 32.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 11:54NYJ +12% win prob(11:54) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 20-B.Hall to NYJ 33 for 3 yards (54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner), touched at NYJ 32, RECOVERED by SF-99-M.Collins at NYJ 32.
  2. Q1 · 1:48SF +8% win prob(1:48) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short right to 11-B.Aiyuk to NYJ 34 for 14 yards (22-T.Adams).
  3. Q2 · 8:56SF +8% win prob(8:56) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 15-J.Jennings to NYJ 17 for 22 yards (22-T.Adams, 44-J.Sherwood).
  4. Q2 · 15:00NYJ +7% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 1-D.Samuel sacked at NYJ 33 for -4 yards (1-A.Gardner).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 11:03SF Field goal

    (11:03) 4-J.Moody 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYJ 0 — SF 3
  2. Q1 · 3:57NYJ Touchdown

    (3:57) 20-B.Hall right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — SF 3
  3. Q2 · 14:10SF Field goal

    (14:10) 4-J.Moody 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — SF 6
  4. Q2 · 7:00SF Touchdown

    (7:00) 1-D.Samuel right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — SF 13
  5. Q2 · 0:08SF Field goal

    (:08) 4-J.Moody 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — SF 16
  6. Q3 · 7:47SF Touchdown

    (7:47) 24-J.Mason up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — SF 23
  7. Q3 · 3:33SF Field goal

    (3:33) 4-J.Moody 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYJ 7 — SF 26
  8. Q3 · 1:43NYJ Touchdown

    (1:43) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 10-A.Lazard for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-56-L.Floyd, Defensive Offside, declined.

    Score after this play: NYJ 13 — SF 26
  9. Q4 · 9:46SF Field goal

    (9:46) 4-J.Moody 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYJ 13 — SF 29
  10. Q4 · 4:24SF Field goal

    (4:24) 4-J.Moody 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-3-M.Wishnowsky.

    Score after this play: NYJ 13 — SF 32
  11. Q4 · 0:30NYJ Touchdown

    (:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-T.Taylor pass short left to 10-A.Lazard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: NYJ 19 — SF 32

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricJets49ers
Offensive plays5069
Total yards267402 (edge)
Yards per play5.35.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.050.10 (edge)
Success rate44%45% (edge)
Dropback rate64%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.040.15 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.210.05 (edge)
Third downs6/10 (edge)6/13
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)310 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1623 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)3
Turnovers20 (edge)

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.05.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Brock PurdyQB

19/29, 231 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

6.5 expected points added · +1.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Aaron RodgersQB

13/21, 167 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

3.3 expected points added · -5.9% completion over expected

Rushing · SF

Jordan MasonRB

28 att, 147 yds, 1 TD

2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Breece HallRB

16 att, 54 yds, 1 TD

-4.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Allen LazardWR

6/9 for 89 yds, 2 TD

31% of team targets · 7.7 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Jauan JenningsWR

5/5 for 64 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 5.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYJNYJ 30571:29Punt
2SFSF 8481:37Punt
3NYJNYJ 30120:07Fumble
4SFNYJ 32430:49Field goal +3
5NYJNYJ 3014707:07Touchdown +7
6SFSF 3010374:47Field goal +3
7NYJNYJ 30501:21Punt
8SFSF 3313875:49Touchdown +7
9NYJNYJ 30551:36Punt
10SFSF 1212755:14Field goal +3
11NYJNYJ 30200:04End of half
12SFSF 3013757:18Touchdown +7
13NYJNYJ 234171:31Interception
14SFSF 398212:43Field goal +3
15NYJNYJ 307701:49Touchdown +6
16SFSF 2012706:56Field goal +3
17NYJNYJ 247262:21Turnover on downs
18SF505263:02Field goal +3
19NYJNYJ 3014703:55Touchdown +6
20SFSF 30200:25End of game

11 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Aaron Rodgers13/211671113.3
Tyrod Taylor6/8361002.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Breece Hall16543.41-4.7
Braelon Allen188.000.8
Tyrod Taylor177.000.8
Aaron Rodgers1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Allen Lazard6989231%7.7
Garrett Wilson61160038%-0.5
Breece Hall5639021%-3.8
Braelon Allen11903%0.8
Tyler Conklin12607%-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Tony Adams741.001
C.J. Mosley810.000
D.J. Reed620.001
Quincy Williams510.001
Jamien Sherwood310.000
Chuck Clark220.000
Ahmad Gardner121.001
Solomon Thomas210.000
Jalyn Holmes120.000
Javon Kinlaw200.000

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Brock Purdy19/292310026.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jordan Mason281475.312.5
Deebo Samuel8232.91-0.7
Brock Purdy11111.000.7
Brandon Allen1-1-1.000.0

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jauan Jennings5564017%5.7
Deebo Samuel5954031%-1.2
George Kittle4540017%1.3
Kyle Juszczyk2340010%2.2
Brandon Aiyuk2528017%2.3
Jordan Mason11503%1.1
Eric Saubert01003%-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Fred Warner520.000
De'Vondre Campbell230.000
Isaac Yiadom400.001
Deommodore Lenoir310.001
George Odum300.000
Charvarius Ward210.001
Ji'Ayir Brown210.000
Nick Bosa110.000
Leonard Floyd111.000
Sam Okuayinonu110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SF -3.5
Closing total
43
NYJ moneyline
+150
SF moneyline
-180

49ers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 13.

Total closed 43; the game landed 51 — over by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
76°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
NYJ 7 days · SF 7 days
Coaches
Robert Saleh vs Kyle Shanahan