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2024 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2024 · NRG Stadium

Chicago Bears

13

Houston TexansWinner

19

HOU -6 pushU 45.5 ✓Dome

Houston Texans 19–13. Biggest swing: Q2 15:00, HOU +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3HOU ↑CHI ↓
Q2 · 15:00CHI 3 — HOU 9HOU ball · 2nd & 24HOU 70%

(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 15:00HOU +12% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
  2. Q1 · 1:40HOU +9% win prob(1:40) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 87-C.Stover pushed ob at CHI 32 for 18 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
  3. Q1 · 6:47HOU +7% win prob(6:47) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 2-D.Moore to HOU 26 for 19 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair; 21-C.Bullock).
  4. Q2 · 0:35HOU +7% win prob(:35) (Shotgun) 24-K.Herbert left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 10:25HOU Field goal

    (10:25) 15-K.Fairbairn 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — HOU 3
  2. Q1 · 3:55CHI Field goal

    (3:55) 8-C.Santos 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 3 — HOU 3
  3. Q2 · 15:00HOU Touchdown

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 3 — HOU 10
  4. Q2 · 9:58HOU Field goal

    (9:58) 15-K.Fairbairn 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: CHI 3 — HOU 13
  5. Q2 · 0:35CHI Touchdown

    (:35) (Shotgun) 24-K.Herbert left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — HOU 13
  6. Q2 · 0:06HOU Field goal

    (:06) 15-K.Fairbairn 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — HOU 16
  7. Q4 · 13:43HOU Field goal

    (13:43) 15-K.Fairbairn 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

    Score after this play: CHI 10 — HOU 19
  8. Q4 · 2:56CHI Field goal

    (2:56) 8-C.Santos 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 13 — HOU 19

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsTexans
Offensive plays6660
Total yards205311 (edge)
Yards per play3.15.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.31-0.15 (edge)
Success rate32%35% (edge)
Dropback rate73%65%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.380.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.14 (edge)-0.50
Third downs6/17 (edge)4/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)36 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1015 (edge)
Sacks taken73 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Texans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.15 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · HOU

C.J. StroudQB

23/36, 260 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

1.6 expected points added · -3.3% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

23/37, 174 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-21.6 expected points added · -1.3% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

5 att, 44 yds, 0 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · HOU

Cam AkersRB

7 att, 32 yds, 0 TD

-4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · HOU

Nico CollinsWR

8/10 for 135 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

D.J. MooreWR

6/10 for 53 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · -1.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1HOUHOU 299384:40Field goal +3
2CHICHI 2312426:29Field goal +3
3HOUHOU 2310923:56Touchdown +7
4CHICHI 30561:22Punt
5HOUHOU 238483:38Field goal +3
6CHICHI 30983:54Punt
7HOUHOU 134-12:19Punt
8CHIHOU 499353:10Touchdown +7
9HOUHOU 356290:31Field goal +3
10CHI—100:01End of half
11CHICHI 30571:35Punt
12HOUHOU 106232:13Punt
13CHICHI 7461:48Punt
14HOUHOU 14400:28Punt
15CHICHI 346233:29Punt
16HOUHOU 23621:59Punt
17CHICHI 346112:38Interception
18HOUHOU 347322:11Field goal +3
19CHICHI 303-50:44Interception
20HOUCHI 43402:12Punt
21CHICHI 64-41:19Punt
22HOUCHI 456412:56Fumble
23CHICHI 312563:37Field goal +3
24HOUHOU 39571:14Punt
25CHICHI 205201:07Turnover on downs
26HOUCHI 40100:30End of game

8 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 92 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Caleb Williams23/37174027-21.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Caleb Williams5448.801.6
D'Andre Swift14181.30-5.4
Travis Homer166.000.2
Khalil Herbert231.514.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
D.J. Moore61053029%-1.6
Rome Odunze2533015%-2.1
DeAndre Carter3432012%2.0
Cole Kmet4527015%-1.6
D'Andre Swift4524015%0.3
Khalil Herbert22406%-1.2
Gerald Everett23109%-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Kevin Byard740.000
Tremaine Edmunds531.000
Jaquan Brisker340.000
T.J. Edwards510.000
Kyler Gordon320.001
Tyrique Stevenson310.001
Elijah Hicks110.000
Jack Sanborn111.001
Austin Booker200.000
Andrew Billings200.000

Houston Texans

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
C.J. Stroud23/362601031.6

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Cam Akers7324.60-4.8
Joe Mixon9252.80-4.7
Tank Dell3165.30-0.5
Dare Ogunbowale231.50-0.6
C.J. Stroud1-1-1.00-1.5

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Nico Collins810135129%8.6
Stefon Diggs4637018%-0.9
Joe Mixon3525015%1.4
Dalton Schultz232109%1.6
Dare Ogunbowale222006%-0.6
Cade Stover111803%3.2
Brevin Jordan11403%-0.5
Cam Akers11303%-0.7
Xavier Hutchinson01003%-1.4
Tank Dell14-3012%-3.7

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Henry To'oTo'o841.000
Jalen Pitre820.000
Azeez Al-Shaair541.000
Calen Bullock310.000
Jimmie Ward310.000
Danielle Hunter221.500
Will Anderson121.500
Kamari Lassiter210.011
Eric Murray200.001
Folorunso Fatukasi110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
HOU -6
Closing total
45.5
CHI moneyline
+210
HOU moneyline
-258

Texans closed -6 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 32 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
NRG Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · astroturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Land Clark
Rest
CHI 7 days · HOU 7 days
Coaches
Matt Eberflus vs DeMeco Ryans